Orel vs Rodina Moskva III — Second League - Group 3
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Orel and Rodina Moskva III meet in the Second League - Group 3 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Orel have recorded 10 wins from 34 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.12 goals scored and 1.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Rodina Moskva III have won 48% of their 29 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 59%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Orel and 1.40 for Rodina Moskva III. The models give Orel a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Rodina Moskva III win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
OrelRodina Moskva IIIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Orel | Home | Away | Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 53% | 59% | 72% | 73% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 24% | 41% | 55% | 53% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 12% | 18% | 24% | 20% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 47% | 41% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Orel | Home | Away | Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 76% | 82% | 83% | 87% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 47% | 53% | 41% | 40% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 24% | 35% | 21% | 20% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 24% | 18% | 17% | 13% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Orel | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 28% |
| BTTS | 44% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 12% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Orel | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 53% | 34% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 68% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 35% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Orel (H)
Zenit Penza0–0
Strogino1–0
Shumbrat0–2
Ryazan0–2
Kvant2–1
Saturn Ramenskoye0–4Rodina Moskva (A)Saturn Ramenskoye2–1Zenit Penza1–0Strogino5–2Shumbrat3–2
Avangard Kursk2–0Ryazan0–3Head to Head · 3 matches
OrelOrelRodina Moskva III| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Volna Nizhegorodskaya | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | +34 | 56 |
| 2 |  FK Spartak Tambov | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +25 | 53 |
| 3 | Shumbrat | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | +11 | 40 |
| 4 | Saturn Ramenskoye | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | +10 | 40 |
| 5 | Ryazan | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | +22 | 40 |
| 6 |  Salyut-Belgorod | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +16 | 39 |
| 7 |  Metallurg Lipetsk | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | +14 | 38 |
| 8 | Avangard Kursk | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Rodina Moskva III | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | +3 | 28 |
| 10 | Strogino | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 |  SKA Khabarovsk II | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | -8 | 24 |
| 12 | Zenit Penza | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | -16 | 23 |
| 13 | Orel | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -13 | 23 |
| 14 |  Rotor-2 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 16 | -20 | 14 |
| 15 |  Arsenal Tula II | 22 | 2 | 8 | 12 | -25 | 14 |
| 16 | Kvant | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | -42 | 6 |
Team Insights
Orel- ●Orel have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Orel failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Orel failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Orel's goals have been scored away.
Rodina Moskva- ●Rodina Moskva III have won their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva III have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva III failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva III failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva III have won 8 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva III have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
OrelMetallurg Lipetsk2–1Zenit Penza0–0Arsenal Tula II0–1Strogino1–0SKA Khabarovsk II2–0Shumbrat0–2Rodina Moskva III31/10Rodina MoskvaSaturn Ramenskoye2–1Metallurg Lipetsk0–3Zenit Penza1–0Arsenal Tula II1–0Strogino5–2SKA Khabarovsk II3–2Orel31/10Top Scorers
OrelRodina MoskvaCards Given
OrelRodina Moskva