Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar — Primera División
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Alianza Atletico and FBC Melgar meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Alianza Atletico have recorded 18 wins from 45 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.36 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. FBC Melgar have won 45% of their 38 matches, with 1.66 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 66%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Alianza Atletico and 1.13 for FBC Melgar. The models give Alianza Atletico a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an FBC Melgar win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Alianza Atletico | Home | Away | FBC Melgar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 77% | 74% | 84% | 89% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 22% | 53% | 67% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 32% | 9% | 21% | 28% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 23% | 26% | 16% | 11% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Alianza Atletico | Home | Away | FBC Melgar | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 64% | 87% | 71% | 61% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 27% | 48% | 24% | 22% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 5% | 35% | 16% | 11% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 36% | 13% | 29% | 39% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Alianza Atletico | FBC Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS | 58% | 66% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Alianza Atletico | FBC Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 51% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 49% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 32% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Alianza Atletico | FBC Melgar | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 72% | 74% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 59% | 65% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 41% | 48% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 31% | 42% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 21% | 35% | 31% |
| Over 11 | 10% | 32% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 19% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 8% | 16% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Alianza Atletico | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 64% | 84% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 46% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 51% | 39% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | +29 | 62 | |
| 2 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +19 | 53 | |
| 3 | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 53 | |
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 48 | |
| 5 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +9 | 47 | |
| 6 | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | -8 | 46 | |
| 7 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 45 | |
| 8 | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | +11 | 44 | |
| 9 | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | -2 | 44 | |
| 10 | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | +1 | 43 | |
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 38 | |
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -8 | 38 | |
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 34 | |
| 14 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -5 | 31 | |
| 15 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 28 | |
| 16 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 | |
| 17 | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 27 | |
| 18 | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -21 | 15 |
Team Insights
- ●Alianza Atletico failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico have scored in each of their last 19 matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Alianza Atletico have scored in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●68% of Alianza Atletico's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Alianza Atletico have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●FBC Melgar have won their last 2 matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●FBC Melgar failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●FBC Melgar failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●FBC Melgar have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.