São Bernardo vs Athletic Club — Serie B
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São Bernardo and Athletic Club meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 14 November 2026. São Bernardo have recorded 17 wins from 52 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Athletic Club have won 27% of their 48 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for São Bernardo and 1.18 for Athletic Club. The models give São Bernardo a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Athletic Club win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
São Bernardo—
Athletic Club2º
Position
9º
2.00
PPG
1.50
58%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.17
0.83
Conceded / game
1.00
54%
BTTS %
58%
27%
Clean sheet %
23%
44%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.9
Avg corners
4.2
11.4
Avg shots
11.7
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
13.0
Avg fouls
14.8
49.6%
Avg possession
44.4%
Home vs Away
São Bernardo
Home (6)
—
Athletic Club
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
1.50
0.83
Conceded / game
1.33
48%
BTTS %
64%
26%
Clean sheet %
20%
37%
Over 2.5 %
48%
4.9
Avg corners
4.2
11.4
Avg shots
11.7
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.4
49.6%
Avg possession
44.4%
Goals Scored
| São Bernardo | Home | Away | Athletic Club | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 67% | 84% | 71% | 74% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 30% | 36% | 29% | 26% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 4% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 33% | 16% | 29% | 26% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| São Bernardo | Home | Away | Athletic Club | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 74% | 72% | 77% | 74% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 26% | 36% | 33% | 26% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 7% | 0% | 13% | 9% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 26% | 28% | 23% | 26% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| São Bernardo | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 42% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 19% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 10% |
| BTTS | 54% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| São Bernardo | Athletic Club | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 58% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 46% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 58% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
São Bernardo (H)W
Vila Nova3–2
Vila Nova3–2L
Criciuma0–1
Criciuma0–1W
CRB3–1
CRB3–1W
Atletico Goianiense1–0
Atletico Goianiense1–0L
Londrina1–2
Londrina1–2D
Nautico Recife1–1
Nautico Recife1–1Athletic Club (A)L
Operario-PR0–1
Operario-PR0–1D
Avai0–0
Avai0–0L
Goias1–2
Goias1–2D
Fortaleza EC2–2
Fortaleza EC2–2W
Juventude2–0
Juventude2–0L
Cuiaba0–3
Cuiaba0–3Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
43 games
League Avg
10.5
344 games
9.4
Corners / Match
39 games
| Match Corners | São Bernardo | Athletic Club | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 82% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 72% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 74% | 59% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 65% | 51% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 38% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 42% | 23% | 38% |
| Over 12 | 28% | 15% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 13% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | São Bernardo | Athletic Club |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 4.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.9 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 74% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 51% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 49% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 74% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 62% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
1
São Bernardo
50%
0
Draws
0%
1
Athletic Club
50%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
23/07/26São Bernardo
Athletic Club
2–1São Bernardo29/06/24São Bernardo
Athletic Club
1–4São Bernardo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | +14 | 62 |
| 3 | Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +12 | 60 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 59 |
| 6 |  Sport Recife | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | +9 | 54 |
| 7 | Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | +9 | 54 |
| 8 | CRB | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 52 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Goias | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 49 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | +2 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -6 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | -55 | 14 |
Team Insights
São Bernardo- ●São Bernardo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●São Bernardo failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 18 home matches.
- ●São Bernardo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo have won 8 of their 17 away matches.
- ●São Bernardo have scored in 15 of their 17 away matches.
Athletic Club- ●Athletic Club have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Athletic Club have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Athletic Club failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Athletic Club failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 18 away matches.
Season Schedule
São BernardoWHVila Nova3–2
Vila Nova3–2LHCriciuma0–1
Criciuma0–1DAJuventude2–2
Juventude2–2LASport Recife1–2
Sport Recife1–2WHCRB3–1
CRB3–1DANovorizontino0–0
Novorizontino0–0–ACuiaba01/11
Cuiaba01/11–AAvai07/11
Avai07/11–HAthletic Club14/11
Athletic Club14/11Athletic ClubLAOperario-PR0–1
Operario-PR0–1DAAvai0–0
Avai0–0DHLondrina2–2
Londrina2–2LAGoias1–2
Goias1–2LHSport Recife1–2
Sport Recife1–2DAFortaleza EC2–2
Fortaleza EC2–2–HCeara02/11
Ceara02/11–HAtletico Goianiense08/11
Atletico Goianiense08/11–ASão Bernardo14/11
São Bernardo14/11Top Scorers
São BernardoFelipe Garcia7 ⚽
Rodrigo Ferreira5 ⚽
Pedro Vitor5 ⚽
Pablo Dyego4 ⚽
Pedrinho4 ⚽
Dudu Miraima3 ⚽
Athletic ClubR. Tavares12 ⚽
Ian Luccas6 ⚽
D. Vera5 ⚽
Kauan Gabriel Cordeiro Lindes3 ⚽
João Miguel3 ⚽
Kauan Rodrigues3 ⚽
Cards Given
São BernardoHelder Maciel14 🟨
Foguinho10 🟨
Jemerson8 🟨
Pedro Vitor8 🟨
Felipe Garcia7 🟨
Augusto7 🟨
Athletic ClubIan Luccas9 🟨
Zeca8 🟨
Jhonathan7 🟨
Lucas Belezi7 🟨
Jota6 🟨
Diogo Batista5 🟨