Riga Mariners vs Leevon / PPK — 1. Liga
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Riga Mariners and Leevon / PPK meet in the 1. Liga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Riga Mariners have recorded 20 wins from 32 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 2.63 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 28% of games. Leevon / PPK have won 64% of their 28 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Riga Mariners and 1.40 for Leevon / PPK. The models give Riga Mariners a 48% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Leevon / PPK win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Riga Mariners—
Leevon / PPK4º
Position
3º
2.07
PPG
2.14
57%
Win %
64%
1.93
Goals / game
1.71
0.93
Conceded / game
1.21
69%
BTTS %
68%
28%
Clean sheet %
29%
72%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Riga Mariners
Home (7)
—
Leevon / PPK
Away (7)
1.86
PPG
2.00
43%
Win %
57%
1.71
Goals / game
1.43
1.00
Conceded / game
1.14
73%
BTTS %
50%
27%
Clean sheet %
43%
60%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Riga Mariners | Home | Away | Leevon / | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 97% | 100% | 94% | 82% | 86% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 66% | 67% | 65% | 68% | 79% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 47% | 47% | 47% | 32% | 29% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 3% | 0% | 6% | 18% | 14% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Riga Mariners | Home | Away | Leevon / | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 72% | 73% | 71% | 71% | 86% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 33% | 41% | 36% | 43% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 13% | 18% | 18% | 21% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 28% | 27% | 29% | 29% | 14% | 43% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Riga Mariners | Leevon / | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 82% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 29% |
| BTTS | 69% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 34% | 50% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 64% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Riga Mariners | Leevon / | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 53% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Riga Mariners (H)W
JDFS Alberts3–1
JDFS Alberts3–1W
Skanste4–3
Skanste4–3W
Rēzekne FA5–0
Rēzekne FA5–0W
Rīgas FS II3–1
Rīgas FS II3–1W
Tukums II4–2
Tukums II4–2D
JFK Ventspils1–1
JFK Ventspils1–1Leevon / (A)L
Metta / LU0–2
Metta / LU0–2WJFK Ventspils4–0
JFK Ventspils4–0D
Riga FC II1–1
Riga FC II1–1WTukums II3–0
Tukums II3–0W
Mārupe1–0
Mārupe1–0L
Valmiera / BSS1–4
Valmiera / BSS1–4Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Riga Mariners
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Leevon /
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
18/07/26Riga Mariners
Leevon / PPK
2–1Riga Mariners22/08/25Riga Mariners
Leevon / PPK
2–3Riga Mariners19/04/25Leevon / PPK
Riga Mariners
1–1Leevon / PPK| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Metta / LU | 25 | 21 | 3 | 1 | +81 | 66 |
| 2 | Valmiera / BSS | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | +40 | 57 |
| 3 | Riga Mariners | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | +31 | 56 |
| 4 | Leevon / PPK | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +20 | 54 |
| 5 | JDFS Alberts | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +16 | 44 |
| 6 | Riga FC II | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 34 |
| 7 | Mārupe | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 |  Super Nova 2 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Skanste | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | -5 | 26 |
| 10 |  Smiltene | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -25 | 24 |
| 11 | Rīgas FS II | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | -29 | 21 |
| 12 | Tukums II | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -37 | 20 |
| 13 | JFK Ventspils | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | -19 | 19 |
| 14 | Rēzekne FA | 25 | 1 | 3 | 21 | -66 | 6 |
Team Insights
Riga Mariners- ●Riga Mariners have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Riga Mariners failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Riga Mariners have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Riga Mariners have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Riga Mariners have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Riga Mariners failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Riga Mariners failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Riga Mariners have scored in 12 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Riga Mariners have won 9 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Riga Mariners have scored in 12 of their 13 away matches.
Leevon /- ●Leevon / PPK have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Leevon / PPK have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Leevon / PPK failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Leevon / PPK have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Leevon / PPK have won 7 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Leevon / PPK have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Leevon / PPK have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Leevon / PPK have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Riga MarinersWHJDFS Alberts3–1
JDFS Alberts3–1WAMārupe6–1
Mārupe6–1WHSkanste4–3
Skanste4–3LAMetta / LU0–4
Metta / LU0–4WAValmiera / BSS4–2
Valmiera / BSS4–2LASmiltene1–4
Smiltene1–4–HLeevon / PPK07/11
Leevon / PPK07/11Leevon /DHValmiera / BSS0–0
Valmiera / BSS0–0LAMetta / LU0–2
Metta / LU0–2DHJDFS Alberts2–2
JDFS Alberts2–2WAJFK Ventspils4–0
JFK Ventspils4–0WHRīgas FS II6–3
Rīgas FS II6–3DARiga FC II1–1
Riga FC II1–1–ARiga Mariners07/11
Riga Mariners07/11Top Scorers
Riga MarinersA. Grazis27 ⚽
A. Pavlovskis19 ⚽
R. Owusu6 ⚽
E. Stuglis6 ⚽
E. Bokans5 ⚽
H. Bekeris3 ⚽
Leevon /R. Baumanis7 ⚽
R. Muiznieks6 ⚽
G. Kirkils5 ⚽
S. Aogaki5 ⚽
N. Treimanis4 ⚽
A. Baturinskis4 ⚽
Cards Given
Riga MarinersA. Sinelnikovs2 🟨
K. Karklins1 🟨
Leevon /M. Kurtiss2 🟨
R. Korzans2 🟨
K. Kravcenko1 🟨
A. Baturinskis1 🟨
V. Snegovs1 🟨
R. Muiznieks1 🟨