NK Osijek vs NK Varazdin — HNL
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NK Osijek and NK Varazdin meet in the HNL 2026 season on 12 December 2026. NK Osijek have recorded 11 wins from 23 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 61%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. NK Varazdin have won 53% of their 30 matches, with 1.77 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.80 for NK Osijek and 1.43 for NK Varazdin. The models give NK Osijek a 42% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an NK Varazdin win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
NK Osijek—
NK Varazdin3º
Position
4º
1.67
PPG
1.58
50%
Win %
42%
1.83
Goals / game
1.33
1.42
Conceded / game
0.92
57%
BTTS %
50%
30%
Clean sheet %
40%
61%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.0
Avg corners
3.8
16.5
Avg shots
12.5
5.6
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.4
15.7
Avg fouls
11.3
54.2%
Avg possession
45.9%
Home vs Away
NK Osijek
Home (6)
—
NK Varazdin
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
1.33
50%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.50
1.17
Conceded / game
1.33
54%
BTTS %
47%
31%
Clean sheet %
33%
62%
Over 2.5 %
60%
5.0
Avg corners
3.8
16.5
Avg shots
12.5
5.6
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.4
54.2%
Avg possession
45.9%
Goals Scored
| NK Osijek | Home | Away | NK Varazdin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 85% | 80% | 77% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 38% | 40% | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 23% | 20% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 15% | 20% | 23% | 20% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| NK Osijek | Home | Away | NK Varazdin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 69% | 70% | 60% | 53% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 38% | 30% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 30% | 31% | 30% | 7% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 31% | 30% | 40% | 47% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| NK Osijek | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 57% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| NK Osijek | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 18% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
NK Osijek (H)L
Rudes0–1
Rudes0–1D
HNK Gorica1–1
HNK Gorica1–1L
Istra 19611–3
Istra 19611–3D
Bsk Bijelo Brdo1–1
Bsk Bijelo Brdo1–1W
Dinamo Zagreb4–2
Dinamo Zagreb4–2W
NK Slaven Belupo3–0
NK Slaven Belupo3–0NK Varazdin (A)D
HNK Rijeka1–1
HNK Rijeka1–1L
HNK Hajduk Split0–1
HNK Hajduk Split0–1W
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0D
Aluminij0–0
Aluminij0–0DHNK Gorica2–2
HNK Gorica2–2W
Zagora4–0
Zagora4–0Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.5
57 games
8.6
Corners / Match
12 games
| Match Corners | NK Osijek | NK Varazdin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 82% | 75% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 67% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 58% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 50% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 42% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 8% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 0% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | NK Osijek | NK Varazdin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 64% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 55% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 82% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 55% | 50% |
Head to Head · 27 matches
8
NK Osijek
30%
12
Draws
44%
7
NK Varazdin
26%
63%
Over 1.5
17/27
37%
Over 2.5
10/27
22%
Over 3.5
6/27
52%
BTTS
14/27
19/09/26NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0–0NK Osijek17/04/26NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
0–2NK Varazdin08/02/26NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
2–1NK Osijek03/12/25NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
1–1NK Osijek02/11/25NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
0–0NK Varazdin17/08/25NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0–0NK Osijek17/05/25NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
2–1NK Osijek16/03/25NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
0–0NK Varazdin15/12/24NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0–0NK Osijek29/09/24NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2–1NK Varazdin25/05/24NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
0–2NK Osijek15/03/24NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
0–1NK Varazdin10/12/23NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
2–2NK Osijek22/09/23NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
1–1NK Varazdin30/04/23NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
1–3NK Osijek26/02/23NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
0–1NK Varazdin09/11/22NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
1–2NK Osijek22/10/22NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
4–1NK Osijek14/08/22NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
2–2NK Varazdin02/05/21NK Varazdin
NK Osijek
1–1NK Varazdin| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 26 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 | NK Varazdin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 13 |
| 8 | Rudes | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 13 |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
NK Osijek- ●NK Osijek failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●NK Osijek have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●NK Osijek have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
NK Varazdin- ●NK Varazdin have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●NK Varazdin have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●NK Varazdin failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●NK Varazdin have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●73% of NK Varazdin's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
NK OsijekWANK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–1LHRudes0–1
Rudes0–1DHHNK Gorica1–1
HNK Gorica1–1LHIstra 19611–3
Istra 19611–3DANK Varazdin0–0
NK Varazdin0–0WHDinamo Zagreb4–2
Dinamo Zagreb4–2–HHNK Hajduk Split08/11
HNK Hajduk Split08/11–ANK Slaven Belupo21/11
NK Slaven Belupo21/11–HHNK Rijeka28/11
HNK Rijeka28/11NK VarazdinDAHNK Rijeka1–1
HNK Rijeka1–1LHNK Slaven Belupo1–2
NK Slaven Belupo1–2LAHNK Hajduk Split0–1
HNK Hajduk Split0–1WANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0DHNK Osijek0–0
NK Osijek0–0DAHNK Gorica2–2
HNK Gorica2–2–HDinamo Zagreb08/11
Dinamo Zagreb08/11–ARudes21/11
Rudes21/11–AIstra 196128/11
Istra 196128/11Top Scorers
NK OsijekN. Omerovic6 ⚽
Armando León4 ⚽
A. Leon3 ⚽
A. Jakupovic2 ⚽
I. Dolcek2 ⚽
J. Jezic2 ⚽
NK VarazdinL. Mamic7 ⚽
I. Mamut4 ⚽
I. Tavares4 ⚽
I. Canjuga4 ⚽
A. Latkovic4 ⚽
S. Juric4 ⚽
Cards Given
NK OsijekJona Ježić2 🟨
S. Mustafic2 🟨
Armando León2 🟨
Domagoj Bukvic2 🟨
Luka Jelenic2 🟨
David Kalem1 🟨
NK VarazdinG. Sikosek2 🟨
Novak Tepsic2 🟨
Aleksa Latkovic2 🟨
F. Maglica2 🟨
Ivan Canjuga2 🟨
Tomislav Duvnjak2 🟨