Bucaramanga vs Atletico Nacional — Primera A
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Bucaramanga and Atletico Nacional meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Bucaramanga have recorded 12 wins from 39 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 1.49 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Atletico Nacional have won 65% of their 48 matches, with 1.90 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Bucaramanga and 1.13 for Atletico Nacional. The models give Bucaramanga a 44% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Atletico Nacional win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Bucaramanga—
Atletico Nacional13º
Position
1º
1.21
PPG
2.11
26%
Win %
68%
1.37
Goals / game
1.84
1.05
Conceded / game
0.79
59%
BTTS %
46%
28%
Clean sheet %
33%
51%
Over 2.5 %
63%
3.6
Avg corners
5.6
12.0
Avg shots
16.4
4.0
Avg shots on target
6.1
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.6
11.8
Avg fouls
11.7
47.9%
Avg possession
59.1%
Home vs Away
Bucaramanga
Home (9)
—
Atletico Nacional
Away (10)
1.78
PPG
1.50
44%
Win %
50%
2.11
Goals / game
1.30
0.67
Conceded / game
1.20
61%
BTTS %
39%
39%
Clean sheet %
17%
56%
Over 2.5 %
61%
3.6
Avg corners
5.6
12.0
Avg shots
16.4
4.0
Avg shots on target
6.1
2.7
Avg yellow cards
2.6
47.9%
Avg possession
59.1%
Goals Scored
| Bucaramanga | Home | Away | Atletico Nacional | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 89% | 62% | 75% | 92% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 56% | 24% | 60% | 68% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 28% | 14% | 33% | 40% | 26% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 11% | 38% | 25% | 8% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Bucaramanga | Home | Away | Atletico Nacional | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 61% | 81% | 67% | 52% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 22% | 52% | 21% | 16% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 39% | 19% | 33% | 48% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bucaramanga | Atletico Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS | 59% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 35% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 4% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bucaramanga | Atletico Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 54% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Bucaramanga (H)D
America de Cali1–1
America de Cali1–1D
Águilas Doradas1–1
Águilas Doradas1–1W
Junior3–1
Junior3–1W
Internacional de Bogota2–0
Internacional de Bogota2–0D
Independiente Medellin2–2
Independiente Medellin2–2D
Cucuta1–1
Cucuta1–1Atletico Nacional (A)LCucuta0–1
Cucuta0–1W
Chico4–1
Chico4–1L
Llaneros0–2
Llaneros0–2WInternacional de Bogota3–2
Internacional de Bogota3–2W
Alianza Valledupar5–1
Alianza Valledupar5–1W
Fortaleza FC2–1
Fortaleza FC2–1Number of Corners
7.9
Corners / Match
33 games
League Avg
9.0
344 games
9.5
Corners / Match
40 games
| Match Corners | Bucaramanga | Atletico Nacional | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 64% | 85% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 58% | 75% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 45% | 65% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 27% | 55% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 18% | 33% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 15% | 23% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 8% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bucaramanga | Atletico Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 42% | 70% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 30% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 64% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 40% |
Head to Head · 23 matches
5
Bucaramanga
22%
8
Draws
35%
10
Atletico Nacional
43%
61%
Over 1.5
14/23
43%
Over 2.5
10/23
30%
Over 3.5
7/23
48%
BTTS
11/23
21/04/26Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
2–0Bucaramanga29/03/25Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
2–0Atletico Nacional07/02/25Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
0–0Atletico Nacional30/01/25Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
1–1Bucaramanga24/09/24Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
1–0Atletico Nacional10/03/24Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
0–0Bucaramanga14/08/23Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
2–1Bucaramanga20/02/23Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
1–1Atletico Nacional28/08/22Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
3–2Bucaramanga09/06/22Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
0–1Atletico Nacional04/06/22Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
4–1Bucaramanga28/02/22Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
3–1Atletico Nacional07/11/21Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
0–0Bucaramanga24/02/21Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
3–2Atletico Nacional07/10/20Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
1–2Atletico Nacional22/07/19Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
0–0Bucaramanga31/01/19Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
0–1Atletico Nacional06/09/18Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
2–3Bucaramanga23/03/18Atletico Nacional
Bucaramanga
0–0Atletico Nacional17/07/17Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
2–1Bucaramanga| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 | Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 |  Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 | Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Bucaramanga- ●Bucaramanga have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Bucaramanga failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Bucaramanga failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●63% of Bucaramanga's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Bucaramanga have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico Nacional- ●Atletico Nacional have been undefeated in their last 18 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have scored in 16 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional failed to keep a clean sheet in 18 of their 21 away matches.
- ●Atletico Nacional have won 12 of their 21 away matches.
- ●76% of Atletico Nacional's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Atletico Nacional have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BucaramangaLAChico0–1
Chico0–1DHAmerica de Cali1–1
America de Cali1–1DHÁguilas Doradas1–1
Águilas Doradas1–1WHJunior3–1
Junior3–1WAOnce Caldas3–1
Once Caldas3–1WHInternacional de Bogota2–0
Internacional de Bogota2–0–ASanta Fe27/10
Santa Fe27/10–HDeportivo Pasto31/10
Deportivo Pasto31/10–HAtletico Nacional03/11
Atletico Nacional03/11Atletico NacionalWHDeportivo Pasto3–0
Deportivo Pasto3–0LACucuta0–1
Cucuta0–1WAChico4–1
Chico4–1DHDeportes Tolima0–0
Deportes Tolima0–0WHJunior3–1
Junior3–1DHMillonarios1–1
Millonarios1–1–HIndependiente Medellin25/10
Independiente Medellin25/10–HSanta Fe30/10
Santa Fe30/10–ABucaramanga03/11
Bucaramanga03/11Top Scorers
BucaramangaE. Batalla10 ⚽
L. Pons9 ⚽
F. Sambueza6 ⚽
B. Caicedo5 ⚽
K. Londono4 ⚽
Luciano Pons4 ⚽
Atletico NacionalA. Morelos17 ⚽
J. Rengifo9 ⚽
M. Moreno8 ⚽
A. Sarmiento7 ⚽
E. Cardona6 ⚽
Andrés Sarmiento3 ⚽
Cards Given
BucaramangaFabián Sambueza8 🟨
Fredy Hinestroza6 🟨
Aldair Gutiérrez6 🟨
F. Hinestroza6 🟨
F. Sambueza5 🟨
Luciano Pons5 🟨
Atletico NacionalEdwin Cardona8 🟨
Alfredo Morelos8 🟨
Milton Casco7 🟨
Juan Zapata7 🟨
Andrés Román7 🟨
Jorman Campuzano5 🟨