NK Varazdin vs Dinamo Zagreb — HNL
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NK Varazdin and Dinamo Zagreb meet in the HNL 2026 season on 7 November 2026. NK Varazdin have recorded 16 wins from 28 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.82 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Dinamo Zagreb have won 60% of their 25 matches, with 2.60 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 76%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for NK Varazdin and 1.58 for Dinamo Zagreb. The models give NK Varazdin a 35% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Dinamo Zagreb win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| NK Varazdin | Home | Away | Dinamo Zagreb | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 79% | 71% | 92% | 92% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 57% | 43% | 68% | 69% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 21% | 36% | 44% | 46% | 42% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 21% | 29% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| NK Varazdin | Home | Away | Dinamo Zagreb | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 50% | 64% | 56% | 54% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 21% | 43% | 40% | 46% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 50% | 36% | 44% | 46% | 42% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| NK Varazdin | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 32% |
| BTTS | 46% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 12% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| NK Varazdin | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 46% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 8% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 64% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 15% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 54% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 16% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 54% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | NK Varazdin | Dinamo Zagreb | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 88% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 76% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 55% | 47% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 45% | 41% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 41% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 29% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 9% | 18% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 18% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | NK Varazdin | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.1 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 64% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 45% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 45% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 24% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 | |
| 3 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 18 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 | |
| 5 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 13 | |
| 7 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 | |
| 8 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 | |
| 9 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 | |
| 10 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●NK Varazdin have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●NK Varazdin failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of NK Varazdin's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●75% of Dinamo Zagreb's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Dinamo Zagreb's points have been earned at home.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.