Deportivo Pasto vs Jaguares — Primera A
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Deportivo Pasto and Jaguares meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 5 November 2026. Deportivo Pasto have recorded 14 wins from 39 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 49%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Jaguares have won 22% of their 37 matches, with 1.08 goals scored and 1.73 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Deportivo Pasto and 0.83 for Jaguares. The models give Deportivo Pasto a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Jaguares win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Deportivo Pasto—
Jaguares3º
Position
16º
1.79
PPG
0.95
53%
Win %
26%
1.53
Goals / game
1.05
1.32
Conceded / game
1.74
44%
BTTS %
54%
31%
Clean sheet %
19%
49%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.1
Avg corners
3.9
11.4
Avg shots
10.5
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.4
3.0
Avg yellow cards
3.3
11.5
Avg fouls
11.1
52.5%
Avg possession
45.1%
Home vs Away
Deportivo Pasto
Home (10)
—
Jaguares
Away (9)
2.00
PPG
0.22
60%
Win %
0%
1.40
Goals / game
0.67
0.80
Conceded / game
2.33
38%
BTTS %
50%
38%
Clean sheet %
6%
33%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.1
Avg corners
3.9
11.4
Avg shots
10.5
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.4
3.0
Avg yellow cards
3.3
52.5%
Avg possession
45.1%
Goals Scored
| Deportivo Pasto | Home | Away | Jaguares | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 70% | 89% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 24% | 50% | 27% | 42% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 5% | 17% | 11% | 16% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 30% | 11% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Deportivo Pasto | Home | Away | Jaguares | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 62% | 78% | 81% | 68% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 38% | 56% | 62% | 53% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 5% | 33% | 22% | 16% | 28% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 38% | 22% | 19% | 32% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Deportivo Pasto | Jaguares | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 49% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS | 44% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Deportivo Pasto | Jaguares | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 35% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Deportivo Pasto (H)L
Alianza Valledupar0–1
Alianza Valledupar0–1D
Fortaleza FC0–0
Fortaleza FC0–0W
Once Caldas1–0
Once Caldas1–0L
Independiente Medellin1–4
Independiente Medellin1–4L
Deportivo Pereira1–2
Deportivo Pereira1–2L
Llaneros0–1
Llaneros0–1Jaguares (A)L
Santa Fe1–2
Santa Fe1–2L
Millonarios1–4
Millonarios1–4L
Águilas Doradas0–2
Águilas Doradas0–2LIndependiente Medellin1–2
Independiente Medellin1–2D
Junior3–3
Junior3–3L
Internacional de Bogota0–1
Internacional de Bogota0–1Number of Corners
7.9
Corners / Match
35 games
League Avg
9.0
344 games
9.5
Corners / Match
32 games
| Match Corners | Deportivo Pasto | Jaguares | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 66% | 78% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 51% | 72% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 43% | 56% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 29% | 44% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 31% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 28% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 19% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 13% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Deportivo Pasto | Jaguares |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 3.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.8 | 5.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 69% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 57% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 69% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 54% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 59% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
9
Deportivo Pasto
41%
6
Draws
27%
7
Jaguares
32%
59%
Over 1.5
13/22
32%
Over 2.5
7/22
27%
Over 3.5
6/22
41%
BTTS
9/22
17/04/26Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
2–3Deportivo Pasto03/08/24Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
0–0Deportivo Pasto05/02/24Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
1–1Jaguares20/10/23Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
1–0Deportivo Pasto09/09/23Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
1–0Jaguares08/05/23Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
4–0Jaguares28/03/23Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
0–1Deportivo Pasto05/09/22Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
2–1Jaguares16/07/22Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
0–1Deportivo Pasto09/03/22Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
1–0Deportivo Pasto31/01/22Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
1–1Jaguares08/10/21Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
4–1Deportivo Pasto21/02/21Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
2–2Jaguares20/09/20Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
2–0Jaguares11/08/19Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
1–1Deportivo Pasto17/02/19Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
4–1Jaguares30/09/18Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
0–2Deportivo Pasto01/04/18Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
0–1Jaguares23/07/17Deportivo Pasto
Jaguares
2–0Deportivo Pasto18/02/17Jaguares
Deportivo Pasto
0–0Jaguares| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 | Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 |  Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 |  America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 |  Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 |  Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Deportivo Pasto- ●Deportivo Pasto have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Deportivo Pasto have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Pasto failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
Jaguares- ●Jaguares failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Jaguares have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Jaguares have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Jaguares have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Jaguares failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 away matches.
- ●Jaguares have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Jaguares failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Jaguares have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Jaguares failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Jaguares have lost 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●67% of Jaguares's goals have been scored at home.
- ●89% of Jaguares's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Deportivo PastoLAAtletico Nacional0–3
Atletico Nacional0–3LHAlianza Valledupar0–1
Alianza Valledupar0–1DHFortaleza FC0–0
Fortaleza FC0–0LAChico0–3
Chico0–3WHOnce Caldas1–0
Once Caldas1–0WAAmerica de Cali1–0
America de Cali1–0–ADeportes Tolima26/10
Deportes Tolima26/10–ABucaramanga31/10
Bucaramanga31/10–HJaguares05/11
Jaguares05/11JaguaresLASanta Fe1–2
Santa Fe1–2LAMillonarios1–4
Millonarios1–4WHDeportes Tolima3–2
Deportes Tolima3–2LAÁguilas Doradas0–2
Águilas Doradas0–2LHAlianza Valledupar1–2
Alianza Valledupar1–2LAIndependiente Medellin1–2
Independiente Medellin1–2–HLlaneros26/10
Llaneros26/10–ADeportivo Pereira30/10
Deportivo Pereira30/10–ADeportivo Pasto05/11
Deportivo Pasto05/11Top Scorers
Deportivo PastoA. Estupinan13 ⚽
S. Cordoba6 ⚽
J. Perlaza5 ⚽
Diego Gabriel Chavez2 ⚽
D. Chavez2 ⚽
J. Obregon2 ⚽
JaguaresA. Renteria8 ⚽
D. Lopez6 ⚽
Andrés Rentería3 ⚽
Y. Moreno3 ⚽
Darwin Lopez3 ⚽
D. Rodriguez Urango2 ⚽
Cards Given
Deportivo PastoMateo Garavito8 🟨
Santiago Jiménez8 🟨
Andrey Estupiñán7 🟨
E. C. Serje Orozco7 🟨
Nicolas Gil7 🟨
M. Pisano6 🟨
JaguaresJonathan Lovera10 🟨
Andrés Rentería6 🟨
Diego Martínez6 🟨
Johan Hinestroza6 🟨
Carlos Henao6 🟨
Wilfrido De la Rosa5 🟨