Atalanta vs Parma — Serie A
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Atalanta and Parma meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Atalanta have recorded 8 wins from 15 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Parma have won 13% of their 15 matches, with 0.67 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Atalanta and 0.99 for Parma. The models give Atalanta a 57% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Parma win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Atalanta—
Parma11º
Position
19º
1.29
PPG
0.50
43%
Win %
13%
1.43
Goals / game
0.63
1.57
Conceded / game
1.88
53%
BTTS %
47%
33%
Clean sheet %
13%
60%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.4
Avg corners
3.8
13.8
Avg shots
10.2
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.4
10.5
Avg fouls
10.7
49.0%
Avg possession
42.3%
Home vs Away
Atalanta
Home (4)
—
Parma
Away (4)
2.25
PPG
0.00
75%
Win %
0%
1.75
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
2.25
63%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
17%
63%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.4
Avg corners
3.8
13.8
Avg shots
10.2
4.5
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.1
Avg yellow cards
1.4
49.0%
Avg possession
42.3%
Goals Scored
| Atalanta | Home | Away | Parma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 88% | 71% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 29% | 13% | 22% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 38% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 13% | 29% | 47% | 44% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Atalanta | Home | Away | Parma | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 63% | 71% | 87% | 89% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 25% | 71% | 47% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 38% | 29% | 13% | 11% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atalanta | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 53% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atalanta | Parma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 46% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 8% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 62% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Atalanta (H)W
Pafos3–1
Pafos3–1W
Venezia3–1
Venezia3–1L
Cagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2W
Bologna1–0
Bologna1–0W
Sassuolo2–1
Sassuolo2–1D
Hapoel Tel Aviv0–0
Hapoel Tel Aviv0–0Parma (A)L
Lazio1–2
Lazio1–2L
Inter0–3
Inter0–3L
Como1–2
Como1–2L
Juventus0–2
Juventus0–2DSassuolo0–0
Sassuolo0–0D
Trento1–1
Trento1–1Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.4
75 games
9.6
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Atalanta | Parma | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 64% | 80% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 70% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 45% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 40% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 36% | 30% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 36% | 20% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 27% | 20% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atalanta | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 55% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 60% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
11
Atalanta
58%
3
Draws
16%
5
Parma
26%
89%
Over 1.5
17/19
74%
Over 2.5
14/19
47%
Over 3.5
9/19
58%
BTTS
11/19
25/01/26Parma
Atalanta
4–0Parma30/08/25Atalanta
Parma
1–1Atalanta25/05/25Parma
Atalanta
2–3Parma23/11/24Atalanta
Parma
1–3Atalanta04/08/24Atalanta
Parma
4–1Atalanta09/05/21Atalanta
Parma
2–5Atalanta06/01/21Parma
Atalanta
3–0Parma28/07/20Atalanta
Parma
1–2Atalanta06/01/20Parma
Atalanta
5–0Parma31/03/19Atalanta
Parma
1–3Atalanta27/10/18Parma
Atalanta
3–0Parma08/03/15Atalanta
Parma
0–0Atalanta19/10/14Parma
Atalanta
1–0Parma16/02/14Parma
Atalanta
0–4Parma25/09/13Atalanta
Parma
4–3Atalanta05/05/13Atalanta
Parma
2–0Atalanta08/12/12Parma
Atalanta
2–1Parma11/03/12Parma
Atalanta
1–1Parma23/10/11Atalanta
Parma
1–2Atalanta| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 |  AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 | Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 | Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
Atalanta- ●Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atalanta have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atalanta have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atalanta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Atalanta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Atalanta's points have been earned at home.
Parma- ●Parma have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Parma have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Parma failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Parma have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Parma have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Parma have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
Season Schedule
AtalantaLAAC Milan2–3
AC Milan2–3WHVenezia3–1
Venezia3–1LAJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2LHCagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2LAAS Roma1–2
AS Roma1–2WHBologna1–0
Bologna1–0–HFrosinone25/10
Frosinone25/10–AFiorentina29/10
Fiorentina29/10–HParma02/11
Parma02/11ParmaLALazio1–2
Lazio1–2LHTorino0–3
Torino0–3LAInter0–3
Inter0–3WHGenoa2–1
Genoa2–1LAComo1–2
Como1–2DHMonza1–1
Monza1–1–HUdinese28/10
Udinese28/10–AAtalanta02/11
Atalanta02/11–HBologna07/11
Bologna07/11Top Scorers
AtalantaN. Krstovic4 ⚽
G. Scamacca4 ⚽
Nikola Krstović3 ⚽
L. Samardzic2 ⚽
G. Raspadori2 ⚽
N. Zalewski1 ⚽
ParmaD. Romero2 ⚽
S. Lontani2 ⚽
Simone Lontani2 ⚽
D. Mikolajewski1 ⚽
P. Almqvist1 ⚽
R. Kouda1 ⚽
Cards Given
AtalantaN. Zalewski2 🟨
G. Raspadori1 🟨
G. Scalvini1 🟨
Gianluca Gaetano1 🟨
H. Ahanor1 🟨
F. Kessie1 🟨
ParmaM. Troilo2 🟨
E. Delprato2 🟨
Diego Carlos1 🟨
F. Carboni1 🟨
L. Valenti1 🟨
Mandela Keita1 🟨