Rudes vs Istra 1961 — HNL
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Rudes and Istra 1961 meet in the HNL 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Rudes have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 2.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Istra 1961 have won 48% of their 23 matches, with 2.39 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 65%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Rudes and 1.87 for Istra 1961. The models give Rudes a 36% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Istra 1961 win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Rudes—
Istra 19618º
Position
6º
1.08
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.25
Goals / game
1.75
2.25
Conceded / game
1.50
61%
BTTS %
65%
17%
Clean sheet %
26%
72%
Over 2.5 %
78%
3.7
Avg corners
4.7
9.6
Avg shots
12.5
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.9
14.2
Avg fouls
12.7
37.8%
Avg possession
46.3%
Home vs Away
Rudes
Home (6)
—
Istra 1961
Away (6)
1.17
PPG
1.33
33%
Win %
33%
1.50
Goals / game
1.50
2.50
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
60%
13%
Clean sheet %
30%
88%
Over 2.5 %
60%
3.7
Avg corners
4.7
9.6
Avg shots
12.5
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.9
37.8%
Avg possession
46.3%
Goals Scored
| Rudes | Home | Away | Istra 1961 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 75% | 80% | 87% | 92% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 38% | 50% | 83% | 92% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 20% | 39% | 54% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 25% | 20% | 13% | 8% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Rudes | Home | Away | Istra 1961 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 88% | 80% | 74% | 77% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 61% | 75% | 50% | 48% | 46% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 20% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 13% | 20% | 26% | 23% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rudes | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 61% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 26% |
| BTTS | 61% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 61% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rudes | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 55% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 77% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 72% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Rudes (H)W
Dinamo Zagreb1–0
Dinamo Zagreb1–0L
HNK Rijeka1–2
HNK Rijeka1–2D
NK Slaven Belupo2–2
NK Slaven Belupo2–2L
HNK Hajduk Split0–4
HNK Hajduk Split0–4W
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb4–1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb4–1L
NK Osijek1–6
NK Osijek1–6Istra 1961 (A)WNK Slaven Belupo2–0
NK Slaven Belupo2–0LNK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2WNK Osijek3–1
NK Osijek3–1W
Zagorec5–0
Zagorec5–0D
NK Varazdin0–0
NK Varazdin0–0LHNK Rijeka2–3
HNK Rijeka2–3Number of Corners
10.4
Corners / Match
12 games
League Avg
9.5
57 games
10.4
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Rudes | Istra 1961 | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 91% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 83% | 82% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 58% | 64% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 64% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 42% | 55% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 36% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 18% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 18% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rudes | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.7 | 4.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.8 | 5.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 42% | 82% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 17% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 92% | 91% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 64% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
4
Rudes
27%
2
Draws
13%
9
Istra 1961
60%
73%
Over 1.5
11/15
60%
Over 2.5
9/15
20%
Over 3.5
3/15
53%
BTTS
8/15
13/09/26Rudes
Istra 1961
3–2Rudes30/10/24Istra 1961
Rudes
1–2Istra 196103/05/24Istra 1961
Rudes
1–3Istra 196124/02/24Rudes
Istra 1961
2–1Rudes11/11/23Istra 1961
Rudes
0–4Istra 196127/08/23Rudes
Istra 1961
0–0Rudes08/11/22Istra 1961
Rudes
2–1Istra 196124/05/19Rudes
Istra 1961
2–0Rudes04/04/19Istra 1961
Rudes
1–0Istra 196116/12/18Rudes
Istra 1961
1–0Rudes01/10/18Istra 1961
Rudes
0–3Istra 196118/05/18Rudes
Istra 1961
1–1Rudes29/03/18Istra 1961
Rudes
2–1Istra 196104/12/17Rudes
Istra 1961
2–1Rudes17/09/17Istra 1961
Rudes
1–0Istra 1961| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 26 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 22 |
| 3 | NK Osijek | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 20 |
| 4 | NK Varazdin | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Istra 1961 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 |
| 7 | NK Slaven Belupo | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 13 |
| 8 | Rudes | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 13 |
| 9 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 |
| 10 |  HNK Gorica | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
Rudes- ●Rudes have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Rudes have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Rudes have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Rudes have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rudes failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rudes failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Rudes have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
Istra 1961- ●Istra 1961 failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
Season Schedule
RudesWHDinamo Zagreb1–0
Dinamo Zagreb1–0WANK Osijek1–0
NK Osijek1–0LHHNK Rijeka1–2
HNK Rijeka1–2WAHNK Gorica2–1
HNK Gorica2–1DHNK Slaven Belupo2–2
NK Slaven Belupo2–2LAIstra 19612–3
Istra 19612–3–ANK Lokomotiva Zagreb06/11
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb06/11–HNK Varazdin21/11
NK Varazdin21/11–AHNK Hajduk Split28/11
HNK Hajduk Split28/11Istra 1961WANK Slaven Belupo2–0
NK Slaven Belupo2–0DHHNK Hajduk Split2–2
HNK Hajduk Split2–2LANK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2WANK Osijek3–1
NK Osijek3–1LHHNK Gorica0–1
HNK Gorica0–1WHRudes3–2
Rudes3–2–HHNK Rijeka07/11
HNK Rijeka07/11–ADinamo Zagreb21/11
Dinamo Zagreb21/11–HNK Varazdin28/11
NK Varazdin28/11Top Scorers
Rudes4 ⚽
L. Ilecic3 ⚽
D. Korac2 ⚽
I. Djoric2 ⚽
Junior Fernandes2 ⚽
Noa skoko2 ⚽
Istra 1961E. Frederiksen7 ⚽
H. Jaganjac6 ⚽
Isaac5 ⚽
Emil Frederiksen4 ⚽
D. Ahmeti4 ⚽
S. Bangura3 ⚽
Cards Given
RudesSaad El Haddad2 🟨
Xavi2 🟨
A. Susak2 🟨
Lovre Rogić2 🟨
V. Seitz2 🟨
Filip Taraba1 🟨
Istra 1961J. Cabello2 🟨
D. Doumbia2 🟨
H. Jaganjac2 🟨
Isaac2 🟨
Dukan Ahmeti2 🟨
Rene Hrvatin2 🟨