Genoa vs AC Milan — Serie A
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Genoa and AC Milan meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Genoa have recorded 5 wins from 15 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. AC Milan have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Genoa and 1.64 for AC Milan. The models give Genoa a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an AC Milan win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Genoa | Home | Away | AC Milan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 78% | 50% | 79% | 80% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 44% | 0% | 57% | 60% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 11% | 0% | 29% | 40% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 22% | 50% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Genoa | Home | Away | AC Milan | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 87% | 89% | 83% | 79% | 60% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 33% | 67% | 50% | 40% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 11% | 17% | 14% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 11% | 17% | 21% | 40% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Genoa | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 14% |
| BTTS | 53% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 36% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 29% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Genoa | AC Milan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 79% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Genoa | AC Milan | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 50% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 40% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 20% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 20% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 22% | 10% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 0% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 0% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Genoa | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.0 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 89% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 22% | 20% |
Head to Head · 31 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 | |
| 3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 | |
| 4 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 | |
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 | |
| 13 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 | |
| 14 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 | |
| 15 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 | |
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 | |
| 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
- ●Genoa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Genoa have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●AC Milan have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.

