Chitipa United vs MAFCO — Super League
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Chitipa United and MAFCO meet in the Super League 2026 season on 11 October 2026. Chitipa United have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 0.73 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 27% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. MAFCO have won 20% of their 15 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 27%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Chitipa United and 0.58 for MAFCO. The models give Chitipa United a 54% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an MAFCO win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 27% and BTTS at 31%.
Season Statistics
Chitipa United—
MAFCO7º
Position
14º
1.40
PPG
0.87
40%
Win %
20%
0.73
Goals / game
0.80
1.07
Conceded / game
1.13
27%
BTTS %
33%
40%
Clean sheet %
27%
27%
Over 2.5 %
27%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Chitipa United
Home (8)
—
MAFCO
Away (7)
2.13
PPG
0.14
63%
Win %
0%
0.75
Goals / game
0.29
0.63
Conceded / game
1.71
13%
BTTS %
29%
75%
Clean sheet %
0%
25%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Chitipa United | Home | Away | MAFCO | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 53% | 63% | 43% | 53% | 75% | 29% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 13% | 29% | 20% | 38% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 47% | 38% | 57% | 47% | 25% | 71% |
Goals Conceded
| Chitipa United | Home | Away | MAFCO | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 25% | 100% | 73% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 13% | 43% | 20% | 13% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 0% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 75% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Chitipa United | MAFCO | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 47% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 27% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 7% |
| Over 4.5 | 7% | 7% |
| BTTS | 27% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Chitipa United | MAFCO | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 7% | 7% |
| Draw 1st Half | 73% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 7% | 7% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 27% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 7% | 7% |
Recent Venue Form
Chitipa United (H)D
Creck0–0
Creck0–0W
Mitundu Baptist1–0
Mitundu Baptist1–0W
Ekhaya1–0
Ekhaya1–0D
Silver Strikers0–0
Silver Strikers0–0W
Kamuzu Barracks2–1
Kamuzu Barracks2–1L
Be Forward Wanderers0–4
Be Forward Wanderers0–4MAFCO (A)L
CIVO United0–1
CIVO United0–1LKamuzu Barracks1–4
Kamuzu Barracks1–4LBe Forward Wanderers0–3
Be Forward Wanderers0–3LEkhaya0–1
Ekhaya0–1LSilver Strikers0–1
Silver Strikers0–1D
Karonga United1–1
Karonga United1–1Head to Head · 9 matches
2
Chitipa United
22%
2
Draws
22%
5
MAFCO
56%
56%
Over 1.5
5/9
22%
Over 2.5
2/9
0%
Over 3.5
0/9
33%
BTTS
3/9
24/05/26Chitipa United
MAFCO
2–0Chitipa United25/10/25MAFCO
Chitipa United
2–1MAFCO05/04/25Chitipa United
MAFCO
1–0Chitipa United24/08/24MAFCO
Chitipa United
0–0MAFCO23/06/24Chitipa United
MAFCO
2–0Chitipa United11/11/23MAFCO
Chitipa United
1–1MAFCO15/04/23Chitipa United
MAFCO
2–1Chitipa United11/07/21Chitipa United
MAFCO
1–0Chitipa United04/04/21MAFCO
Chitipa United
1–0MAFCO| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nyasa Big Bullets | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | +13 | 30 |
| 2 | Be Forward Wanderers | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | +17 | 29 |
| 3 | Silver Strikers | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | +13 | 29 |
| 4 |  Blue Eagles | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 28 |
| 5 |  Masters FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 6 |  Moyale Barracks | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | -1 | 21 |
| 7 | Chitipa United | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 21 |
| 8 | Mitundu Baptist | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 20 |
| 9 |  Red Lions | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | CIVO United | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Ekhaya | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Dedza Dynamos | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 13 | Karonga United | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -9 | 14 |
| 14 | MAFCO | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -5 | 13 |
| 15 | Kamuzu Barracks | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 | Creck | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 10 |
Team Insights
Chitipa United- ●Chitipa United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Chitipa United have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chitipa United have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Chitipa United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Chitipa United have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 8 home matches.
- ●Chitipa United failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Chitipa United have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Chitipa United's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●81% of Chitipa United's points have been earned at home.
MAFCO- ●MAFCO have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●MAFCO failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●MAFCO have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●MAFCO failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●MAFCO have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●MAFCO failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●MAFCO have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●83% of MAFCO's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of MAFCO's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●92% of MAFCO's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Chitipa UnitedDHCreck0–0
Creck0–0DAKaronga United1–1
Karonga United1–1WHMitundu Baptist1–0
Mitundu Baptist1–0LANyasa Big Bullets0–2
Nyasa Big Bullets0–2WHEkhaya1–0
Ekhaya1–0WADedza Dynamos2–1
Dedza Dynamos2–1–HMAFCO11/10
MAFCO11/10–ABlue Eagles18/10
Blue Eagles18/10–HMasters FC24/10
Masters FC24/10MAFCOLHMoyale Barracks1–2
Moyale Barracks1–2LACIVO United0–1
CIVO United0–1DHMasters FC1–1
Masters FC1–1LHBlue Eagles0–1
Blue Eagles0–1LAKamuzu Barracks1–4
Kamuzu Barracks1–4WHRed Lions2–0
Red Lions2–0–AChitipa United11/10
Chitipa United11/10–HNyasa Big Bullets18/10
Nyasa Big Bullets18/10–AMitundu Baptist24/10
Mitundu Baptist24/10Top Scorers
Chitipa UnitedP. O. Ngese4 ⚽
F. Osagie3 ⚽
Z. Manda2 ⚽
J. Mbaga1 ⚽
1 ⚽
MAFCOC. Msowoya3 ⚽
B. Mofolo2 ⚽
P. Kachere2 ⚽
P. Kasonga2 ⚽
C. Moloseni1 ⚽
A. Alli1 ⚽
Cards Given
Chitipa UnitedP. O. Ngese1 🟨
MAFCO