Londrina vs Nautico Recife — Serie B
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Londrina and Nautico Recife meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Londrina have recorded 14 wins from 50 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.28 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Nautico Recife have won 42% of their 45 matches, with 1.42 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Londrina and 1.45 for Nautico Recife. The models give Londrina a 33% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Nautico Recife win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Londrina—
Nautico Recife18º
Position
7º
0.67
PPG
1.58
17%
Win %
50%
1.00
Goals / game
1.33
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
48%
BTTS %
40%
34%
Clean sheet %
33%
50%
Over 2.5 %
44%
5.3
Avg corners
5.9
13.3
Avg shots
15.7
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.5
13.2
Avg fouls
15.5
47.4%
Avg possession
56.9%
Home vs Away
Londrina
Home (5)
—
Nautico Recife
Away (6)
0.40
PPG
1.67
0%
Win %
50%
0.80
Goals / game
1.67
1.60
Conceded / game
1.17
36%
BTTS %
57%
52%
Clean sheet %
26%
40%
Over 2.5 %
52%
5.3
Avg corners
5.9
13.3
Avg shots
15.7
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.3
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.5
47.4%
Avg possession
56.9%
Goals Scored
| Londrina | Home | Away | Nautico Recife | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 66% | 64% | 68% | 67% | 59% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 32% | 32% | 32% | 38% | 36% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 12% | 12% | 12% | 22% | 18% | 26% |
| Failed To Score | 34% | 36% | 32% | 33% | 41% | 26% |
Goals Conceded
| Londrina | Home | Away | Nautico Recife | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 48% | 84% | 67% | 59% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 36% | 48% | 33% | 23% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 8% | 8% | 13% | 14% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 52% | 16% | 33% | 41% | 26% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Londrina | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 11% |
| BTTS | 48% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Londrina | Nautico Recife | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 27% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 36% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 51% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 54% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 18% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 40% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Londrina (H)W
Cuiaba1–0
Cuiaba1–0L
Criciuma0–2
Criciuma0–2L
Fortaleza EC1–2
Fortaleza EC1–2W
Ponte Preta6–0
Ponte Preta6–0L
Operario-PR1–2
Operario-PR1–2D
Juventude0–0
Juventude0–0Nautico Recife (A)D
Goias0–0
Goias0–0DFortaleza EC1–1
Fortaleza EC1–1LCuiaba0–3
Cuiaba0–3L
America Mineiro1–2
America Mineiro1–2D
São Bernardo1–1
São Bernardo1–1DPonte Preta1–1
Ponte Preta1–1Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
37 games
League Avg
10.5
344 games
10.6
Corners / Match
34 games
| Match Corners | Londrina | Nautico Recife | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 91% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 71% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 86% | 65% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 70% | 56% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 51% | 53% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 41% | 35% | 38% |
| Over 12 | 32% | 21% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 19% | 18% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Londrina | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 5.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 91% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 54% | 44% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
7
Londrina
64%
2
Draws
18%
2
Nautico Recife
18%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
9%
Over 3.5
1/11
45%
BTTS
5/11
23/07/26Londrina
Nautico Recife
2–1Londrina10/08/25Nautico Recife
Londrina
0–2Nautico Recife24/08/24Nautico Recife
Londrina
3–2Nautico Recife23/07/22Londrina
Nautico Recife
1–2Londrina10/04/22Nautico Recife
Londrina
2–0Nautico Recife22/09/21Londrina
Nautico Recife
1–2Londrina23/06/21Nautico Recife
Londrina
0–0Nautico Recife11/11/17Londrina
Nautico Recife
1–2Londrina22/07/17Nautico Recife
Londrina
0–0Nautico Recife30/08/16Londrina
Nautico Recife
0–2Londrina24/05/16Nautico Recife
Londrina
1–0Nautico Recife| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 |  Vila Nova | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | +14 | 62 |
| 3 | Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +12 | 60 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 59 |
| 6 |  Sport Recife | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | +9 | 54 |
| 7 |  Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | +9 | 54 |
| 8 |  CRB | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 52 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Goias | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 49 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | +2 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 |  Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -6 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | -55 | 14 |
Team Insights
Londrina- ●Londrina failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 18 away matches.
- ●Londrina have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Londrina have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Londrina failed to keep a clean sheet in 18 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Londrina have lost 12 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Londrina have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Nautico Recife- ●Nautico Recife have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Nautico Recife failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Nautico Recife have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LondrinaLACRB1–2
CRB1–2WHCuiaba1–0
Cuiaba1–0DAAthletic Club2–2
Athletic Club2–2LAAvai1–2
Avai1–2LHCriciuma0–2
Criciuma0–2LAVila Nova0–2
Vila Nova0–2–HAmerica Mineiro01/11
America Mineiro01/11–ABotafogo SP06/11
Botafogo SP06/11–HNautico Recife14/11
Nautico Recife14/11Nautico RecifeDAGoias0–0
Goias0–0LHVila Nova0–2
Vila Nova0–2LHNovorizontino0–2
Novorizontino0–2DAFortaleza EC1–1
Fortaleza EC1–1WHSport Recife3–1
Sport Recife3–1LACuiaba0–3
Cuiaba0–3–AJuventude26/10
Juventude26/10–HAvai31/10
Avai31/10–HCRB08/11
CRB08/11Top Scorers
LondrinaBruno Santos17 ⚽
Iago Teles7 ⚽
Lucas Marques5 ⚽
João Vitor de Souza Martins3 ⚽
Andre Luiz3 ⚽
Igor Ruan Sousa dos Santos3 ⚽
Nautico RecifeVinicius12 ⚽
Paulo Sergio9 ⚽
Dodo8 ⚽
Junior Todinho3 ⚽
Derek3 ⚽
Jean Carlos3 ⚽
Cards Given
LondrinaYago Lincoln7 🟨
Iago Teles6 🟨
Paulinho Moccelin6 🟨
Lucas Marques5 🟨
Kevyn5 🟨
André Dhominique4 🟨
Nautico RecifeLuiz Felipe9 🟨
Samuel8 🟨
Wenderson7 🟨
Mateus Silva6 🟨
Arnaldo6 🟨
Igor Fernandes5 🟨