MatchPulse

Genoa vs AC Milan — Serie A

← Back
Genoa
Genoa
17º · 0.57 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 19h
vs
–
–
AC Milan
AC Milan
5º · 2.14 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 16d 19h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Genoa and AC Milan meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Genoa have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. AC Milan have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 21%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Genoa and 1.64 for AC Milan. The models give Genoa a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an AC Milan win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

Genoa
—
AC Milan
17º
Position
5º
0.57
PPG
2.14
14%
Win %
57%
0.71
Goals / game
2.00
1.86
Conceded / game
1.00
53%
BTTS %
57%
13%
Clean sheet %
21%
47%
Over 2.5 %
64%
5.3
Avg corners
3.7
14.1
Avg shots
12.1
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
9.2
Avg fouls
10.6
45.4%
Avg possession
56.2%

Home vs Away

Genoa
Home (4)
—
AC Milan
Away (4)
1.00
PPG
1.50
25%
Win %
25%
1.00
Goals / game
1.50
2.00
Conceded / game
1.25
67%
BTTS %
67%
11%
Clean sheet %
11%
56%
Over 2.5 %
78%
5.3
Avg corners
3.7
14.1
Avg shots
12.1
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.8
45.4%
Avg possession
56.2%

Goals Scored

GenoaHomeAwayAC MilanHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored67%78%50%79%80%78%
Over 1.5 Scored27%44%0%57%60%56%
Over 2.5 Scored7%11%0%29%40%22%
Failed To Score33%22%50%21%20%22%

Goals Conceded

GenoaHomeAwayAC MilanHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded87%89%83%79%60%89%
Over 1.5 Conceded47%33%67%50%40%56%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%11%17%14%0%22%
Clean Sheets13%11%17%21%40%11%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

GenoaAC Milan
Over 0.5100%100%
Over 1.573%100%
Over 2.547%64%
Over 3.527%36%
Over 4.520%14%
BTTS53%57%
BTTS & Win20%21%
BTTS & Draw13%36%
BTTS & Over 2.547%36%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%29%

1st Half / 2nd Half

GenoaAC Milan
Win 1st Half21%21%
Draw 1st Half43%43%
Loss 1st Half36%36%
Scored 1st Half29%29%
Conceded 1st Half43%43%
Win 2nd Half36%50%
Draw 2nd Half14%21%
Loss 2nd Half50%29%
Scored 2nd Half50%79%
Conceded 2nd Half57%64%
Over 0.5 HT57%64%
Over 1.5 HT21%43%

Recent Venue Form

Genoa (H)
WFiorentina2–1
WSudtirol1–0
DFrosinone1–1
LComo1–4
LNapoli0–2
WAscoli4–1
AC Milan (A)
LBournemouth0–3
WRed Bull Salzburg4–0
DSassuolo1–1
DLazio2–2
DJuventus1–1
WTorino2–1

Number of Corners

9.3
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.4
75 games
6.9
Corners / Match
10 games
Match CornersGenoaAC MilanLeague Avg
Over 689%50%79%
Over 756%40%65%
Over 844%20%55%
Over 933%20%41%
Over 1022%10%33%
Over 1122%0%29%
Over 1222%0%21%
Over 1311%0%16%

Team Corners

Team CornersGenoaAC Milan
Corners Earned / Match5.33.7
Corners Against / Match4.03.2
Over 2.5 Corners For89%50%
Over 3.5 Corners For67%50%
Over 4.5 Corners For56%30%
Over 2.5 Corners Against78%60%
Over 3.5 Corners Against56%20%
Over 4.5 Corners Against22%20%

Head to Head · 31 matches

5
Genoa
16%
7
Draws
23%
19
AC Milan
61%
68%
Over 1.5
21/31
45%
Over 2.5
14/31
13%
Over 3.5
4/31
48%
BTTS
15/31
17/05/26
Genoa
1–2
AC Milan
08/01/26
AC Milan
1–1
Genoa
05/05/25
Genoa
1–2
AC Milan
15/12/24
AC Milan
0–0
Genoa
05/05/24
AC Milan
3–3
Genoa
07/10/23
Genoa
0–1
AC Milan
15/04/22
AC Milan
2–0
Genoa
13/01/22
AC Milan
3–1
Genoa
01/12/21
Genoa
0–3
AC Milan
18/04/21
AC Milan
2–1
Genoa
16/12/20
Genoa
2–2
AC Milan
08/03/20
AC Milan
1–2
Genoa
05/10/19
Genoa
1–2
AC Milan
21/01/19
Genoa
0–2
AC Milan
31/10/18
AC Milan
2–1
Genoa
11/03/18
Genoa
0–1
AC Milan
22/10/17
AC Milan
0–0
Genoa
18/03/17
AC Milan
1–0
Genoa
25/10/16
Genoa
3–0
AC Milan
14/02/16
AC Milan
2–1
Genoa
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Lazio8710+1122
2Inter7610+1219
3AS Roma8530+1318
4Como8521+717
5AC Milan7430+715
6Frosinone7412+413
7Torino8413+213
8Cagliari8413-313
9Napoli8323+311
10Juventus7322+111
11Atalanta7304-19
12Lecce7304-39
13Bologna8224-28
14Sassuolo8224-48
15Monza8215-37
16Udinese7115-74
17Genoa7115-84
18Fiorentina7115-94
19Parma8116-104
20Venezia7106-103

Team Insights

Genoa
  • ●Genoa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Genoa have lost their last 3 away matches.
AC Milan
  • ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
  • ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●AC Milan have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
LAAS Roma3º0–2
LAAS Roma4º0–2
WHFiorentina18º2–1
WHFiorentina3º2–1
LARapid0–2
LAParma19º1–2
LAParma14º1–2
WHSudtirol1–0
DHFrosinone6º1–1
DHFrosinone9º1–1
LABournemouth10º0–3
LABournemouth3º0–3
WHAtalanta11º3–2
WHAtalanta5º3–2
DASassuolo14º1–1
DASassuolo15º1–1
WHLecce12º3–0
WHLecce19º3–0

Season Schedule

Genoa
LAAS Roma0–2
WHFiorentina2–1
LAParma1–2
DHFrosinone1–1
LHComo1–4
LALazio0–1
–HVenezia25/10
–HJuventus28/10
–ALecce01/11
AC Milan
WHAtalanta3–2
DASassuolo1–1
WHLecce3–0
DALazio2–2
DAJuventus1–1
WHVenezia2–0
–AUdinese25/10
–HBologna28/10
–HInter31/10

Top Scorers

Genoa
L. Colombo4 ⚽
Milutin Osmajić2 ⚽
D. Puczka1 ⚽
E. Havel1 ⚽
J. Vasquez1 ⚽
Johan Vásquez1 ⚽
AC Milan
Alphadjo Cissè4 ⚽
D. Moreira3 ⚽
Adrien Rabiot2 ⚽
A. Rabiot2 ⚽
A. Cisse2 ⚽
F. Camarda2 ⚽

Cards Given

Genoa
L. Ostigard3 🟨
J. Vasquez3 🟨
2 🟨
Johan Vásquez2 🟨
Leo Østigård2 🟨
D. De Rossi1 🟨
AC Milan
S. Pavlovic4 🟨
Pervis Estupinan3 🟨
Koni De Winter3 🟨
P. Estupinan2 🟨
Gonçalo Ramos1 🟨
C. Pulisic1 🟨