Lecce vs Genoa — Serie A
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Lecce and Genoa meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Lecce have recorded 6 wins from 13 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 31% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Genoa have won 33% of their 15 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Lecce and 1.30 for Genoa. The models give Lecce a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Genoa win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Lecce—
Genoa12º
Position
17º
1.29
PPG
0.57
43%
Win %
14%
1.29
Goals / game
0.71
1.71
Conceded / game
1.86
31%
BTTS %
53%
31%
Clean sheet %
13%
54%
Over 2.5 %
47%
4.9
Avg corners
5.3
12.0
Avg shots
14.1
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
12.5
Avg fouls
9.2
42.3%
Avg possession
45.4%
Home vs Away
Lecce
Home (3)
—
Genoa
Away (3)
1.00
PPG
0.00
33%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
0.33
2.67
Conceded / game
1.67
57%
BTTS %
33%
14%
Clean sheet %
17%
71%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.9
Avg corners
5.3
12.0
Avg shots
14.1
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.1
42.3%
Avg possession
45.4%
Goals Scored
| Lecce | Home | Away | Genoa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 71% | 50% | 67% | 78% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 43% | 33% | 27% | 44% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 29% | 17% | 7% | 11% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 22% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Lecce | Home | Away | Genoa | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 86% | 50% | 87% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 71% | 33% | 47% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 14% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 14% | 50% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lecce | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS | 31% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 8% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lecce | Genoa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 23% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 46% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Lecce (H)L
Bologna1–2
Bologna1–2W
Monza3–2
Monza3–2L
AS Roma0–4
AS Roma0–4W
SS Monopoli1–0
SS Monopoli1–0W
Bistrica5–2
Bistrica5–2D
Istra 19612–2
Istra 19612–2Genoa (A)LAS Roma0–2
AS Roma0–2L
Rapid0–2
Rapid0–2L
Parma1–2
Parma1–2L
Lazio0–1
Lazio0–1L
Bournemouth1–10
Bournemouth1–10W
Leicester1–0
Leicester1–0Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
9.4
75 games
9.3
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Lecce | Genoa | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 63% | 89% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 56% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 44% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 33% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 22% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 22% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 11% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lecce | Genoa |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.4 | 4.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 63% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 38% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 38% | 22% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
2
Lecce
14%
5
Draws
36%
7
Genoa
50%
64%
Over 1.5
9/14
64%
Over 2.5
9/14
43%
Over 3.5
6/14
57%
BTTS
8/14
24/05/26Genoa
Lecce
1–0Genoa23/08/25Lecce
Genoa
0–0Lecce14/03/25Lecce
Genoa
2–1Lecce05/01/25Genoa
Lecce
0–0Genoa28/01/24Lecce
Genoa
2–1Lecce22/09/23Genoa
Lecce
1–0Genoa19/07/20Lecce
Genoa
2–1Lecce08/12/19Genoa
Lecce
2–2Genoa11/08/18Lecce
Genoa
4–0Lecce12/08/16Lecce
Genoa
3–2Lecce04/03/12Genoa
Lecce
2–2Genoa16/10/11Lecce
Genoa
0–0Lecce23/04/11Lecce
Genoa
4–2Lecce05/12/10Genoa
Lecce
1–3Genoa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 | Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
Lecce- ●67% of Lecce's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Lecce's points have been earned away.
- ●Lecce have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Lecce have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Genoa- ●Genoa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Genoa have lost their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
LecceWAUdinese3–0
Udinese3–0LHBologna1–2
Bologna1–2LAAC Milan0–3
AC Milan0–3WHMonza3–2
Monza3–2LACagliari0–1
Cagliari0–1LHAS Roma0–4
AS Roma0–4–HJuventus25/10
Juventus25/10–AFrosinone29/10
Frosinone29/10–HGenoa01/11
Genoa01/11GenoaLAAS Roma0–2
AS Roma0–2WHFiorentina2–1
Fiorentina2–1LAParma1–2
Parma1–2DHFrosinone1–1
Frosinone1–1LHComo1–4
Como1–4LALazio0–1
Lazio0–1–HVenezia25/10
Venezia25/10–HJuventus28/10
Juventus28/10–ALecce01/11
Lecce01/11Top Scorers
LecceTiago Gabriel2 ⚽
Y. Maleh2 ⚽
L. Coulibaly2 ⚽
P. Esteban2 ⚽
Konan N'Dri1 ⚽
H. Laerke1 ⚽
GenoaL. Colombo4 ⚽
Milutin Osmajić2 ⚽
D. Puczka1 ⚽
E. Havel1 ⚽
J. Vasquez1 ⚽
Johan Vásquez1 ⚽
Cards Given
LecceD. Veiga3 🟨
O. Ngom2 🟨
Ivan Ilić2 🟨
K. Ndri1 🟨
K. Gaspar1 🟨
Jamil Siebert1 🟨
GenoaL. Ostigard3 🟨
J. Vasquez3 🟨
2 🟨
Johan Vásquez2 🟨
Leo Østigård2 🟨
D. De Rossi1 🟨