Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto — Primera A
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Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto meet in the Primera A 2026 season on 26 October 2026. Deportes Tolima have recorded 20 wins from 52 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.21 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Deportivo Pasto have won 36% of their 39 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Deportes Tolima and 1.14 for Deportivo Pasto. The models give Deportes Tolima a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Deportivo Pasto win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Deportes Tolima—
Deportivo Pasto6º
Position
3º
1.63
PPG
1.79
42%
Win %
53%
1.42
Goals / game
1.53
0.89
Conceded / game
1.32
46%
BTTS %
44%
35%
Clean sheet %
31%
44%
Over 2.5 %
49%
4.9
Avg corners
4.1
13.1
Avg shots
11.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.5
Avg yellow cards
3.0
11.3
Avg fouls
11.5
56.6%
Avg possession
52.5%
Home vs Away
Deportes Tolima
Home (10)
—
Deportivo Pasto
Away (9)
2.30
PPG
1.56
70%
Win %
44%
1.90
Goals / game
1.67
0.70
Conceded / game
1.89
42%
BTTS %
50%
42%
Clean sheet %
22%
42%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.9
Avg corners
4.1
13.1
Avg shots
11.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.5
Avg yellow cards
3.0
56.6%
Avg possession
52.5%
Goals Scored
| Deportes Tolima | Home | Away | Deportivo Pasto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 73% | 62% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 58% | 31% | 36% | 24% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 15% | 0% | 10% | 5% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 27% | 38% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Deportes Tolima | Home | Away | Deportivo Pasto | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 58% | 73% | 69% | 62% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 8% | 42% | 46% | 38% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 4% | 23% | 18% | 5% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 42% | 27% | 31% | 38% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 15% |
| BTTS | 46% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 31% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 31% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 37% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Deportes Tolima (H)D
Chico0–0
Chico0–0D
America de Cali1–1
America de Cali1–1W
Cucuta2–1
Cucuta2–1D
Bucaramanga0–0
Bucaramanga0–0L
Independiente del Valle0–1
Independiente del Valle0–1W
Internacional de Bogota2–1
Internacional de Bogota2–1Deportivo Pasto (A)L
Atletico Nacional0–3
Atletico Nacional0–3LChico0–3
Chico0–3WAmerica de Cali1–0
America de Cali1–0DCucuta2–2
Cucuta2–2DInternacional de Bogota1–1
Internacional de Bogota1–1L
Millonarios0–2
Millonarios0–2Number of Corners
9.2
Corners / Match
49 games
League Avg
9.0
344 games
7.9
Corners / Match
35 games
| Match Corners | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 84% | 66% | 76% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 51% | 68% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 43% | 54% |
| Over 9 | 47% | 29% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 20% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 16% | 11% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 0% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 4% | 0% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 65% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 55% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 37% | 40% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
12
Deportes Tolima
48%
7
Draws
28%
6
Deportivo Pasto
24%
60%
Over 1.5
15/25
36%
Over 2.5
9/25
16%
Over 3.5
4/25
48%
BTTS
12/25
13/05/26Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
0–2Deportes Tolima09/05/26Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1–0Deportivo Pasto11/04/26Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1–0Deportes Tolima12/07/25Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
3–2Deportes Tolima28/01/25Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
2–0Deportivo Pasto03/10/24Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1–1Deportes Tolima18/09/24Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1–2Deportivo Pasto24/07/24Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
2–1Deportivo Pasto26/01/24Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1–4Deportes Tolima18/09/23Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1–2Deportes Tolima11/04/23Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
3–1Deportivo Pasto09/10/22Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
2–1Deportes Tolima16/04/22Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
0–1Deportivo Pasto14/08/21Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1–0Deportivo Pasto15/02/21Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
0–1Deportes Tolima28/01/21Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1–1Deportivo Pasto14/09/20Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
1–3Deportes Tolima06/10/19Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
0–0Deportes Tolima14/04/19Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
0–0Deportivo Pasto28/08/18Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima
1–0Deportivo Pasto| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 25 | 18 | 1 | 6 | +28 | 55 |
| 2 |  Junior | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | +9 | 44 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +8 | 37 |
| 5 |  Santa Fe | 23 | 8 | 11 | 4 | +11 | 35 |
| 6 |  Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 34 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Cali | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | +6 | 30 |
| 9 |  Independiente Medellin | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +3 | 29 |
| 10 | Internacional de Bogota | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 | Millonarios | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | -5 | 26 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | +7 | 26 |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -2 | 25 |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | -5 | 22 |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 18 |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | -14 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | -17 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -13 | 16 |
| 20 |  Deportivo Pereira | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -18 | 10 |
Team Insights
Deportes Tolima- ●Deportes Tolima have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Deportes Tolima failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 19 away matches.
Deportivo Pasto- ●Deportivo Pasto have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Deportivo Pasto have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Pasto failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
Deportes TolimaLAÁguilas Doradas1–2
Águilas Doradas1–2LAJaguares2–3
Jaguares2–3DAAtletico Nacional0–0
Atletico Nacional0–0DHChico0–0
Chico0–0DAFortaleza FC2–2
Fortaleza FC2–2DHAmerica de Cali1–1
America de Cali1–1–HDeportivo Pasto26/10
Deportivo Pasto26/10–ADeportivo Pereira03/11
Deportivo Pereira03/11–HMillonarios07/11
Millonarios07/11Deportivo PastoLAAtletico Nacional0–3
Atletico Nacional0–3LHAlianza Valledupar0–1
Alianza Valledupar0–1DHFortaleza FC0–0
Fortaleza FC0–0LAChico0–3
Chico0–3WHOnce Caldas1–0
Once Caldas1–0WAAmerica de Cali1–0
America de Cali1–0–ADeportes Tolima26/10
Deportes Tolima26/10–ABucaramanga31/10
Bucaramanga31/10–HJaguares05/11
Jaguares05/11Top Scorers
Deportes TolimaL. Sandoval10 ⚽
J. P. Torres Patino8 ⚽
A. Parra Osorio6 ⚽
K. Florez6 ⚽
J. Gonzalez5 ⚽
E. Valencia5 ⚽
Deportivo PastoA. Estupinan13 ⚽
S. Cordoba6 ⚽
J. Perlaza5 ⚽
Diego Gabriel Chavez2 ⚽
D. Chavez2 ⚽
J. Obregon2 ⚽
Cards Given
Deportes TolimaLuis Sandoval12 🟨
Brayan Rovira10 🟨
Juan Torres6 🟨
Anderson Angulo6 🟨
Daniel Pedrozo5 🟨
Edwar López5 🟨
Deportivo PastoMateo Garavito8 🟨
Santiago Jiménez8 🟨
Andrey Estupiñán7 🟨
E. C. Serje Orozco7 🟨
Nicolas Gil7 🟨
M. Pisano6 🟨