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HNK Rijeka vs Dinamo Zagreb — HNL

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HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
5º · 1.64 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 32d 3h
vs
–
–
Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb
2º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 33d 0h
Stadion HNK Rijeka·Rijeka·Croatia·8,279
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HNK Rijeka and Dinamo Zagreb meet in the HNL 2026 season on 3 December 2026. HNK Rijeka have recorded 14 wins from 25 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.72 goals scored and 1.08 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Dinamo Zagreb have won 59% of their 27 matches, with 2.48 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 41%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.05 for HNK Rijeka and 1.62 for Dinamo Zagreb. The models give HNK Rijeka a 41% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Dinamo Zagreb win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 70% and BTTS at 68%.

Season Statistics

HNK Rijeka
—
Dinamo Zagreb
5º
Position
2º
1.64
PPG
2.00
45%
Win %
64%
1.64
Goals / game
2.27
1.36
Conceded / game
1.27
52%
BTTS %
56%
36%
Clean sheet %
41%
52%
Over 2.5 %
74%
5.9
Avg corners
6.0
14.5
Avg shots
18.1
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
12.2
Avg fouls
13.2
57.5%
Avg possession
58.8%

Home vs Away

HNK Rijeka
Home (5)
—
Dinamo Zagreb
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
0.80
80%
Win %
20%
2.60
Goals / game
2.00
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
55%
BTTS %
54%
36%
Clean sheet %
38%
55%
Over 2.5 %
77%
5.9
Avg corners
6.0
14.5
Avg shots
18.1
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.7
57.5%
Avg possession
58.8%

Goals Scored

HNK RijekaHomeAwayDinamo ZagrebHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored84%91%79%89%93%85%
Over 1.5 Scored44%45%43%67%71%62%
Over 2.5 Scored24%27%21%41%43%38%
Failed To Score16%9%21%11%7%15%

Goals Conceded

HNK RijekaHomeAwayDinamo ZagrebHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded64%64%64%59%57%62%
Over 1.5 Conceded28%27%29%37%43%31%
Over 2.5 Conceded8%9%7%11%7%15%
Clean Sheets36%36%36%41%43%38%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

HNK RijekaDinamo Zagreb
Over 0.596%93%
Over 1.580%81%
Over 2.552%74%
Over 3.524%56%
Over 4.524%30%
BTTS52%56%
BTTS & Win24%26%
BTTS & Draw12%11%
BTTS & Over 2.540%52%
BTTS No & Over 2.512%22%

1st Half / 2nd Half

HNK RijekaDinamo Zagreb
Win 1st Half56%44%
Draw 1st Half28%30%
Loss 1st Half16%26%
Scored 1st Half64%63%
Conceded 1st Half28%48%
Win 2nd Half28%52%
Draw 2nd Half44%33%
Loss 2nd Half28%15%
Scored 2nd Half60%67%
Conceded 2nd Half52%33%
Over 0.5 HT80%85%
Over 1.5 HT40%59%

Recent Venue Form

HNK Rijeka (H)
DNK Varazdin1–1
LUnion Berlin0–1
WHNK Hajduk Split3–0
WNK Osijek4–1
LFC Midtjylland1–4
WIstra 19613–2
Dinamo Zagreb (A)
LRudes0–1
WNK Slaven Belupo5–1
LHNK Hajduk Split1–2
WVukovar4–0
DHapoel Beer Sheva0–0
LNK Osijek2–4

Number of Corners

8.9
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
9.5
57 games
9.5
Corners / Match
19 games
Match CornersHNK RijekaDinamo ZagrebLeague Avg
Over 680%84%84%
Over 773%74%74%
Over 867%47%58%
Over 953%42%51%
Over 1027%42%40%
Over 1113%32%25%
Over 127%21%16%
Over 130%21%12%

Team Corners

Team CornersHNK RijekaDinamo Zagreb
Corners Earned / Match5.96.0
Corners Against / Match2.93.5
Over 2.5 Corners For73%79%
Over 3.5 Corners For73%74%
Over 4.5 Corners For60%68%
Over 2.5 Corners Against60%53%
Over 3.5 Corners Against33%37%
Over 4.5 Corners Against13%26%

