Fortaleza EC vs Vila Nova — Serie B
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Fortaleza EC and Vila Nova meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Fortaleza EC have recorded 32 wins from 63 matches this season (51% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 46% of games. Vila Nova have won 48% of their 56 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 0.96 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Fortaleza EC and 1.15 for Vila Nova. The models give Fortaleza EC a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Vila Nova win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Fortaleza EC—
Vila Nova4º
Position
1º
1.75
PPG
2.08
50%
Win %
58%
1.25
Goals / game
1.50
0.92
Conceded / game
0.92
44%
BTTS %
43%
46%
Clean sheet %
39%
37%
Over 2.5 %
41%
5.5
Avg corners
4.8
13.9
Avg shots
13.1
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.6
14.3
Avg fouls
14.9
49.8%
Avg possession
50.9%
Home vs Away
Fortaleza EC
Home (5)
—
Vila Nova
Away (6)
2.60
PPG
1.83
80%
Win %
50%
2.40
Goals / game
1.33
0.80
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
36%
37%
Clean sheet %
32%
50%
Over 2.5 %
32%
5.5
Avg corners
4.8
13.9
Avg shots
13.1
4.1
Avg shots on target
4.1
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.6
49.8%
Avg possession
50.9%
Goals Scored
| Fortaleza EC | Home | Away | Vila Nova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 93% | 67% | 71% | 82% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 50% | 21% | 50% | 61% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 14% | 21% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 7% | 33% | 29% | 18% | 39% |
Goals Conceded
| Fortaleza EC | Home | Away | Vila Nova | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 63% | 45% | 61% | 54% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 27% | 21% | 25% | 21% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 4% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 37% | 55% | 39% | 46% | 32% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fortaleza EC | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 14% |
| BTTS | 44% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 18% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 34% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fortaleza EC | Vila Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 36% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 46% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 35% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 34% |
Recent Venue Form
Fortaleza EC (H)D
CRB2–2
CRB2–2D
Nautico Recife1–1
Nautico Recife1–1D
Athletic Club2–2
Athletic Club2–2D
Ceara1–1
Ceara1–1W
Avai1–0
Avai1–0D
Operario-PR1–1
Operario-PR1–1Vila Nova (A)L
São Bernardo2–3
São Bernardo2–3WNautico Recife2–0
Nautico Recife2–0W
Botafogo SP1–0
Botafogo SP1–0DAvai1–1
Avai1–1LAthletic Club0–5
Athletic Club0–5DOperario-PR0–0
Operario-PR0–0Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
40 games
League Avg
10.5
344 games
9.9
Corners / Match
37 games
| Match Corners | Fortaleza EC | Vila Nova | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 89% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 68% | 78% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 57% | 70% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 59% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 45% | 46% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 30% | 38% |
| Over 12 | 28% | 16% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 11% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fortaleza EC | Vila Nova |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 76% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 57% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Fortaleza EC
40%
2
Draws
40%
1
Vila Nova
20%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
40%
Over 2.5
2/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
22/07/26Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
2–1Fortaleza EC22/09/18Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
2–0Vila Nova06/06/18Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
0–0Fortaleza EC08/08/15Fortaleza EC
Vila Nova
0–0Fortaleza EC23/05/15Vila Nova
Fortaleza EC
3–2Vila Nova| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 | Vila Nova | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | +14 | 62 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +12 | 60 |
| 5 |  Criciuma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 59 |
| 6 |  Sport Recife | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | +9 | 54 |
| 7 |  Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | +9 | 54 |
| 8 | CRB | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 52 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 |  Goias | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 49 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | +2 | 47 |
| 13 |  Cuiaba | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 | Nautico Recife | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 | Ceara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 |  Londrina | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -6 | 32 |
| 19 |  America Mineiro | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 |  Ponte Preta | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | -55 | 14 |
Team Insights
Fortaleza EC- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 16 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 11 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have won 7 of their 18 away matches.
- ●63% of Fortaleza EC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Fortaleza EC have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Vila Nova- ●Vila Nova have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Vila Nova have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Vila Nova have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Vila Nova have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●66% of Vila Nova's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Vila Nova have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Fortaleza ECDAPonte Preta2–2
Ponte Preta2–2WASport Recife2–0
Sport Recife2–0DHCRB2–2
CRB2–2WAAmerica Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro1–0DHNautico Recife1–1
Nautico Recife1–1DHAthletic Club2–2
Athletic Club2–2–HAtletico Goianiense02/11
Atletico Goianiense02/11–ANovorizontino07/11
Novorizontino07/11–HVila Nova14/11
Vila Nova14/11Vila NovaLASão Bernardo2–3
São Bernardo2–3DHNovorizontino2–2
Novorizontino2–2WANautico Recife2–0
Nautico Recife2–0DHCuiaba0–0
Cuiaba0–0WABotafogo SP1–0
Botafogo SP1–0WHLondrina2–0
Londrina2–0–HJuventude31/10
Juventude31/10–HCriciuma06/11
Criciuma06/11–AFortaleza EC14/11
Fortaleza EC14/11Top Scorers
Fortaleza ECJ. B. Miritello11 ⚽
Vitinho9 ⚽
Mailton7 ⚽
Luiz Fernando7 ⚽
Maílton4 ⚽
Lucas Sasha4 ⚽
Vila NovaDellatorre10 ⚽
Janderson10 ⚽
8 ⚽
Joao Vieira8 ⚽
Andre Luis6 ⚽
Rafa Silva5 ⚽
Cards Given
Fortaleza ECPierre14 🟨
Luiz Fernando11 🟨
Lucas Gazal10 🟨
Maílton8 🟨
Emanuel Brítez8 🟨
Rodriguinho7 🟨
Vila NovaHayner9 🟨
Pedro Romano9 🟨
Tiago Pagnussat8 🟨
8 🟨
Higor6 🟨
João Vieira6 🟨