HNK Rijeka vs HNK Gorica — HNL
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Stadion HNK Rijeka·Rijeka·Croatia·8,279
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HNK Rijeka and HNK Gorica meet in the HNL 2026 season on 21 November 2026. HNK Rijeka have recorded 14 wins from 23 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. HNK Gorica have won 30% of their 23 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for HNK Rijeka and 1.14 for HNK Gorica. The models give HNK Rijeka a 60% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an HNK Gorica win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
HNK Rijeka—
HNK Gorica5º
Position
9º
1.89
PPG
0.64
56%
Win %
9%
1.78
Goals / game
0.64
1.33
Conceded / game
1.36
48%
BTTS %
52%
39%
Clean sheet %
26%
52%
Over 2.5 %
39%
5.8
Avg corners
4.2
15.1
Avg shots
10.1
6.1
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.3
12.3
Avg fouls
10.4
57.5%
Avg possession
45.6%
Home vs Away
HNK Rijeka
Home (4)
—
HNK Gorica
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
0.80
100%
Win %
20%
3.00
Goals / game
0.60
1.00
Conceded / game
1.40
50%
BTTS %
67%
40%
Clean sheet %
11%
60%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.8
Avg corners
4.2
15.1
Avg shots
10.1
6.1
Avg shots on target
3.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.3
57.5%
Avg possession
45.6%
Goals Scored
| HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | HNK Gorica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 90% | 77% | 70% | 64% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 50% | 46% | 26% | 29% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 30% | 23% | 13% | 7% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 10% | 23% | 30% | 36% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | HNK Gorica | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 60% | 62% | 74% | 64% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 30% | 23% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 40% | 38% | 26% | 36% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| HNK Rijeka | HNK Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 9% |
| BTTS | 48% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| HNK Rijeka | HNK Gorica | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 48% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 26% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 52% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
HNK Rijeka (H)L
Union Berlin0–1
Union Berlin0–1W
HNK Hajduk Split3–0
HNK Hajduk Split3–0W
NK Osijek4–1
NK Osijek4–1L
FC Midtjylland1–4
FC Midtjylland1–4W
Istra 19613–2
Istra 19613–2W
Ilves1–0
Ilves1–0HNK Gorica (A)DNK Osijek1–1
NK Osijek1–1D
Maribor1–1
Maribor1–1WIstra 19611–0
Istra 19611–0W
Uskok Klis3–1
Uskok Klis3–1L
Dinamo Zagreb0–1
Dinamo Zagreb0–1L
NK Slaven Belupo0–2
NK Slaven Belupo0–2Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.4
49 games
10.5
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | HNK Rijeka | HNK Gorica | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 90% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 80% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 70% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 60% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 23% | 50% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 30% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 20% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 20% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | HNK Rijeka | HNK Gorica |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.1 | 6.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 77% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 62% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 38% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 15% | 70% |
Head to Head · 34 matches
17
HNK Rijeka
50%
6
Draws
18%
11
HNK Gorica
32%
65%
Over 1.5
22/34
38%
Over 2.5
13/34
18%
Over 3.5
6/34
35%
BTTS
12/34
31/08/26HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0–0HNK Rijeka23/05/26HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
2–0HNK Gorica22/03/26HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
4–0HNK Rijeka21/12/25HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
1–0HNK Gorica05/10/25HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
1–3HNK Rijeka04/05/25HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
2–1HNK Gorica01/03/25HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0–0HNK Rijeka30/11/24HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
1–0HNK Gorica14/09/24HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0–1HNK Rijeka21/04/24HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
3–0HNK Gorica11/02/24HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0–2HNK Rijeka24/01/24HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
2–3HNK Rijeka29/10/23HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
1–0HNK Gorica23/04/23HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
1–0HNK Rijeka12/02/23HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
2–0HNK Gorica06/01/23HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0–0HNK Rijeka09/10/22HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
0–2HNK Rijeka31/07/22HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
1–1HNK Gorica19/03/22HNK Rijeka
HNK Gorica
1–0HNK Rijeka11/12/21HNK Gorica
HNK Rijeka
1–2HNK Gorica| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 |  NK Varazdin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 | NK Slaven Belupo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | HNK Gorica | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 |  Rudes | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
HNK Rijeka- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of HNK Rijeka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of HNK Rijeka's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
HNK Gorica- ●HNK Gorica have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●HNK Gorica have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●HNK Gorica failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●HNK Gorica failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●HNK Gorica have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
HNK RijekaWARudes2–1
Rudes2–1LANK Slaven Belupo1–4
NK Slaven Belupo1–4WHHNK Hajduk Split3–0
HNK Hajduk Split3–0DANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1WHNK Osijek4–1
NK Osijek4–1DAHNK Gorica0–0
HNK Gorica0–0–ADinamo Zagreb27/10
Dinamo Zagreb27/10–HNK Varazdin31/10
NK Varazdin31/10–AIstra 196107/11
Istra 196107/11HNK GoricaDHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–0DANK Osijek1–1
NK Osijek1–1LHRudes1–2
Rudes1–2WAIstra 19611–0
Istra 19611–0DHNK Varazdin2–2
NK Varazdin2–2LADinamo Zagreb0–1
Dinamo Zagreb0–1–AHNK Hajduk Split31/10
HNK Hajduk Split31/10–HNK Slaven Belupo07/11
NK Slaven Belupo07/11–AHNK Rijeka21/11
HNK Rijeka21/11Top Scorers
HNK RijekaD. Adu Adjei7 ⚽
J. Puljic5 ⚽
T. Fruk3 ⚽
A. Gojak3 ⚽
D. Adu-Adjei2 ⚽
A. Barco2 ⚽
HNK GoricaA. Erceg4 ⚽
3 ⚽
B. Bogojevic3 ⚽
T. Epailly2 ⚽
Bruno Bogojević2 ⚽
J. Pranjic2 ⚽
Cards Given
HNK RijekaJ. Lasickas2 🟨
A. Barco2 🟨
A. Majstorovic2 🟨
I. Cubelic2 🟨
B. Pavic2 🟨
J. Puljic2 🟨
HNK Gorica3 🟨
frigan juraj2 🟨
Dušan Stevanović2 🟨
I. Cvijanovic2 🟨
L. Vrzic2 🟨
Goncalo Costa1 🟨