Head to Head · 47 matches

10
HNK Rijeka
21%
13
Draws
28%
24
Dinamo Zagreb
51%
79%
Over 1.5
37/47
55%
Over 2.5
26/47
40%
Over 3.5
19/47
55%
BTTS
26/47
27/10/26
Dinamo Zagreb
2–1
HNK Rijeka
13/05/26
Dinamo Zagreb
2–0
HNK Rijeka
18/04/26
Dinamo Zagreb
2–2
HNK Rijeka
08/02/26
HNK Rijeka
0–0
Dinamo Zagreb
01/11/25
Dinamo Zagreb
2–1
HNK Rijeka
16/08/25
HNK Rijeka
0–2
Dinamo Zagreb
27/04/25
Dinamo Zagreb
1–0
HNK Rijeka
22/02/25
HNK Rijeka
4–0
Dinamo Zagreb
23/11/24
Dinamo Zagreb
0–0
HNK Rijeka
01/09/24
HNK Rijeka
1–1
Dinamo Zagreb
22/05/24
HNK Rijeka
1–3
Dinamo Zagreb
15/05/24
Dinamo Zagreb
0–0
HNK Rijeka
05/05/24
HNK Rijeka
1–2
Dinamo Zagreb
25/02/24
Dinamo Zagreb
1–0
HNK Rijeka
12/11/23
HNK Rijeka
2–2
Dinamo Zagreb
27/08/23
Dinamo Zagreb
2–1
HNK Rijeka
21/05/23
HNK Rijeka
1–2
Dinamo Zagreb
19/03/23
Dinamo Zagreb
1–0
HNK Rijeka
13/11/22
HNK Rijeka
2–7
Dinamo Zagreb
02/09/22
Dinamo Zagreb
3–1
HNK Rijeka
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1HNK Hajduk Split12822+1526
2Dinamo Zagreb11713+1122
3NK Osijek12624+520
4NK Varazdin12543+519
5HNK Rijeka11533+318
6Istra 196112444+316
7NK Slaven Belupo12417-1113
8Rudes12417-1213
9NK Lokomotiva Zagreb12327-611
10HNK Gorica12147-137

Team Insights

HNK Rijeka
  • ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●HNK Rijeka have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●HNK Rijeka have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●HNK Rijeka failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
  • ●HNK Rijeka failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●72% of HNK Rijeka's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●67% of HNK Rijeka's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●HNK Rijeka have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Dinamo Zagreb
  • ●Dinamo Zagreb failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Dinamo Zagreb have won their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Dinamo Zagreb failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Dinamo Zagreb have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Dinamo Zagreb have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Dinamo Zagreb failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●71% of Dinamo Zagreb's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●82% of Dinamo Zagreb's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Dinamo Zagreb have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
DHNK Varazdin4º1–1
LADinamo Zagreb2º1–2
WARudes8º2–1
WAVrbovec6–0
WHNK Osijek3º4–1
LARudes8º0–1
WHHNK Rijeka5º2–1
LHNEC Nijmegen36º2–4
LHNEC Nijmegen20º2–4
WHAnderlecht22º1–0
WHAnderlecht22º1–0
WAVukovar4–0

Season Schedule

HNK Rijeka
DHNK Varazdin1–1
LADinamo Zagreb1–2
WARudes2–1
LANK Slaven Belupo1–4
WHHNK Hajduk Split3–0
DANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1–1
–AIstra 196107/11
–HHNK Gorica21/11
–ANK Osijek28/11
Dinamo Zagreb
LARudes0–1
WHHNK Rijeka2–1
WANK Slaven Belupo5–1
LAHNK Hajduk Split1–2
WHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb3–2
LANK Osijek2–4
–ANK Varazdin08/11
–HIstra 196121/11
–AHNK Gorica28/11

Top Scorers

HNK Rijeka
D. Adu Adjei7 ⚽
J. Puljic5 ⚽
T. Fruk3 ⚽
A. Gojak3 ⚽
Samuele Vignato3 ⚽
Toni Fruk3 ⚽
Dinamo Zagreb
D. Beljo12 ⚽
Dion Drena Beljo7 ⚽
L. Kacavenda5 ⚽
L. Stojkovic3 ⚽
L. Ivanusec3 ⚽
S. Prevljak3 ⚽

Cards Given

HNK Rijeka
B. Pavic2 🟨
I. Cubelic2 🟨
A. Majstorovic2 🟨
Ante Majstorović2 🟨
A. Barco2 🟨
J. Lasickas2 🟨
Dinamo Zagreb
J. Misic3 🟨
Dion Drena Beljo3 🟨
Matteo Perez Vinlöf2 🟨
L. Kacavenda2 🟨
M. Zajc2 🟨
S. McKenna2 🟨