HNK Gorica vs Istra 1961 — HNL
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HNK Gorica and Istra 1961 meet in the HNL 2026 season on 12 December 2026. HNK Gorica have recorded 7 wins from 24 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 42%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Istra 1961 have won 48% of their 23 matches, with 2.39 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for HNK Gorica and 1.57 for Istra 1961. The models give HNK Gorica a 33% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Istra 1961 win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
HNK Gorica—
Istra 196110º
Position
6º
0.58
PPG
1.33
8%
Win %
33%
0.58
Goals / game
1.75
1.67
Conceded / game
1.50
50%
BTTS %
65%
25%
Clean sheet %
26%
42%
Over 2.5 %
78%
4.3
Avg corners
4.7
9.5
Avg shots
12.5
2.9
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.5
Avg fouls
12.7
45.2%
Avg possession
46.3%
Home vs Away
HNK Gorica
Home (6)
—
Istra 1961
Away (6)
0.50
PPG
1.33
0%
Win %
33%
0.67
Goals / game
1.50
1.33
Conceded / game
1.33
43%
BTTS %
60%
36%
Clean sheet %
30%
36%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.3
Avg corners
4.7
9.5
Avg shots
12.5
2.9
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
45.2%
Avg possession
46.3%
Goals Scored
| HNK Gorica | Home | Away | Istra 1961 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 64% | 70% | 87% | 92% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 29% | 20% | 83% | 92% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 7% | 20% | 39% | 54% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 36% | 30% | 13% | 8% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| HNK Gorica | Home | Away | Istra 1961 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 64% | 90% | 74% | 77% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 50% | 40% | 48% | 46% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 7% | 20% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 36% | 10% | 26% | 23% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 26% |
| BTTS | 50% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
HNK Gorica (H)D
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0L
Rudes1–2
Rudes1–2D
Bravo3–3
Bravo3–3D
NK Varazdin2–2
NK Varazdin2–2D
HNK Rijeka0–0
HNK Rijeka0–0L
HNK Hajduk Split1–2
HNK Hajduk Split1–2Istra 1961 (A)W
NK Slaven Belupo2–0
NK Slaven Belupo2–0LNK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2W
NK Osijek3–1
NK Osijek3–1W
Zagorec5–0
Zagorec5–0DNK Varazdin0–0
NK Varazdin0–0LHNK Rijeka2–3
HNK Rijeka2–3Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
11 games
League Avg
9.5
57 games
10.4
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 91% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 82% | 82% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 64% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 64% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 55% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 36% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 18% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 18% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | HNK Gorica | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 5.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 45% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 82% | 91% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 64% |
Head to Head · 35 matches
16
HNK Gorica
46%
12
Draws
34%
7
Istra 1961
20%
69%
Over 1.5
24/35
40%
Over 2.5
14/35
23%
Over 3.5
8/35
46%
BTTS
16/35
19/09/26HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
0–1HNK Gorica27/04/26Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
1–0Istra 196121/02/26HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
0–2HNK Gorica23/11/25Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
1–0Istra 196129/08/25HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
1–0HNK Gorica12/04/25Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
3–2Istra 196131/01/25HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
0–0HNK Gorica27/10/24Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
1–0Istra 196110/08/24HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
2–1HNK Gorica24/05/24Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
2–0Istra 196117/03/24HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
0–0HNK Gorica09/12/23Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0–0Istra 196123/09/23HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
0–1HNK Gorica13/05/23HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
1–0HNK Gorica10/03/23Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
5–4Istra 196104/11/22HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
1–0HNK Gorica26/08/22Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
0–2Istra 196108/04/22Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
1–1Istra 196128/01/22HNK Gorica
Istra 1961
2–1HNK Gorica30/11/21Istra 1961
HNK Gorica
2–2Istra 1961| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 26 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 | NK Varazdin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 13 |
| 8 | Rudes | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 13 |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 | HNK Gorica | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
HNK Gorica- ●HNK Gorica have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●HNK Gorica have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●HNK Gorica failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●HNK Gorica failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●HNK Gorica have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●HNK Gorica have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Istra 1961- ●Istra 1961 failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
Season Schedule
HNK GoricaLAHNK Hajduk Split0–5
HNK Hajduk Split0–5DHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0DANK Osijek1–1
NK Osijek1–1LHRudes1–2
Rudes1–2WAIstra 19611–0
Istra 19611–0DHNK Varazdin2–2
NK Varazdin2–2–HNK Slaven Belupo07/11
NK Slaven Belupo07/11–AHNK Rijeka21/11
HNK Rijeka21/11–HDinamo Zagreb28/11
Dinamo Zagreb28/11Istra 1961WANK Slaven Belupo2–0
NK Slaven Belupo2–0DHHNK Hajduk Split2–2
HNK Hajduk Split2–2LANK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2WANK Osijek3–1
NK Osijek3–1LHHNK Gorica0–1
HNK Gorica0–1WHRudes3–2
Rudes3–2–HHNK Rijeka07/11
HNK Rijeka07/11–ADinamo Zagreb21/11
Dinamo Zagreb21/11–HNK Varazdin28/11
NK Varazdin28/11Top Scorers
HNK GoricaA. Erceg4 ⚽
3 ⚽
B. Bogojevic3 ⚽
T. Epailly2 ⚽
Bruno Bogojević2 ⚽
J. Pranjic2 ⚽
Istra 1961E. Frederiksen7 ⚽
H. Jaganjac6 ⚽
Isaac5 ⚽
Emil Frederiksen4 ⚽
D. Ahmeti4 ⚽
S. Bangura3 ⚽
Cards Given
HNK Gorica3 🟨
frigan juraj2 🟨
Dušan Stevanović2 🟨
I. Cvijanovic2 🟨
L. Vrzic2 🟨
Goncalo Costa1 🟨
Istra 1961J. Cabello2 🟨
D. Doumbia2 🟨
H. Jaganjac2 🟨
Isaac2 🟨
Dukan Ahmeti2 🟨
Rene Hrvatin2 🟨