Universitario vs UCV Moquegua — Primera División
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Estadio Monumental·Lima·Peru·80,093
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Universitario and UCV Moquegua meet in the Primera División 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Universitario have recorded 20 wins from 42 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. UCV Moquegua have won 24% of their 34 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.74 for Universitario and 0.66 for UCV Moquegua. The models give Universitario a 67% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an UCV Moquegua win at 11%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 40%.
Season Statistics
Universitario—
UCV Moquegua4º
Position
14º
1.71
PPG
1.06
47%
Win %
29%
1.41
Goals / game
1.00
0.88
Conceded / game
1.41
52%
BTTS %
38%
33%
Clean sheet %
29%
55%
Over 2.5 %
47%
5.7
Avg corners
3.4
13.1
Avg shots
10.3
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.5
11.9
Avg fouls
12.4
50.9%
Avg possession
39.8%
Home vs Away
Universitario
Home (9)
—
UCV Moquegua
Away (9)
2.33
PPG
0.44
78%
Win %
11%
1.67
Goals / game
0.44
0.67
Conceded / game
1.67
48%
BTTS %
17%
39%
Clean sheet %
28%
52%
Over 2.5 %
33%
5.7
Avg corners
3.4
13.1
Avg shots
10.3
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.5
50.9%
Avg possession
39.8%
Goals Scored
| Universitario | Home | Away | UCV Moquegua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 83% | 58% | 50% | 75% | 28% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 61% | 37% | 26% | 44% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 26% | 21% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 17% | 42% | 50% | 25% | 72% |
Goals Conceded
| Universitario | Home | Away | UCV Moquegua | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 61% | 74% | 71% | 69% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 26% | 47% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 11% | 15% | 13% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 39% | 26% | 29% | 31% | 28% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Universitario | UCV Moquegua | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 9% |
| BTTS | 52% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Universitario | UCV Moquegua | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 35% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 24% |
Recent Venue Form
Universitario (H)W
Juan Pablo II College3–0
Juan Pablo II College3–0D
FBC Melgar2–2
FBC Melgar2–2D
Comerciantes Unidos2–2
Comerciantes Unidos2–2W
Club Deportivo Los Chankas3–0
Club Deportivo Los Chankas3–0D
Sporting Cristal1–1
Sporting Cristal1–1W
Cusco2–1
Cusco2–1UCV Moquegua (A)W
FC Cajamarca1–0
FC Cajamarca1–0LJuan Pablo II College0–4
Juan Pablo II College0–4LCusco0–2
Cusco0–2L
ADT0–2
ADT0–2W
Sport Huancayo2–0
Sport Huancayo2–0L
Deportivo Garcilaso0–2
Deportivo Garcilaso0–2Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
36 games
League Avg
8.8
261 games
8.4
Corners / Match
29 games
| Match Corners | Universitario | UCV Moquegua | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 83% | 75% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 69% | 66% |
| Over 8 | 61% | 34% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 47% | 28% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 21% | 31% |
| Over 11 | 28% | 14% | 21% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 10% | 13% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 7% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Universitario | UCV Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.7 | 3.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.6 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 67% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 56% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 61% | 90% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 39% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 31% | 55% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Universitario
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
UCV Moquegua
0%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
23/05/26Universitario
UCV Moquegua
0–0Universitario| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 29 | 18 | 8 | 3 | +29 | 62 |
| 2 | FBC Melgar | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +19 | 53 |
| 3 | Universitario | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +15 | 53 |
| 4 | Deportivo Garcilaso | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | +12 | 48 |
| 5 |  Cienciano | 29 | 14 | 5 | 10 | +9 | 47 |
| 6 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | -8 | 46 |
| 7 | Cusco | 29 | 14 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Sporting Cristal | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | +11 | 44 |
| 9 | Sport Huancayo | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | -2 | 44 |
| 10 |  Alianza Atletico | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | +1 | 43 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Juan Pablo II College | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | -8 | 38 |
| 13 |  Atletico Grau | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Comerciantes Unidos | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -5 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | UCV Moquegua | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | -18 | 28 |
| 17 | ADT | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | -14 | 27 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 30 | 4 | 8 | 18 | -21 | 15 |
Team Insights
Universitario- ●Universitario have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Universitario have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Universitario have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Universitario have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Universitario failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Universitario have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Universitario have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Universitario failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Universitario have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Universitario's goals conceded were conceded away.
UCV Moquegua- ●UCV Moquegua have failed to win in their last 8 home matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●UCV Moquegua have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●72% of UCV Moquegua's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
UniversitarioWHJuan Pablo II College3–0
Juan Pablo II College3–0WAAlianza Atletico4–1
Alianza Atletico4–1DHFBC Melgar2–2
FBC Melgar2–2LADeportivo Garcilaso0–4
Deportivo Garcilaso0–4WAAlianza Lima2–1
Alianza Lima2–1DHComerciantes Unidos2–2
Comerciantes Unidos2–2–HSport Boys28/10
Sport Boys28/10–AAtletico Grau31/10
Atletico Grau31/10–HUCV Moquegua07/11
UCV Moquegua07/11UCV MoqueguaWAFC Cajamarca1–0
FC Cajamarca1–0LHCienciano0–2
Cienciano0–2LAJuan Pablo II College0–4
Juan Pablo II College0–4LHSporting Cristal1–2
Sporting Cristal1–2LACusco0–2
Cusco0–2LHAlianza Atletico1–4
Alianza Atletico1–4–AADT28/10
ADT28/10–HClub Deportivo Los Chankas31/10
Club Deportivo Los Chankas31/10–AUniversitario07/11
Universitario07/11Top Scorers
UniversitarioA. Valera15 ⚽
G. Lapadula5 ⚽
L. Alzugaray4 ⚽
Alex Valera4 ⚽
E. Flores3 ⚽
C. Fara3 ⚽
UCV MoqueguaE. Lastre9 ⚽
J. Collazos4 ⚽
Bryan Angulo4 ⚽
Y. Zapata3 ⚽
R. Chipao3 ⚽
C. Mejia2 ⚽
Cards Given
UniversitarioJorge Murrugarra4 🟨
Matías Di Benedetto4 🟨
C. Fara4 🟨
Anderson Santamaría4 🟨
Horacio Calcaterra3 🟨
J. Murrugarra3 🟨
UCV MoqueguaY. Zapata6 🟨
Yorman Zapata6 🟨
Aldair Perleche6 🟨
C. Ramirez5 🟨
Allonso Davila4 🟨
J. Lojas4 🟨