Luunja vs Tartu Kalev — Esiliiga B
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Luunja and Tartu Kalev meet in the Esiliiga B 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Luunja have recorded 18 wins from 34 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 2.68 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 79% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 85%; and clean sheets in 12% of games. Tartu Kalev have won 47% of their 38 matches, with 2.37 goals scored and 2.08 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 79%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 3.07 for Luunja and 2.03 for Tartu Kalev. The models give Luunja a 57% win probability, with a draw at 20% and an Tartu Kalev win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 88% and BTTS at 83%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Luunja | Home | Away | Tartu Kalev | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 94% | 82% | 87% | 86% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 74% | 88% | 59% | 58% | 62% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 53% | 18% | 37% | 43% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 6% | 18% | 13% | 14% | 12% |
Goals Conceded
| Luunja | Home | Away | Tartu Kalev | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 88% | 88% | 71% | 67% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 56% | 53% | 59% | 55% | 48% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 29% | 29% | 37% | 24% | 53% |
| Clean Sheets | 12% | 12% | 12% | 29% | 33% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luunja | Tartu Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 85% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 | 68% | 63% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 39% |
| BTTS | 79% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 44% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 79% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 24% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luunja | Tartu Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 66% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 59% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 62% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 7 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | +39 | 73 | |
| 2 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 10 | +30 | 65 | |
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | +26 | 59 | |
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 57 | |
| 4 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | +2 | 34 | |
| 5 | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | +18 | 53 | |
| 6 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | +33 | 50 | |
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | +13 | 50 | |
| 8 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | -38 | 37 | |
| 9 | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | -18 | 30 | |
| 10 | 34 | 3 | 4 | 27 | -103 | 13 |
Team Insights
- ●Luunja have won their last 4 matches.
- ●Luunja have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Luunja have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Luunja have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Luunja have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Luunja have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
- ●70% of Luunja's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Luunja have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Tartu Kalev have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Tartu Kalev have scored in 15 of their 16 away matches.