Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Yanbian Longding — League One
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Heilongjiang Lava Spring and Yanbian Longding meet in the League One 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Heilongjiang Lava Spring have recorded 5 wins from 28 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.89 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Yanbian Longding have won 36% of their 28 matches, with 1.39 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 46%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for Heilongjiang Lava Spring and 1.44 for Yanbian Longding. The models give Heilongjiang Lava Spring a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Yanbian Longding win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Heilongjiang Lava Spring—
Yanbian Longding14º
Position
7º
1.00
PPG
1.44
19%
Win %
37%
1.41
Goals / game
1.44
1.81
Conceded / game
1.07
79%
BTTS %
50%
11%
Clean sheet %
29%
57%
Over 2.5 %
46%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Home (13)
—
Yanbian Longding
Away (13)
0.92
PPG
1.38
15%
Win %
38%
1.38
Goals / game
1.31
1.69
Conceded / game
1.31
85%
BTTS %
43%
8%
Clean sheet %
29%
54%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Heilongjiang Lava | Home | Away | Yanbian Longding | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 85% | 87% | 64% | 71% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 38% | 40% | 39% | 43% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 15% | 13% | 25% | 29% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 15% | 13% | 36% | 29% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Heilongjiang Lava | Home | Away | Yanbian Longding | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 92% | 87% | 71% | 71% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 38% | 53% | 29% | 14% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 36% | 31% | 40% | 7% | 0% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 8% | 13% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Heilongjiang Lava | Yanbian Longding | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 46% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS | 79% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 39% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Heilongjiang Lava | Yanbian Longding | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 32% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 54% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Heilongjiang Lava (H)D
Meizhou Kejia0–0
Meizhou Kejia0–0D
Dongguan United1–1
Dongguan United1–1L
Suzhou Dongwu3–4
Suzhou Dongwu3–4L
Hebei Kungfu1–2
Hebei Kungfu1–2W
Dalian Huayi2–1
Dalian Huayi2–1L
Ningbo Professional0–1
Ningbo Professional0–1Yanbian Longding (A)D
Changchun Yatai1–1
Changchun Yatai1–1L
Guangxi Hengchen1–2
Guangxi Hengchen1–2L
Wuxi Wugou0–2
Wuxi Wugou0–2L
Shaanxi Union1–3
Shaanxi Union1–3WNingbo Professional3–2
Ningbo Professional3–2DHebei Kungfu0–0
Hebei Kungfu0–0Head to Head · 7 matches
1
Heilongjiang Lava
14%
2
Draws
29%
4
Yanbian Longding
57%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
57%
Over 2.5
4/7
14%
Over 3.5
1/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
04/07/26Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Yanbian Longding
3–0Heilongjiang Lava Spring04/10/25Yanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
2–1Yanbian Longding26/05/25Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Yanbian Longding
3–0Heilongjiang Lava Spring21/09/24Yanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
0–1Yanbian Longding04/05/24Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Yanbian Longding
3–2Heilongjiang Lava Spring10/10/23Yanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
1–1Yanbian Longding18/06/23Heilongjiang Lava Spring
Yanbian Longding
1–1Heilongjiang Lava Spring| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Guangzhou E-Power | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | +29 | 60 |
| 2 |  Nantong Zhiyun | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | +17 | 54 |
| 3 | Guangxi Hengchen | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | +12 | 47 |
| 4 |  Shenzhen Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 | Shaanxi Union | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | +23 | 45 |
| 6 | Hebei Kungfu | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | +1 | 40 |
| 7 | Yanbian Longding | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 39 |
| 8 | Wuxi Wugou | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | +8 | 36 |
| 9 | Changchun Yatai | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Dalian Huayi | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | -6 | 34 |
| 11 | Ningbo Professional | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Suzhou Dongwu | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 |  Nanjing City | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Heilongjiang Lava Spring | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Meizhou Kejia | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -32 | 16 |
| 16 | Dongguan United | 28 | 3 | 7 | 18 | -36 | 16 |
Team Insights
Heilongjiang Lava- ●Heilongjiang Lava Spring have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Heilongjiang Lava Spring failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Heilongjiang Lava Spring failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Heilongjiang Lava Spring have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Yanbian Longding- ●Yanbian Longding failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Yanbian Longding failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Yanbian Longding have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
Heilongjiang LavaWAWuxi Wugou2–0
Wuxi Wugou2–0LAGuangzhou E-Power1–3
Guangzhou E-Power1–3DHMeizhou Kejia0–0
Meizhou Kejia0–0DHDongguan United1–1
Dongguan United1–1LAChangchun Yatai0–1
Changchun Yatai0–1LAShaanxi Union1–2
Shaanxi Union1–2–HYanbian Longding25/10
Yanbian Longding25/10–HShenzhen Juniors31/10
Shenzhen Juniors31/10–ANingbo Professional07/11
Ningbo Professional07/11Yanbian LongdingWHDongguan United5–0
Dongguan United5–0LHNantong Zhiyun0–1
Nantong Zhiyun0–1DAChangchun Yatai1–1
Changchun Yatai1–1LHGuangzhou E-Power1–2
Guangzhou E-Power1–2LAGuangxi Hengchen1–2
Guangxi Hengchen1–2LAWuxi Wugou0–2
Wuxi Wugou0–2–AHeilongjiang Lava Spring25/10
Heilongjiang Lava Spring25/10–ASuzhou Dongwu31/10
Suzhou Dongwu31/10–HHebei Kungfu07/11
Hebei Kungfu07/11Top Scorers
Heilongjiang LavaErikys15 ⚽
M. Petrov4 ⚽
Tang Shi4 ⚽
Daciel3 ⚽
M. Palacios3 ⚽
Ma Chenghao3 ⚽
Yanbian LongdingGiovanny16 ⚽
F. Brown8 ⚽
Huang Zhenfei7 ⚽
J. Domingos4 ⚽
Xu Jizu1 ⚽
Li Ximin1 ⚽
Cards Given
Heilongjiang LavaLi Zhi10 🟨
Erikys7 🟨
Hao Yucheng4 🟨
Zhu Jiaxuan4 🟨
Hu Jiajin3 🟨
Tang Shi3 🟨
Yanbian LongdingJ. Domingos10 🟨
Cui Taixu7 🟨
Huang Zhenfei6 🟨
Piao Shihao5 🟨
Hu Ziqian5 🟨
F. Brown3 🟨