Tallinna Kalev II vs Luunja — Esiliiga B
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Tallinna Kalev II and Luunja meet in the Esiliiga B 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Tallinna Kalev II have recorded 10 wins from 37 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 3% of games. Luunja have won 52% of their 33 matches, with 2.67 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 79%, Over 2.5 at 85%, and clean sheets at 12%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.15 for Tallinna Kalev II and 1.85 for Luunja. The models give Tallinna Kalev II a 40% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Luunja win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Tallinna Kalev II—
Luunja9º
Position
4º
0.91
PPG
1.70
24%
Win %
52%
1.97
Goals / game
2.73
2.48
Conceded / game
1.97
86%
BTTS %
79%
3%
Clean sheet %
12%
86%
Over 2.5 %
85%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tallinna Kalev II
Home (17)
—
Luunja
Away (16)
1.06
PPG
1.19
29%
Win %
31%
2.12
Goals / game
1.69
2.12
Conceded / game
2.06
88%
BTTS %
75%
0%
Clean sheet %
13%
82%
Over 2.5 %
75%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tallinna Kalev | Home | Away | Luunja | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 88% | 90% | 88% | 94% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 51% | 59% | 45% | 73% | 88% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 35% | 35% | 35% | 33% | 53% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 12% | 10% | 12% | 6% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Tallinna Kalev | Home | Away | Luunja | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 97% | 100% | 95% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 68% | 59% | 75% | 55% | 53% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 29% | 55% | 30% | 29% | 31% |
| Clean Sheets | 3% | 0% | 5% | 12% | 12% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tallinna Kalev | Luunja | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 97% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 | 68% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 46% | 48% |
| BTTS | 86% | 79% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 42% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 76% | 79% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tallinna Kalev | Luunja | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 52% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 16% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 51% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 76% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 65% | 64% |
Recent Venue Form
Tallinna Kalev (H)D
Parnu JK Vaprus U211–1
Parnu JK Vaprus U211–1L
Narva U211–2
Narva U211–2W
JK Tabasalu4–1
JK Tabasalu4–1W
Tulevik2–1
Tulevik2–1D
Legion3–3
Legion3–3W
Johvi Phoenix3–1
Johvi Phoenix3–1Luunja (A)WJohvi Phoenix3–1
Johvi Phoenix3–1WJK Tabasalu2–1
JK Tabasalu2–1L
Levadia U190–1
Levadia U190–1LNarva U210–1
Narva U210–1LJK Tabasalu2–3
JK Tabasalu2–3L
Tartu Kalev1–2
Tartu Kalev1–2Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Tallinna Kalev
43%
0
Draws
0%
4
Luunja
57%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
86%
Over 2.5
6/7
86%
Over 3.5
6/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
20/07/26Tallinna Kalev II
Luunja
5–4Tallinna Kalev II28/05/26Luunja
Tallinna Kalev II
0–1Luunja11/04/26Tallinna Kalev II
Luunja
3–2Tallinna Kalev II22/09/25Tallinna Kalev II
Luunja
4–5Tallinna Kalev II01/08/25Luunja
Tallinna Kalev II
5–0Luunja25/05/25Luunja
Tallinna Kalev II
6–1Luunja20/04/25Tallinna Kalev II
Luunja
5–1Tallinna Kalev II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Narva U21 | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | +38 | 70 |
| 2 | Levadia U19 | 33 | 21 | 2 | 10 | +30 | 65 |
| 3 |  Phoenix | 34 | 18 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 57 |
| 4 | Luunja | 33 | 17 | 5 | 11 | +25 | 56 |
| 4 | Johvi Phoenix | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | +2 | 34 |
| 5 | Tulevik | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | +19 | 53 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus U21 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | +33 | 50 |
| 7 | Tartu Kalev | 34 | 16 | 2 | 16 | +13 | 50 |
| 8 | JK Tabasalu | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | -38 | 37 |
| 9 | Tallinna Kalev II | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | -17 | 30 |
| 10 | Legion | 34 | 3 | 4 | 27 | -103 | 13 |
Team Insights
Tallinna Kalev- ●Tallinna Kalev II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 33 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 17 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have lost 8 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II failed to keep a clean sheet in 17 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have lost 11 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev II have scored in 15 of their 17 away matches.
Luunja- ●Luunja have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Luunja have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Luunja have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Luunja have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Luunja failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Luunja have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●72% of Luunja's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Luunja have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Tallinna KalevLALevadia U191–3
Levadia U191–3DHParnu JK Vaprus U211–1
Parnu JK Vaprus U211–1WATulevik3–1
Tulevik3–1LHNarva U211–2
Narva U211–2LAJohvi Phoenix3–4
Johvi Phoenix3–4WHJK Tabasalu4–1
JK Tabasalu4–1–HLuunja25/10
Luunja25/10–HTartu Kalev02/11
Tartu Kalev02/11–ALegion08/11
Legion08/11LuunjaWHLegion11–0
Legion11–0WAJohvi Phoenix3–1
Johvi Phoenix3–1WAJK Tabasalu2–1
JK Tabasalu2–1LALevadia U190–1
Levadia U190–1LANarva U210–1
Narva U210–1WHTulevik3–2
Tulevik3–2–ATallinna Kalev II25/10
Tallinna Kalev II25/10–AParnu JK Vaprus U2101/11
Parnu JK Vaprus U2101/11–HTartu Kalev08/11
Tartu Kalev08/11Top Scorers
Tallinna KalevO. Lasn8 ⚽
K. Pormeister6 ⚽
H. Lehtmaa6 ⚽
B. Litmanen5 ⚽
J. Esna5 ⚽
K. Treumuth4 ⚽
LuunjaK. Kiidron20 ⚽
R. Muur16 ⚽
A. Viinapuu8 ⚽
R. Silov8 ⚽
A. Sirk5 ⚽
Kauan Pereira4 ⚽
Cards Given
Tallinna KalevH. Tammepold1 🟨
M. Tomingas1 🟨
V. Mellis1 🟨
1 🟨
LuunjaG. Jurgenthal1 🟨
G. Turner1 🟨
K. Rand1 🟨
K. Sahtel1 🟨