Novorizontino vs Fortaleza EC — Serie B
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Novorizontino and Fortaleza EC meet in the Serie B 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Novorizontino have recorded 30 wins from 58 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 55%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Fortaleza EC have won 51% of their 63 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 37%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Novorizontino and 0.96 for Fortaleza EC. The models give Novorizontino a 48% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Fortaleza EC win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Novorizontino—
Fortaleza EC5º
Position
4º
1.67
PPG
1.75
42%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.25
0.92
Conceded / game
0.92
50%
BTTS %
44%
38%
Clean sheet %
46%
55%
Over 2.5 %
37%
5.9
Avg corners
5.5
14.2
Avg shots
13.9
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.7
Avg fouls
14.3
45.7%
Avg possession
49.8%
Home vs Away
Novorizontino
Home (5)
—
Fortaleza EC
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.14
60%
Win %
29%
1.40
Goals / game
0.43
1.20
Conceded / game
1.00
52%
BTTS %
30%
38%
Clean sheet %
55%
59%
Over 2.5 %
24%
5.9
Avg corners
5.5
14.2
Avg shots
13.9
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.1
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.2
45.7%
Avg possession
49.8%
Goals Scored
| Novorizontino | Home | Away | Fortaleza EC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 86% | 72% | 79% | 93% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 55% | 48% | 35% | 50% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 24% | 28% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 14% | 28% | 21% | 7% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Novorizontino | Home | Away | Fortaleza EC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 62% | 62% | 62% | 54% | 63% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 17% | 28% | 24% | 27% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 7% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 38% | 38% | 46% | 37% | 55% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Novorizontino | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 | 55% | 37% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 6% |
| BTTS | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Novorizontino | Fortaleza EC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 12% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 59% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 36% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 35% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 69% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 27% |
Recent Venue Form
Novorizontino (H)W
Ponte Preta5–1
Ponte Preta5–1W
Goias3–0
Goias3–0D
São Bernardo0–0
São Bernardo0–0D
Cuiaba1–1
Cuiaba1–1W
Avai3–1
Avai3–1W
Sport Recife2–1
Sport Recife2–1Fortaleza EC (A)DPonte Preta2–2
Ponte Preta2–2WSport Recife2–0
Sport Recife2–0W
America Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro1–0W
Londrina2–1
Londrina2–1WGoias1–0
Goias1–0W
Criciuma2–0
Criciuma2–0Number of Corners
10.7
Corners / Match
47 games
League Avg
10.5
344 games
9.9
Corners / Match
40 games
| Match Corners | Novorizontino | Fortaleza EC | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 87% | 78% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 81% | 68% | 77% |
| Over 8 | 72% | 57% | 69% |
| Over 9 | 68% | 55% | 60% |
| Over 10 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| Over 11 | 45% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 12 | 30% | 28% | 27% |
| Over 13 | 21% | 25% | 20% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Novorizontino | Fortaleza EC |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 5.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 94% | 83% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 85% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 70% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 70% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 62% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 47% | 40% |
Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Novorizontino
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Fortaleza EC
100%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
18/07/26Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
1–0Novorizontino| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 35 | 18 | 10 | 7 | +32 | 64 |
| 2 |  Vila Nova | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | +14 | 62 |
| 3 |  Juventude | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | +18 | 61 |
| 4 | Fortaleza EC | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +12 | 60 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | +6 | 59 |
| 6 | Sport Recife | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | +9 | 54 |
| 7 |  Atletico Goianiense | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | +9 | 54 |
| 8 |  CRB | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | +3 | 52 |
| 9 |  Operario-PR | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | -1 | 51 |
| 10 | Goias | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 49 |
| 11 | São Bernardo | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | +10 | 49 |
| 12 |  Botafogo SP | 35 | 13 | 8 | 14 | +2 | 47 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 47 |
| 14 |  Athletic Club | 35 | 10 | 14 | 11 | 0 | 44 |
| 15 |  Nautico Recife | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 43 |
| 16 |  Ceara | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | -5 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | -12 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | -6 | 32 |
| 19 | America Mineiro | 34 | 5 | 5 | 24 | -32 | 20 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 34 | 3 | 5 | 26 | -55 | 14 |
Team Insights
Novorizontino- ●Novorizontino have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Novorizontino have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Novorizontino have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino have won 8 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Novorizontino have scored in 13 of their 18 away matches.
Fortaleza EC- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 16 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 11 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have been undefeated in their last 8 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 18 away matches.
- ●Fortaleza EC have won 7 of their 18 away matches.
- ●63% of Fortaleza EC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Fortaleza EC have conceded 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NovorizontinoWAAtletico Goianiense1–0
Atletico Goianiense1–0DAVila Nova2–2
Vila Nova2–2WHPonte Preta5–1
Ponte Preta5–1WANautico Recife2–0
Nautico Recife2–0WHGoias3–0
Goias3–0DHSão Bernardo0–0
São Bernardo0–0–HOperario-PR01/11
Operario-PR01/11–HFortaleza EC07/11
Fortaleza EC07/11–ACriciuma14/11
Criciuma14/11Fortaleza ECDAPonte Preta2–2
Ponte Preta2–2WASport Recife2–0
Sport Recife2–0DHCRB2–2
CRB2–2WAAmerica Mineiro1–0
America Mineiro1–0DHNautico Recife1–1
Nautico Recife1–1DHAthletic Club2–2
Athletic Club2–2–HAtletico Goianiense02/11
Atletico Goianiense02/11–ANovorizontino07/11
Novorizontino07/11–HVila Nova14/11
Vila Nova14/11Top Scorers
NovorizontinoRobson25 ⚽
Romulo12 ⚽
Juninho8 ⚽
Romulo Azevedo Simão6 ⚽
Carlao5 ⚽
Matheus Bianqui5 ⚽
Fortaleza ECJ. B. Miritello11 ⚽
Vitinho9 ⚽
Mailton7 ⚽
Luiz Fernando7 ⚽
Maílton4 ⚽
Lucas Sasha4 ⚽
Cards Given
NovorizontinoRobson8 🟨
Patrick8 🟨
Matheus Bianqui7 🟨
Nilson Castrillón6 🟨
Leo Naldi6 🟨
Juninho6 🟨
Fortaleza ECPierre14 🟨
Luiz Fernando11 🟨
Lucas Gazal10 🟨
Maílton8 🟨
Emanuel Brítez8 🟨
Rodriguinho7 🟨