Italy · Serie A · Regular Season - 8

Atalanta

11º · 1.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 42d 19h

–

Frosinone

7º · 1.75 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 43d 1h

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Atalanta and Frosinone meet in the Serie A 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Atalanta have recorded 6 wins from 10 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Frosinone have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.64 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 45%, and clean sheets at 27%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Atalanta and 1.50 for Frosinone. The models give Atalanta a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Frosinone win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Atalanta

—

Frosinone

11º

Position

7º

1.50

PPG

1.75

50%

Win %

50%

1.25

Goals / game

1.75

1.25

Conceded / game

1.00

50%

BTTS %

64%

50%

Clean sheet %

27%

60%

Over 2.5 %

45%

3.0

Avg corners

5.2

11.8

Avg shots

16.7

4.0

Avg shots on target

5.8

0.8

Avg yellow cards

2.0

10.2

Avg fouls

17.7

51.2%

Avg possession

46.3%

Home vs Away

Atalanta

Home (3)

—

Frosinone

Away (2)

2.00

PPG

2.00

67%

Win %

50%

1.33

Goals / game

2.00

1.00

Conceded / game

0.50

50%

BTTS %

67%

50%

Clean sheet %

33%

50%

Over 2.5 %

33%

3.0

Avg corners

5.2

11.8

Avg shots

16.7

4.0

Avg shots on target

5.8

0.8

Avg yellow cards

2.0

51.2%

Avg possession

46.3%

Goals Scored

	Atalanta	Home	Away	Frosinone	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	90%	83%	100%	91%	88%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	30%	33%	25%	36%	38%	33%
Over 2.5 Scored	20%	17%	25%	27%	25%	33%
Failed To Score	10%	17%	0%	9%	13%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Atalanta	Home	Away	Frosinone	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	50%	50%	50%	73%	75%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	40%	33%	50%	27%	38%	0%
Over 2.5 Conceded	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	50%	50%	50%	27%	25%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Atalanta	Frosinone
Over 0.5	90%	100%
Over 1.5	60%	73%
Over 2.5	60%	45%
Over 3.5	10%	27%
Over 4.5	10%	18%
BTTS	50%	64%
BTTS & Win	20%	18%
BTTS & Draw	0%	36%
BTTS & Over 2.5	50%	36%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	10%	9%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Atalanta	Frosinone
Win 1st Half	20%	45%
Draw 1st Half	70%	36%
Loss 1st Half	10%	18%
Scored 1st Half	40%	73%
Conceded 1st Half	30%	45%
Win 2nd Half	50%	27%
Draw 2nd Half	20%	45%
Loss 2nd Half	30%	27%
Scored 2nd Half	70%	55%
Conceded 2nd Half	40%	45%
Over 0.5 HT	50%	91%
Over 1.5 HT	40%	55%

Recent Venue Form

Atalanta (H)

Cagliari1–2

Bologna1–0

Sassuolo2–1

Hapoel Tel Aviv0–0

Athletic Club1–0

Arezzo3–2

Frosinone (A)

Genoa1–1

Sassuolo1–1

Fiorentina3–0

Juve Stabia1–0

Modena2–1

Sudtirol3–1

Number of Corners

8.0

Corners / Match

6 games

League Avg

9.3

40 games

11.5

Corners / Match

6 games

Match Corners	Atalanta	Frosinone	League Avg
Over 6	50%	83%	73%
Over 7	50%	67%	63%
Over 8	33%	67%	53%
Over 9	33%	67%	43%
Over 10	33%	67%	35%
Over 11	33%	50%	30%
Over 12	33%	50%	23%
Over 13	17%	33%	20%

Team Corners

Team Corners	Atalanta	Frosinone
Corners Earned / Match	3.0	5.2
Corners Against / Match	5.0	6.3
Over 2.5 Corners For	67%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners For	33%	83%
Over 4.5 Corners For	17%	67%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	50%	67%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	50%	67%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	33%	67%

Head to Head · 6 matches

Atalanta

67%

Draws

17%

Frosinone

17%

83%

Over 1.5

5/6

67%

Over 2.5

4/6

50%

Over 3.5

3/6

17%

BTTS

1/6

15/01/24

Atalanta

5–0

Frosinone

26/08/23

Frosinone

2–1

Atalanta

20/01/19

Frosinone

0–5

Atalanta

20/08/18

Atalanta

4–0

Frosinone

23/01/16

Frosinone

0–0

Atalanta

30/08/15

Atalanta

2–0

Frosinone

Serie A

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Inter	4	4	0	0	+7	12
3	Como	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Cagliari	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	AC Milan	4	2	2	0	+3	8
7	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Juventus	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Sassuolo	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Napoli	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Atalanta	4	2	0	2	0	6
12	Lecce	4	2	0	2	-2	6
13	Udinese	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Torino	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Fiorentina	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Bologna	4	0	1	3	-3	1
17	Parma	4	0	1	3	-4	1
18	Monza	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-6	1
20	Venezia	4	0	0	4	-7	0