Sassuolo vs Fiorentina — Serie A
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Sassuolo and Fiorentina meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Sassuolo have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.69 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Fiorentina have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Sassuolo and 1.71 for Fiorentina. The models give Sassuolo a 45% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Fiorentina win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Sassuolo—
Fiorentina14º
Position
18º
1.00
PPG
0.57
25%
Win %
14%
1.50
Goals / game
1.14
2.00
Conceded / game
2.43
69%
BTTS %
67%
19%
Clean sheet %
20%
63%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.5
Avg corners
4.9
14.2
Avg shots
15.9
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
9.5
Avg fouls
11.2
48.6%
Avg possession
46.6%
Home vs Away
Sassuolo
Home (3)
—
Fiorentina
Away (3)
2.33
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
33%
2.00
Goals / game
1.67
1.33
Conceded / game
2.67
67%
BTTS %
67%
33%
Clean sheet %
17%
56%
Over 2.5 %
83%
4.5
Avg corners
4.9
14.2
Avg shots
15.9
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
48.6%
Avg possession
46.6%
Goals Scored
| Sassuolo | Home | Away | Fiorentina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 78% | 71% | 87% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 44% | 43% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 33% | 0% | 27% | 33% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 22% | 29% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Sassuolo | Home | Away | Fiorentina | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 67% | 100% | 80% | 78% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 22% | 100% | 53% | 33% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 11% | 29% | 27% | 22% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 33% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sassuolo | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 27% |
| BTTS | 69% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sassuolo | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 13% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 47% |
| Scored 1st Half | 47% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Sassuolo (H)D
AC Milan1–1
AC Milan1–1W
Juventus3–2
Juventus3–2D
Frosinone1–1
Frosinone1–1W
Torino2–1
Torino2–1W
Cesena3–0
Cesena3–0L
Celta Vigo1–4
Celta Vigo1–4Fiorentina (A)L
Genoa1–2
Genoa1–2W
Venezia4–2
Venezia4–2L
AS Roma0–4
AS Roma0–4D
Real Madrid2–2
Real Madrid2–2W
Watford1–0
Watford1–0L
QPR2–3
QPR2–3Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.4
75 games
8.4
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Sassuolo | Fiorentina | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 67% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 90% | 56% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 70% | 44% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 22% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 30% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 22% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 11% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sassuolo | Fiorentina |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.9 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 80% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 90% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 80% | 56% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
8
Sassuolo
33%
7
Draws
29%
9
Fiorentina
38%
75%
Over 1.5
18/24
67%
Over 2.5
16/24
46%
Over 3.5
11/24
71%
BTTS
17/24
26/04/26Sassuolo
Fiorentina
0–0Sassuolo06/12/25Fiorentina
Sassuolo
3–1Fiorentina28/04/24Sassuolo
Fiorentina
5–1Sassuolo06/01/24Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1–0Fiorentina02/06/23Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1–3Fiorentina07/01/23Sassuolo
Fiorentina
2–1Sassuolo26/02/22Fiorentina
Sassuolo
2–1Fiorentina19/12/21Sassuolo
Fiorentina
2–2Sassuolo17/04/21Fiorentina
Sassuolo
3–1Fiorentina16/12/20Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1–1Sassuolo01/07/20Sassuolo
Fiorentina
1–3Sassuolo30/10/19Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1–2Fiorentina29/04/19Sassuolo
Fiorentina
0–1Sassuolo09/12/18Fiorentina
Sassuolo
3–3Fiorentina21/04/18Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1–0Fiorentina03/12/17Sassuolo
Fiorentina
3–0Sassuolo07/05/17Fiorentina
Sassuolo
2–2Fiorentina12/12/16Sassuolo
Fiorentina
2–1Sassuolo17/04/16Sassuolo
Fiorentina
3–1Sassuolo30/11/15Fiorentina
Sassuolo
1–1Fiorentina| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
Sassuolo- ●Sassuolo have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Sassuolo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Sassuolo have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Sassuolo have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sassuolo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sassuolo have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sassuolo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Sassuolo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of Sassuolo's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Sassuolo's points have been earned at home.
Fiorentina- ●Fiorentina have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Fiorentina have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fiorentina have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fiorentina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of Fiorentina's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
SassuoloLAComo0–2
Como0–2LAFrosinone2–4
Frosinone2–4DHAC Milan1–1
AC Milan1–1LAMonza1–2
Monza1–2WHJuventus3–2
Juventus3–2DABologna2–2
Bologna2–2–HLazio27/10
Lazio27/10–HFiorentina02/11
Fiorentina02/11–AAS Roma07/11
AS Roma07/11FiorentinaLHComo1–3
Como1–3LAGenoa1–2
Genoa1–2DHNapoli1–1
Napoli1–1WAVenezia4–2
Venezia4–2LHTorino1–2
Torino1–2LHFrosinone0–3
Frosinone0–3–AInter25/10
Inter25/10–HAtalanta29/10
Atalanta29/10–ASassuolo02/11
Sassuolo02/11Top Scorers
SassuoloC. Volpato3 ⚽
V. Adzic3 ⚽
Kristian Thorstvedt2 ⚽
A. Lauriente2 ⚽
Domenico Berardi2 ⚽
Cas Odenthal1 ⚽
FiorentinaF. Mastantuono3 ⚽
R. Piccoli3 ⚽
Mateo Pellegrino2 ⚽
C. Ndour2 ⚽
M. Kean2 ⚽
A. Gudmundsson2 ⚽
Cards Given
SassuoloL. Lipani2 🟨
A. Lauriente2 🟨
D. Bakola1 🟨
F. Leysen1 🟨
Ignace Van der Brempt1 🟨
Domenico Berardi1 🟨
FiorentinaL. Ranieri2 🟨
N. Fagioli2 🟨
A. Gudmundsson2 🟨
Franco Mastantuono2 🟨
Christ Inao Oulaï1 🟨
A. Njie1 🟨