Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pereira — Primera A
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Atletico Nacional and Deportivo Pereira meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Atletico Nacional have recorded 31 wins from 48 matches this season (65% win rate), averaging 1.90 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Deportivo Pereira have won 13% of their 39 matches, with 0.79 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.17 for Atletico Nacional and 0.67 for Deportivo Pereira. The models give Atletico Nacional a 73% win probability, with a draw at 19% and an Deportivo Pereira win at 8%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
Atletico Nacional—
Deportivo Pereira1º
Position
20º
2.11
PPG
0.53
68%
Win %
5%
1.84
Goals / game
0.79
0.79
Conceded / game
1.68
46%
BTTS %
46%
33%
Clean sheet %
26%
63%
Over 2.5 %
38%
5.6
Avg corners
2.7
16.4
Avg shots
8.8
6.1
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.7
11.7
Avg fouls
11.1
59.1%
Avg possession
45.7%
Home vs Away
Atletico Nacional
Home (9)
—
Deportivo Pereira
Away (10)
2.78
PPG
0.30
89%
Win %
0%
2.44
Goals / game
0.60
0.33
Conceded / game
1.90
52%
BTTS %
52%
48%
Clean sheet %
10%
64%
Over 2.5 %
38%
5.6
Avg corners
2.7
16.4
Avg shots
8.8
6.1
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.7
59.1%
Avg possession
45.7%
Goals Scored
| Atletico Nacional | Home | Away | Deportivo Pereira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 92% | 57% | 56% | 61% | 52% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 68% | 52% | 23% | 28% | 19% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 8% | 43% | 44% | 39% | 48% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico Nacional | Home | Away | Deportivo Pereira | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 52% | 83% | 74% | 56% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 16% | 26% | 41% | 44% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 4% | 13% | 21% | 22% | 19% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 48% | 17% | 26% | 44% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 10% |
| BTTS | 46% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 35% | 3% |
| BTTS & Draw | 4% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 21% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Pereira | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 28% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 54% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 41% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico Nacional (H)W
Deportivo Pasto3–0
Deportivo Pasto3–0W
Independiente Medellin3–2
Independiente Medellin3–2D
Deportes Tolima0–0
Deportes Tolima0–0W
Junior3–1
Junior3–1D
Chapecoense-sc1–1
Chapecoense-sc1–1D
Millonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1Deportivo Pereira (A)D
Once Caldas1–1
Once Caldas1–1DJunior1–1
Junior1–1L
Cucuta0–4
Cucuta0–4D
Águilas Doradas2–2
Águilas Doradas2–2L
America de Cali1–4
America de Cali1–4WDeportivo Pasto2–1
Deportivo Pasto2–1Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
40 games
League Avg
9.0
344 games
8.3
Corners / Match
33 games
| Match Corners | Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Pereira | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 67% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 61% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 65% | 52% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 24% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 33% | 21% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 15% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 6% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 6% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Atletico Nacional | Deportivo Pereira |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 2.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 53% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 64% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
10
Atletico Nacional
50%
4
Draws
20%
6
Deportivo Pereira
30%
80%
Over 1.5
16/20
40%
Over 2.5
8/20
30%
Over 3.5
6/20
50%
BTTS
10/20
25/04/26Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
1–0Atletico Nacional23/07/25Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
2–1Atletico Nacional10/02/25Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
3–0Deportivo Pereira08/11/24Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
1–1Atletico Nacional18/04/24Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
0–1Deportivo Pereira02/11/23Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
3–1Deportivo Pereira20/10/23Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
2–0Atletico Nacional03/09/23Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
2–0Deportivo Pereira18/03/23Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
0–2Atletico Nacional17/02/23Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
4–3Deportivo Pereira09/02/23Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
0–1Atletico Nacional23/10/22Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
1–1Atletico Nacional07/05/22Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
1–1Deportivo Pereira12/12/21Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
5–1Deportivo Pereira01/12/21Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
1–1Atletico Nacional25/11/21Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
1–0Atletico Nacional11/11/21Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
5–0Deportivo Pereira03/10/21Atletico Nacional
Deportivo Pereira
3–2Atletico Nacional30/01/21Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
5–2Deportivo Pereira26/01/20Deportivo Pereira
Atletico Nacional
2–0Deportivo Pereira| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 | Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 |  Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 |  Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Atletico Nacional- ●Atletico Nacional have been undefeated in their last 18 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have scored in 16 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 18 of their 21 away matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have won 12 of their 21 away matches.
- ●76% of Atletico Nacional's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Atletico Nacional have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Deportivo Pereira- ●Deportivo Pereira have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Deportivo Pereira have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Pereira failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Pereira failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 18 away matches.
Season Schedule
Atletico NacionalWHDeportivo Pasto3–0
Deportivo Pasto3–0LACucuta0–1
Cucuta0–1WAChico4–1
Chico4–1DHDeportes Tolima0–0
Deportes Tolima0–0WHJunior3–1
Junior3–1DHMillonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1–HIndependiente Medellin25/10
Independiente Medellin25/10–HSanta Fe30/10
Santa Fe30/10–ABucaramanga03/11
Bucaramanga03/11Deportivo PereiraDAOnce Caldas1–1
Once Caldas1–1WHChico2–0
Chico2–0DAJunior1–1
Junior1–1DHDeportivo Cali0–0
Deportivo Cali0–0LACucuta0–4
Cucuta0–4LHSanta Fe1–2
Santa Fe1–2–HJaguares30/10
Jaguares30/10–HDeportes Tolima03/11
Deportes Tolima03/11–AAtletico Nacional07/11
Atletico Nacional07/11Top Scorers
Atletico NacionalA. Morelos17 ⚽
J. Rengifo9 ⚽
M. Moreno8 ⚽
A. Sarmiento7 ⚽
E. Cardona6 ⚽
Andrés Sarmiento3 ⚽
Deportivo PereiraJ. Monroy4 ⚽
Y. Quinones4 ⚽
S. Acosta3 ⚽
J. Largacha3 ⚽
M. Perez3 ⚽
R. Renteria2 ⚽
Cards Given
Atletico NacionalEdwin Cardona8 🟨
Alfredo Morelos8 🟨
Milton Casco7 🟨
Juan Zapata7 🟨
Andrés Román7 🟨
Jorman Campuzano5 🟨
Deportivo PereiraWalmer Pacheco12 🟨
Jorge Bermúdez6 🟨
Marco Pérez5 🟨
Eber Moreno4 🟨
Jhon Largacha4 🟨
S. Aguilar4 🟨