HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb — HNL
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HNK Rijeka and Dinamo Zagreb meet in the HNL 2026 season on 3 December 2026. HNK Rijeka have recorded 14 wins from 25 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.72 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Dinamo Zagreb have won 59% of their 27 matches, with 2.48 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 41%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for HNK Rijeka and 1.62 for Dinamo Zagreb. The models give HNK Rijeka a 41% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Dinamo Zagreb win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 68%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | Dinamo Zagreb | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 91% | 79% | 89% | 93% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 45% | 43% | 67% | 71% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 27% | 21% | 41% | 43% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 9% | 21% | 11% | 7% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| HNK Rijeka | Home | Away | Dinamo Zagreb | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 64% | 64% | 59% | 57% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 27% | 29% | 37% | 43% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 9% | 7% | 11% | 7% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 36% | 36% | 41% | 43% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 30% |
| BTTS | 52% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 52% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 56% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 15% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 80% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 59% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 84% | 84% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 74% | 74% |
| Over 8 | 67% | 47% | 58% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 42% | 51% |
| Over 10 | 27% | 42% | 40% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 32% | 25% |
| Over 12 | 7% | 21% | 16% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 21% | 12% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | HNK Rijeka | Dinamo Zagreb |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 2.9 | 3.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 74% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 60% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 60% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 33% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 13% | 26% |
Head to Head · 47 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | +15 | 26 | |
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 22 | |
| 3 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 20 | |
| 4 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 19 | |
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 18 | |
| 6 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 16 | |
| 7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -11 | 13 | |
| 8 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 13 | |
| 9 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -6 | 11 | |
| 10 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -13 | 7 |
Team Insights
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●HNK Rijeka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●72% of HNK Rijeka's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of HNK Rijeka's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●HNK Rijeka have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●71% of Dinamo Zagreb's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●82% of Dinamo Zagreb's points have been earned at home.
- ●Dinamo Zagreb have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.