Naftan vs ML Vitebsk — Premier League
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Naftan and ML Vitebsk meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Naftan have recorded 6 wins from 34 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.06 goals scored and 2.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. ML Vitebsk have won 66% of their 38 matches, with 2.11 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.10 for Naftan and 2.18 for ML Vitebsk. The models give Naftan a 15% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an ML Vitebsk win at 65%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Naftan—
ML Vitebsk16º
Position
1º
0.65
PPG
2.24
15%
Win %
64%
0.92
Goals / game
2.08
2.38
Conceded / game
0.72
50%
BTTS %
55%
18%
Clean sheet %
39%
59%
Over 2.5 %
55%
3.9
Avg corners
6.1
7.3
Avg shots
7.9
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.3
9.6
Avg fouls
13.3
43.5%
Avg possession
56.3%
Home vs Away
Naftan
Home (13)
—
ML Vitebsk
Away (12)
0.92
PPG
2.67
23%
Win %
83%
0.85
Goals / game
2.67
1.85
Conceded / game
0.92
27%
BTTS %
63%
33%
Clean sheet %
25%
47%
Over 2.5 %
69%
3.9
Avg corners
6.1
7.3
Avg shots
7.9
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.3
43.5%
Avg possession
56.3%
Goals Scored
| Naftan | Home | Away | ML Vitebsk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 47% | 74% | 84% | 82% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 27% | 32% | 63% | 55% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 20% | 5% | 32% | 23% | 44% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 53% | 26% | 16% | 18% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Naftan | Home | Away | ML Vitebsk | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 67% | 95% | 61% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 59% | 40% | 74% | 21% | 18% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 27% | 47% | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 33% | 5% | 39% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Naftan | ML Vitebsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 24% |
| BTTS | 50% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 37% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Naftan | ML Vitebsk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 12% | 49% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 68% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 12% | 49% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 64% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 79% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Naftan (H)L
FC Isloch Minsk R.0–6
FC Isloch Minsk R.0–6W
Belshina4–1
Belshina4–1L
FC Minsk0–3
FC Minsk0–3L
Neman0–2
Neman0–2W
Arsenal3–0
Arsenal3–0L
Dinamo Brest2–4
Dinamo Brest2–4ML Vitebsk (A)W
FC Vitebsk2–0
FC Vitebsk2–0W
FC Gomel5–1
FC Gomel5–1D
FC Dnepr Mogilev1–1
FC Dnepr Mogilev1–1WDinamo Brest3–1
Dinamo Brest3–1L
Borac Banja Luka0–1
Borac Banja Luka0–1W
Sutjeska2–1
Sutjeska2–1Number of Corners
11.5
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
10.0
96 games
9.6
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Naftan | ML Vitebsk | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 75% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 85% | 63% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 50% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 69% | 44% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 62% | 44% | 43% |
| Over 11 | 46% | 31% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 31% | 24% |
| Over 13 | 38% | 31% | 19% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Naftan | ML Vitebsk |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 6.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.5 | 3.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 92% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 92% | 25% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
1
Naftan
14%
0
Draws
0%
6
ML Vitebsk
86%
100%
Over 1.5
7/7
86%
Over 2.5
6/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
57%
BTTS
4/7
27/06/26Naftan
ML Vitebsk
2–1Naftan22/08/25Naftan
ML Vitebsk
2–0Naftan12/04/25ML Vitebsk
Naftan
0–3ML Vitebsk14/07/24Naftan
ML Vitebsk
2–1Naftan11/02/24ML Vitebsk
Naftan
1–2ML Vitebsk02/10/22ML Vitebsk
Naftan
2–3ML Vitebsk22/05/22Naftan
ML Vitebsk
0–4Naftan| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ML Vitebsk | 25 | 16 | 8 | 1 | +34 | 56 |
| 2 |  Dinamo Minsk | 25 | 17 | 4 | 4 | +27 | 55 |
| 3 | FC Isloch Minsk R. | 25 | 15 | 7 | 3 | +27 | 52 |
| 4 | Dinamo Brest | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | +16 | 44 |
| 5 | Neman | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +10 | 43 |
| 6 | FC Vitebsk | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +6 | 40 |
| 7 | FC Gomel | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 40 |
| 8 | FC Minsk | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 |  Torpedo Zhodino | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 |  Slavia Mozyr | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 28 |
| 11 |  Baranovichi | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | -16 | 28 |
| 12 | Belshina | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -18 | 24 |
| 13 | Arsenal | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | -20 | 23 |
| 14 |  Bate Borisov | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -14 | 21 |
| 15 | FC Dnepr Mogilev | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | -16 | 19 |
| 16 | Naftan | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | -38 | 17 |
Team Insights
Naftan- ●Naftan failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Naftan have lost 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Naftan failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Naftan have lost 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Naftan have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
ML Vitebsk- ●ML Vitebsk have won their last 5 matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have scored in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 13 home matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have won 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●ML Vitebsk have scored in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●62% of ML Vitebsk's goals have been scored away.
- ●ML Vitebsk have conceded 72% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NaftanLHFC Isloch Minsk R.0–6
FC Isloch Minsk R.0–6LATorpedo Zhodino0–1
Torpedo Zhodino0–1WHBelshina4–1
Belshina4–1WASlavia Mozyr1–0
Slavia Mozyr1–0DABate Borisov2–2
Bate Borisov2–2LHFC Minsk0–3
FC Minsk0–3–ABaranovichi31/10
Baranovichi31/10–HML Vitebsk07/11
ML Vitebsk07/11–ADinamo Brest21/11
Dinamo Brest21/11ML VitebskWAFC Vitebsk2–0
FC Vitebsk2–0WHNeman1–0
Neman1–0WHTorpedo Zhodino2–0
Torpedo Zhodino2–0WAFC Gomel5–1
FC Gomel5–1WHArsenal5–1
Arsenal5–1DAFC Dnepr Mogilev1–1
FC Dnepr Mogilev1–1–HFC Minsk31/10
FC Minsk31/10–ANaftan07/11
Naftan07/11–HSlavia Mozyr21/11
Slavia Mozyr21/11Top Scorers
NaftanI. Pranovich5 ⚽
V. Yakovlev3 ⚽
A. Drabatovich3 ⚽
G. Mafwenta3 ⚽
D. Latykhov3 ⚽
A. Lebedev2 ⚽
ML VitebskB. Diabate11 ⚽
A. Kontsevoy9 ⚽
N. Glushkov6 ⚽
Artem Kontsevoy6 ⚽
M. Bulanov5 ⚽
V. Gromyko5 ⚽
Cards Given
NaftanVasiliy Chernyavskiy5 🟨
J. Jonathan4 🟨
Kirill Adamovich4 🟨
Roman khadzhiev3 🟨
Andrei Lebedev3 🟨
K. Adamovich3 🟨
ML VitebskA. Kontsevoy4 🟨
V. Gromyko3 🟨
V. Bocherov3 🟨
M. Mohammadi3 🟨
Artem Kontsevoy3 🟨
Valeriy Gromyko3 🟨