HNK Rijeka vs NK Varazdin — HNL
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Stadion HNK Rijeka·Rijeka·Croatia·8,279
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HNK Rijeka and NK Varazdin meet in the HNL 2026 season on 31 October 2026. HNK Rijeka have recorded 14 wins from 23 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.04 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. NK Varazdin have won 57% of their 28 matches, with 1.82 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.03 for HNK Rijeka and 1.43 for NK Varazdin. The models give HNK Rijeka a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an NK Varazdin win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
HNK Rijeka—
NK Varazdin5º
Position
3º
1.89
PPG
1.64
56%
Win %
45%
1.78
Goals / game
1.36
1.33
Conceded / game
0.91
48%
BTTS %
46%
39%
Clean sheet %
43%
52%
Over 2.5 %
54%
5.8
Avg corners
4.2
15.1
Avg shots
13.4
6.1
Avg shots on target
3.6
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.5
12.3
Avg fouls
11.3
57.5%
Avg possession
47.3%
Home vs Away
HNK Rijeka
Home (4)
—
NK Varazdin
Away (5)
3.00
PPG
1.40
100%
Win %
40%
3.00
Goals / game
1.60
1.00
Conceded / game
1.40
50%
BTTS %
43%
40%
Clean sheet %
36%
60%
Over 2.5 %
64%
5.8
Avg corners
4.2
15.1
Avg shots
13.4
6.1
Avg shots on target
3.6
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.5
57.5%
Avg possession
47.3%
Goals Scored
| HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | NK Varazdin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 90% | 77% | 75% | 79% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 50% | 46% | 50% | 57% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 30% | 23% | 29% | 21% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 10% | 23% | 25% | 21% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | NK Varazdin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 60% | 62% | 57% | 50% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 30% | 23% | 32% | 21% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 40% | 38% | 43% | 50% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| HNK Rijeka | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 14% |
| BTTS | 48% | 46% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| HNK Rijeka | NK Varazdin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 57% | 46% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 8% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 26% | 15% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 54% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
HNK Rijeka (H)L
Union Berlin0–1
Union Berlin0–1W
HNK Hajduk Split3–0
HNK Hajduk Split3–0W
NK Osijek4–1
NK Osijek4–1L
FC Midtjylland1–4
FC Midtjylland1–4W
Istra 19613–2
Istra 19613–2W
Ilves1–0
Ilves1–0NK Varazdin (A)LHNK Hajduk Split0–1
HNK Hajduk Split0–1W
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0D
Aluminij0–0
Aluminij0–0D
HNK Gorica2–2
HNK Gorica2–2W
Zagora4–0
Zagora4–0L
Dinamo Zagreb1–3
Dinamo Zagreb1–3Number of Corners
9.0
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
9.4
49 games
8.3
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | HNK Rijeka | NK Varazdin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 73% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 64% | 73% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 55% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 45% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 23% | 36% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 9% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | HNK Rijeka | NK Varazdin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.8 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.1 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 77% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 62% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 38% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 15% | 45% |
Head to Head · 28 matches
15
HNK Rijeka
54%
4
Draws
14%
9
NK Varazdin
32%
79%
Over 1.5
22/28
54%
Over 2.5
15/28
21%
Over 3.5
6/28
54%
BTTS
15/28
16/08/26HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
2–0HNK Rijeka22/04/26HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
1–0HNK Rijeka14/02/26NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
3–1NK Varazdin09/11/25HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
1–0HNK Rijeka24/08/25NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1–2NK Varazdin13/04/25NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1–0NK Varazdin01/02/25HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
1–0HNK Rijeka26/10/24NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1–1NK Varazdin11/08/24HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0–0HNK Rijeka11/05/24HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
3–1HNK Rijeka03/03/24NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
2–0NK Varazdin25/11/23HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0–2HNK Rijeka03/09/23NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
2–2NK Varazdin14/05/23HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
2–0HNK Rijeka12/03/23NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
3–1NK Varazdin06/11/22HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
0–3HNK Rijeka27/08/22NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
1–2NK Varazdin16/05/21HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
2–3HNK Rijeka21/03/21NK Varazdin
HNK Rijeka
2–0NK Varazdin23/01/21HNK Rijeka
NK Varazdin
2–1HNK Rijeka| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HNK Hajduk Split | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Dinamo Zagreb | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | NK Osijek | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 | HNK Rijeka | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 6 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 13 |
| 7 | Istra 1961 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 12 |
| 8 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 9 | HNK Gorica | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 10 |  Rudes | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -14 | 7 |
Team Insights
HNK Rijeka- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●75% of HNK Rijeka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of HNK Rijeka's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
NK Varazdin- ●NK Varazdin have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●NK Varazdin failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●70% of NK Varazdin's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
HNK RijekaWARudes2–1
Rudes2–1LANK Slaven Belupo1–4
NK Slaven Belupo1–4WHHNK Hajduk Split3–0
HNK Hajduk Split3–0DANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1WHNK Osijek4–1
NK Osijek4–1DAHNK Gorica0–0
HNK Gorica0–0–ADinamo Zagreb27/10
Dinamo Zagreb27/10–HNK Varazdin31/10
NK Varazdin31/10–AIstra 196107/11
Istra 196107/11NK VarazdinLHNK Slaven Belupo1–2
NK Slaven Belupo1–2LAHNK Hajduk Split0–1
HNK Hajduk Split0–1WANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–0DHNK Osijek0–0
NK Osijek0–0DAHNK Gorica2–2
HNK Gorica2–2DHIstra 19610–0
Istra 19610–0–AHNK Rijeka31/10
HNK Rijeka31/10–HDinamo Zagreb07/11
Dinamo Zagreb07/11–ARudes21/11
Rudes21/11Top Scorers
HNK RijekaD. Adu Adjei7 ⚽
J. Puljic5 ⚽
T. Fruk3 ⚽
A. Gojak3 ⚽
D. Adu-Adjei2 ⚽
A. Barco2 ⚽
NK VarazdinL. Mamic6 ⚽
I. Mamut4 ⚽
I. Canjuga4 ⚽
A. Latkovic4 ⚽
S. Juric4 ⚽
M. Mladenovski3 ⚽
Cards Given
HNK RijekaJ. Lasickas2 🟨
A. Barco2 🟨
A. Majstorovic2 🟨
I. Cubelic2 🟨
B. Pavic2 🟨
J. Puljic2 🟨
NK VarazdinIvan Canjuga2 🟨
Tomislav Duvnjak2 🟨
F. Maglica2 🟨
Aleksa Latkovic2 🟨
G. Sikosek2 🟨
Aleksa Latković1 🟨