Red Lions vs Karonga United — Super League
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Red Lions and Karonga United meet in the Super League 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Red Lions have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 0.72 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 28% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 22%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Karonga United have won 25% of their 16 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Red Lions and 0.58 for Karonga United. The models give Red Lions a 52% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Karonga United win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 32%.
Season Statistics
Red Lions—
Karonga United9º
Position
13º
1.29
PPG
1.06
29%
Win %
25%
0.76
Goals / game
0.94
0.82
Conceded / game
1.44
28%
BTTS %
63%
50%
Clean sheet %
31%
22%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Red Lions
Home (9)
—
Karonga United
Away (7)
2.11
PPG
0.71
56%
Win %
14%
0.89
Goals / game
1.00
0.11
Conceded / game
2.00
11%
BTTS %
71%
89%
Clean sheet %
29%
11%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Red Lions | Home | Away | Karonga United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 67% | 44% | 82% | 80% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 11% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 10% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 33% | 56% | 18% | 20% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Red Lions | Home | Away | Karonga United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 11% | 89% | 71% | 70% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 44% | 35% | 20% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 22% | 24% | 10% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 89% | 11% | 29% | 30% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Red Lions | Karonga United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 44% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 22% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 6% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 18% |
| BTTS | 28% | 65% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 11% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Red Lions | Karonga United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 28% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 17% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 12% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 39% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 39% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Red Lions (H)D
Ekhaya0–0
Ekhaya0–0D
Masters FC0–0
Masters FC0–0W
Moyale Barracks1–0
Moyale Barracks1–0D
Kamuzu Barracks0–0
Kamuzu Barracks0–0W
CIVO United1–0
CIVO United1–0W
Chitipa United1–0
Chitipa United1–0Karonga United (A)DEkhaya0–0
Ekhaya0–0L
Mitundu Baptist1–2
Mitundu Baptist1–2L
Silver Strikers1–4
Silver Strikers1–4L
Blue Eagles2–3
Blue Eagles2–3L
Be Forward Wanderers1–4
Be Forward Wanderers1–4WCIVO United1–0
CIVO United1–0Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Red Lions
29%
1
Draws
14%
4
Karonga United
57%
57%
Over 1.5
4/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
31/05/26Red Lions
Karonga United
1–0Red Lions04/10/23Red Lions
Karonga United
2–3Red Lions01/07/23Karonga United
Red Lions
2–1Karonga United30/10/22Red Lions
Karonga United
3–2Red Lions26/03/22Karonga United
Red Lions
1–1Karonga United10/07/21Karonga United
Red Lions
0–1Karonga United26/12/20Red Lions
Karonga United
1–0Red Lions| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nyasa Big Bullets | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | +19 | 39 |
| 2 | Be Forward Wanderers | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | +18 | 35 |
| 3 | Blue Eagles | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | +8 | 34 |
| 4 | Silver Strikers | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | +13 | 33 |
| 5 | Ekhaya | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | +4 | 25 |
| 6 | Mitundu Baptist | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | +1 | 25 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Masters FC | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | Red Lions | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
| 10 | Moyale Barracks | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 | CIVO United | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 21 |
| 12 |  Dedza Dynamos | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -9 | 19 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -8 | 17 |
| 14 | Kamuzu Barracks | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 14 |
| 15 |  Creck | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 13 |
| 16 |  MAFCO | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -12 | 13 |
Team Insights
Red Lions- ●Red Lions have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Red Lions have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Red Lions have kept a clean sheet in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Red Lions failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Red Lions have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 home matches.
- ●Red Lions failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 9 away matches.
- ●Red Lions have lost 6 of their 9 away matches.
- ●62% of Red Lions's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Red Lions's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Red Lions's points have been earned at home.
Karonga United- ●Karonga United have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Karonga United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Karonga United failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 10 home matches.
- ●Karonga United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Karonga United have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Karonga United have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Red LionsLACreck0–1
Creck0–1DHEkhaya0–0
Ekhaya0–0DAMitundu Baptist1–1
Mitundu Baptist1–1DHMasters FC0–0
Masters FC0–0LABe Forward Wanderers1–2
Be Forward Wanderers1–2WHMoyale Barracks1–0
Moyale Barracks1–0–HSilver Strikers31/10
Silver Strikers31/10–ADedza Dynamos22/11
Dedza Dynamos22/11–HKaronga United28/11
Karonga United28/11Karonga UnitedDHBe Forward Wanderers1–1
Be Forward Wanderers1–1WHCIVO United1–0
CIVO United1–0DAEkhaya0–0
Ekhaya0–0DHChitipa United1–1
Chitipa United1–1LHNyasa Big Bullets0–1
Nyasa Big Bullets0–1LAMitundu Baptist1–2
Mitundu Baptist1–2–AMoyale Barracks01/11
Moyale Barracks01/11–HKamuzu Barracks22/11
Kamuzu Barracks22/11–ARed Lions28/11
Red Lions28/11Top Scorers
Red LionsM. Magaleta4 ⚽
M. Mwatchipisa2 ⚽
K. Kaliwo1 ⚽
M. Simbeye1 ⚽
S. Chintokoma1 ⚽
S. Mussah Goba1 ⚽
Karonga UnitedG. Sibale4 ⚽
L. Kiwambe3 ⚽
K. Mwakabaghe2 ⚽
E. Mandanda2 ⚽
T. Mwale1 ⚽
W. Mwale1 ⚽
Cards Given
Red LionsR. Bokosi1 🟨
Karonga UnitedE. Mandanda1 🟨