Fiorentina vs Atalanta — Serie A
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Fiorentina and Atalanta meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Fiorentina have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Atalanta have won 53% of their 15 matches, with 1.47 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Fiorentina and 1.39 for Atalanta. The models give Fiorentina a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atalanta win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Fiorentina—
Atalanta18º
Position
11º
0.57
PPG
1.29
14%
Win %
43%
1.14
Goals / game
1.43
2.43
Conceded / game
1.57
67%
BTTS %
53%
20%
Clean sheet %
33%
73%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.9
Avg corners
4.4
15.9
Avg shots
13.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.1
11.2
Avg fouls
10.5
46.6%
Avg possession
49.0%
Home vs Away
Fiorentina
Home (4)
—
Atalanta
Away (3)
0.25
PPG
0.00
0%
Win %
0%
0.75
Goals / game
1.00
2.25
Conceded / game
2.33
67%
BTTS %
43%
22%
Clean sheet %
29%
67%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.9
Avg corners
4.4
15.9
Avg shots
13.8
5.8
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.1
46.6%
Avg possession
49.0%
Goals Scored
| Fiorentina | Home | Away | Atalanta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 87% | 89% | 83% | 80% | 88% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 50% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 33% | 17% | 27% | 38% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 13% | 11% | 17% | 20% | 13% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Fiorentina | Home | Away | Atalanta | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 78% | 83% | 67% | 63% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 33% | 83% | 47% | 25% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 22% | 33% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 22% | 17% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 13% |
| BTTS | 67% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fiorentina | Atalanta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 13% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 47% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Fiorentina (H)L
Como1–3
Como1–3D
Napoli1–1
Napoli1–1W
Pisa3–0
Pisa3–0L
Torino1–2
Torino1–2L
Frosinone0–3
Frosinone0–3W
Benevento4–1
Benevento4–1Atalanta (A)L
Ajax0–2
Ajax0–2L
AC Milan2–3
AC Milan2–3L
Juventus0–2
Juventus0–2L
AS Roma1–2
AS Roma1–2W
Hapoel Tel Aviv1–0
Hapoel Tel Aviv1–0W
FC Schalke 043–0
FC Schalke 043–0Number of Corners
8.4
Corners / Match
9 games
League Avg
9.4
75 games
9.2
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Fiorentina | Atalanta | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 67% | 64% | 79% |
| Over 7 | 56% | 64% | 65% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 45% | 55% |
| Over 9 | 22% | 36% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 22% | 36% | 33% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 36% | 29% |
| Over 12 | 22% | 36% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 27% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fiorentina | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.6 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 22% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 67% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 56% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 36% |
Head to Head · 36 matches
17
Fiorentina
47%
9
Draws
25%
10
Atalanta
28%
81%
Over 1.5
29/36
53%
Over 2.5
19/36
36%
Over 3.5
13/36
58%
BTTS
21/36
22/05/26Atalanta
Fiorentina
1–1Atalanta30/11/25Fiorentina
Atalanta
2–0Fiorentina30/03/25Atalanta
Fiorentina
1–0Atalanta15/09/24Fiorentina
Atalanta
3–2Fiorentina02/06/24Fiorentina
Atalanta
2–3Fiorentina24/04/24Fiorentina
Atalanta
4–1Fiorentina03/04/24Atalanta
Fiorentina
1–0Atalanta17/09/23Atalanta
Fiorentina
3–2Atalanta17/04/23Atalanta
Fiorentina
1–1Atalanta02/10/22Fiorentina
Atalanta
1–0Fiorentina20/02/22Atalanta
Fiorentina
1–0Atalanta10/02/22Fiorentina
Atalanta
2–3Fiorentina11/09/21Fiorentina
Atalanta
1–2Fiorentina11/04/21Atalanta
Fiorentina
2–3Atalanta13/12/20Fiorentina
Atalanta
3–0Fiorentina08/02/20Atalanta
Fiorentina
1–2Atalanta15/01/20Atalanta
Fiorentina
2–1Atalanta22/09/19Fiorentina
Atalanta
2–2Fiorentina25/04/19Fiorentina
Atalanta
2–1Fiorentina03/03/19Fiorentina
Atalanta
3–1Fiorentina| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lazio | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 22 |
| 2 |  Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +13 | 18 |
| 4 | Como | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Torino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  Cagliari | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 9 | Napoli | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 10 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -1 | 9 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  Bologna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 8 |
| 14 |  Sassuolo | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 8 |
| 15 |  Monza | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -3 | 7 |
| 16 |  Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |  Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 19 |  Parma | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | -10 | 3 |
Team Insights
Fiorentina- ●Fiorentina have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fiorentina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Fiorentina have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fiorentina have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fiorentina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●62% of Fiorentina's goals have been scored away.
Atalanta- ●Atalanta failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atalanta have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Atalanta have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atalanta have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●70% of Atalanta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●100% of Atalanta's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
FiorentinaLHComo1–3
Como1–3LAGenoa1–2
Genoa1–2DHNapoli1–1
Napoli1–1WAVenezia4–2
Venezia4–2LHTorino1–2
Torino1–2LHFrosinone0–3
Frosinone0–3–AInter25/10
Inter25/10–HAtalanta29/10
Atalanta29/10–ASassuolo02/11
Sassuolo02/11AtalantaLAAC Milan2–3
AC Milan2–3WHVenezia3–1
Venezia3–1LAJuventus0–2
Juventus0–2LHCagliari1–2
Cagliari1–2LAAS Roma1–2
AS Roma1–2WHBologna1–0
Bologna1–0–HFrosinone25/10
Frosinone25/10–AFiorentina29/10
Fiorentina29/10–HParma02/11
Parma02/11Top Scorers
FiorentinaF. Mastantuono3 ⚽
R. Piccoli3 ⚽
Mateo Pellegrino2 ⚽
C. Ndour2 ⚽
M. Kean2 ⚽
A. Gudmundsson2 ⚽
AtalantaN. Krstovic4 ⚽
G. Scamacca4 ⚽
Nikola Krstović3 ⚽
L. Samardzic2 ⚽
G. Raspadori2 ⚽
N. Zalewski1 ⚽
Cards Given
FiorentinaL. Ranieri2 🟨
N. Fagioli2 🟨
A. Gudmundsson2 🟨
Franco Mastantuono2 🟨
Christ Inao Oulaï1 🟨
A. Njie1 🟨
AtalantaN. Zalewski2 🟨
G. Raspadori1 🟨
G. Scalvini1 🟨
Gianluca Gaetano1 🟨
H. Ahanor1 🟨
F. Kessie1 🟨