AC Milan vs Inter — Serie A
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AC Milan and Inter meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 31 October 2026. AC Milan have recorded 6 wins from 14 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Inter have won 69% of their 16 matches, with 2.19 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for AC Milan and 1.70 for Inter. The models give AC Milan a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Inter win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
AC Milan—
Inter5º
Position
2º
2.14
PPG
2.71
57%
Win %
86%
2.00
Goals / game
3.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.29
57%
BTTS %
69%
21%
Clean sheet %
31%
64%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.7
Avg corners
6.1
12.1
Avg shots
21.5
4.7
Avg shots on target
7.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
10.6
Avg fouls
8.2
56.2%
Avg possession
60.2%
Home vs Away
AC Milan
Home (3)
—
Inter
Away (3)
3.00
PPG
2.33
100%
Win %
67%
2.67
Goals / game
2.00
0.67
Conceded / game
1.00
40%
BTTS %
88%
40%
Clean sheet %
13%
40%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.7
Avg corners
6.1
12.1
Avg shots
21.5
4.7
Avg shots on target
7.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.0
56.2%
Avg possession
60.2%
Goals Scored
| AC Milan | Home | Away | Inter | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 80% | 78% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 60% | 56% | 63% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 40% | 22% | 38% | 63% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| AC Milan | Home | Away | Inter | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 60% | 89% | 69% | 50% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 56% | 31% | 38% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 0% | 22% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 40% | 11% | 31% | 50% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| AC Milan | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 25% |
| BTTS | 57% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 38% |
| BTTS & Draw | 36% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| AC Milan | Inter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 13% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 6% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 79% | 81% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
AC Milan (H)W
Atalanta3–2
Atalanta3–2W
Lecce3–0
Lecce3–0L
Benfica0–2
Benfica0–2W
Venezia2–0
Venezia2–0DInter1–1
Inter1–1L
Cagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2Inter (A)W
Bologna3–1
Bologna3–1D
AS Roma2–2
AS Roma2–2L
Real Madrid1–2
Real Madrid1–2WCagliari1–0
Cagliari1–0W
Juventus2–1
Juventus2–1DAC Milan1–1
AC Milan1–1Number of Corners
6.9
Corners / Match
10 games
League Avg
9.4
75 games
9.7
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | AC Milan | Inter | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 70% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 40% | 70% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 20% | 60% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 20% | 40% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 10% | 40% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 30% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 30% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 30% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | AC Milan | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.7 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 20% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 20% | 20% |
Head to Head · 43 matches
13
AC Milan
30%
11
Draws
26%
19
Inter
44%
65%
Over 1.5
28/43
47%
Over 2.5
20/43
21%
Over 3.5
9/43
47%
BTTS
20/43
05/08/26Inter
AC Milan
1–1Inter08/03/26Inter
AC Milan
1–0Inter23/11/25AC Milan
Inter
0–1AC Milan23/04/25AC Milan
Inter
0–3AC Milan02/04/25Inter
AC Milan
1–1Inter02/02/25Inter
AC Milan
1–1Inter06/01/25AC Milan
Inter
2–3AC Milan22/09/24AC Milan
Inter
1–2AC Milan22/04/24Inter
AC Milan
1–2Inter16/09/23AC Milan
Inter
5–1AC Milan16/05/23AC Milan
Inter
1–0AC Milan10/05/23Inter
AC Milan
0–2Inter05/02/23AC Milan
Inter
1–0AC Milan18/01/23Inter
AC Milan
0–3Inter03/09/22Inter
AC Milan
3–2Inter19/04/22AC Milan
Inter
3–0AC Milan01/03/22Inter
AC Milan
0–0Inter05/02/22AC Milan
Inter
1–2AC Milan07/11/21Inter
AC Milan
1–1Inter21/02/21Inter
AC Milan
0–3Inter| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 | Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 |  Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 |  Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 |  Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 |  Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 | Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 |  Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
AC Milan- ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●AC Milan have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●AC Milan have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●AC Milan have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
Inter- ●Inter have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Inter have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Inter have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Inter have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Inter have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Inter have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●71% of Inter's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Inter's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Inter have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AC MilanWHAtalanta3–2
Atalanta3–2DASassuolo1–1
Sassuolo1–1WHLecce3–0
Lecce3–0DALazio2–2
Lazio2–2DAJuventus1–1
Juventus1–1WHVenezia2–0
Venezia2–0–AUdinese25/10
Udinese25/10–HBologna28/10
Bologna28/10–HInter31/10
Inter31/10InterWABologna3–1
Bologna3–1WHParma3–0
Parma3–0DAAS Roma2–2
AS Roma2–2WHUdinese5–3
Udinese5–3WHNapoli3–2
Napoli3–2WACagliari1–0
Cagliari1–0–HFiorentina25/10
Fiorentina25/10–AVenezia28/10
Venezia28/10–AAC Milan31/10
AC Milan31/10Top Scorers
AC MilanAlphadjo Cissè4 ⚽
D. Moreira3 ⚽
Adrien Rabiot2 ⚽
A. Rabiot2 ⚽
A. Cisse2 ⚽
F. Camarda2 ⚽
InterCarlos Augusto4 ⚽
Lautaro Martínez4 ⚽
Marcus Thuram3 ⚽
A. Diouf3 ⚽
F. Dimarco2 ⚽
Ange-Yoan Bonny2 ⚽
Cards Given
AC MilanS. Pavlovic4 🟨
Pervis Estupinan3 🟨
Koni De Winter3 🟨
P. Estupinan2 🟨
Gonçalo Ramos1 🟨
C. Pulisic1 🟨
InterM. Akanji2 🟨
Marcus Thuram2 🟨
Hakan Çalhanoğlu2 🟨
Lautaro Martínez2 🟨
Alessandro Bastoni2 🟨
H. Calhanoglu1 🟨