Dinamo Zagreb vs Istra 1961 — HNL
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Stadion Maksimir·Zagreb·Croatia·37,168
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Dinamo Zagreb and Istra 1961 meet in the HNL 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Dinamo Zagreb have recorded 15 wins from 25 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 2.60 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Istra 1961 have won 45% of their 20 matches, with 2.40 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 70%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.19 for Dinamo Zagreb and 1.34 for Istra 1961. The models give Dinamo Zagreb a 62% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Istra 1961 win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Dinamo Zagreb—
Istra 19612º
Position
7º
2.11
PPG
1.20
67%
Win %
30%
2.56
Goals / game
1.70
1.33
Conceded / game
1.60
56%
BTTS %
70%
44%
Clean sheet %
20%
76%
Over 2.5 %
80%
6.0
Avg corners
5.1
17.8
Avg shots
12.9
5.5
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
13.6
Avg fouls
11.3
58.0%
Avg possession
46.3%
Home vs Away
Dinamo Zagreb
Home (5)
—
Istra 1961
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
1.00
100%
Win %
20%
2.60
Goals / game
1.40
0.60
Conceded / game
1.60
54%
BTTS %
67%
46%
Clean sheet %
22%
69%
Over 2.5 %
67%
6.0
Avg corners
5.1
17.8
Avg shots
12.9
5.5
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
58.0%
Avg possession
46.3%
Goals Scored
| Dinamo Zagreb | Home | Away | Istra 1961 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 92% | 92% | 85% | 91% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 68% | 69% | 67% | 80% | 91% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 44% | 46% | 42% | 40% | 55% | 22% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 8% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Dinamo Zagreb | Home | Away | Istra 1961 | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 54% | 58% | 80% | 82% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 46% | 33% | 50% | 45% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 8% | 17% | 10% | 9% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 46% | 42% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dinamo Zagreb | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 30% |
| BTTS | 56% | 70% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 65% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 24% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dinamo Zagreb | Istra 1961 | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 79% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 48% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 16% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 64% | 68% |
Recent Venue Form
Dinamo Zagreb (H)L
NEC Nijmegen2–4
NEC Nijmegen2–4W
Anderlecht1–0
Anderlecht1–0W
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–2W
HNK Gorica1–0
HNK Gorica1–0W
NK Varazdin3–1
NK Varazdin3–1D
Viking2–2
Viking2–2Istra 1961 (A)LNK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2W
NK Osijek3–1
NK Osijek3–1W
Zagorec5–0
Zagorec5–0DNK Varazdin0–0
NK Varazdin0–0L
HNK Rijeka2–3
HNK Rijeka2–3D
HNK Hajduk Split2–2
HNK Hajduk Split2–2Number of Corners
9.5
Corners / Match
17 games
League Avg
9.4
49 games
11.1
Corners / Match
9 games
| Match Corners | Dinamo Zagreb | Istra 1961 | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 89% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 76% | 89% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 47% | 78% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 41% | 78% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 41% | 67% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 44% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 22% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 18% | 22% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dinamo Zagreb | Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.0 | 5.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.5 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 76% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 71% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 53% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 35% | 89% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 24% | 67% |
Head to Head · 42 matches
32
Dinamo Zagreb
76%
7
Draws
17%
3
Istra 1961
7%
74%
Over 1.5
31/42
60%
Over 2.5
25/42
31%
Over 3.5
13/42
36%
BTTS
15/42
29/08/26Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
2–2Dinamo Zagreb22/04/26Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
0–2Dinamo Zagreb14/02/26Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
4–0Istra 196109/11/25Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
2–1Dinamo Zagreb23/08/25Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
3–0Istra 196105/04/25Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
3–0Dinamo Zagreb25/01/25Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
3–1Istra 196119/10/24Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
2–2Dinamo Zagreb02/08/24Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
5–0Istra 196107/04/24Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
4–1Istra 196127/01/24Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
0–1Dinamo Zagreb08/10/23Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
3–0Istra 196129/07/23Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
0–3Dinamo Zagreb22/04/23Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
0–0Dinamo Zagreb15/03/23Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
1–0Dinamo Zagreb10/02/23Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
1–0Istra 196129/07/22Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
4–1Istra 196115/04/22Istra 1961
Dinamo Zagreb
3–0Istra 196106/02/22Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
1–2Dinamo Zagreb15/12/21Dinamo Zagreb
Istra 1961
0–2Dinamo Zagreb| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | HNK Gorica | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 |  Rudes | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
Dinamo Zagreb- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Dinamo Zagreb's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Dinamo Zagreb's points have been earned at home.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
Istra 1961- ●Istra 1961 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Istra 1961 failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
Season Schedule
Dinamo ZagrebWANK Slaven Belupo5–1
NK Slaven Belupo5–1LAHNK Hajduk Split1–2
HNK Hajduk Split1–2WHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–2LANK Osijek2–4
NK Osijek2–4WHHNK Gorica1–0
HNK Gorica1–0DAIstra 19612–2
Istra 19612–2–HHNK Rijeka27/10
HNK Rijeka27/10–ARudes31/10
Rudes31/10–ANK Varazdin07/11
NK Varazdin07/11Istra 1961LANK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb0–2WANK Osijek3–1
NK Osijek3–1LHHNK Gorica0–1
HNK Gorica0–1WHRudes3–2
Rudes3–2DANK Varazdin0–0
NK Varazdin0–0DHDinamo Zagreb2–2
Dinamo Zagreb2–2–HHNK Hajduk Split26/10
HNK Hajduk Split26/10–ANK Slaven Belupo31/10
NK Slaven Belupo31/10–HHNK Rijeka07/11
HNK Rijeka07/11Top Scorers
Dinamo ZagrebD. Beljo12 ⚽
Dion Drena Beljo7 ⚽
L. Kacavenda5 ⚽
L. Stojkovic3 ⚽
L. Ivanusec3 ⚽
S. Prevljak3 ⚽
Istra 1961E. Frederiksen7 ⚽
H. Jaganjac6 ⚽
D. Ahmeti4 ⚽
Isaac3 ⚽
Emil Frederiksen3 ⚽
S. Bangura3 ⚽
Cards Given
Dinamo ZagrebJ. Misic3 🟨
Matteo Perez Vinlöf2 🟨
Dion Drena Beljo2 🟨
L. Kacavenda2 🟨
M. Zajc2 🟨
S. McKenna2 🟨
Istra 1961J. Cabello2 🟨
hamza jaganjac2 🟨
Dukan Ahmeti2 🟨
D. Doumbia2 🟨
H. Jaganjac2 🟨
Demirel hodzic1 🟨