FC Tallinn vs Tallinna Kalev — Esiliiga A
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FC Tallinn and Tallinna Kalev meet in the Esiliiga A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. FC Tallinn have recorded 13 wins from 41 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.49 goals scored and 2.44 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 66%; and clean sheets in 10% of games. Tallinna Kalev have won 37% of their 41 matches, with 2.07 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.85 for FC Tallinn and 1.85 for Tallinna Kalev. The models give FC Tallinn a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Tallinna Kalev win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
FC Tallinn—
Tallinna Kalev8º
Position
7º
1.00
PPG
1.25
25%
Win %
35%
1.35
Goals / game
2.00
2.45
Conceded / game
2.00
59%
BTTS %
68%
10%
Clean sheet %
17%
66%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
FC Tallinn
Home (10)
—
Tallinna Kalev
Away (10)
1.20
PPG
0.80
30%
Win %
20%
1.70
Goals / game
1.40
2.00
Conceded / game
2.00
52%
BTTS %
62%
14%
Clean sheet %
19%
62%
Over 2.5 %
81%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| FC Tallinn | Home | Away | Tallinna Kalev | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 66% | 62% | 70% | 85% | 90% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 29% | 40% | 51% | 50% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 29% | 10% | 29% | 35% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 34% | 38% | 30% | 15% | 10% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Tallinn | Home | Away | Tallinna Kalev | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 90% | 86% | 95% | 83% | 85% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 59% | 62% | 55% | 54% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 41% | 43% | 40% | 37% | 30% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 10% | 14% | 5% | 17% | 15% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Tallinn | Tallinna Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 98% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | 98% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 49% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 | 37% | 34% |
| BTTS | 59% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 59% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Tallinn | Tallinna Kalev | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 34% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 46% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 66% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 54% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Tallinn (H)L
Viimsi0–3
Viimsi0–3L
Tartu Welco0–7
Tartu Welco0–7L
Laagri0–10
Laagri0–10W
Harju JK Laagri U215–0
Harju JK Laagri U215–0L
FCI Levadia II1–5
FCI Levadia II1–5L
Nõmme Kalju II0–2
Nõmme Kalju II0–2Tallinna Kalev (A)LTartu Welco2–3
Tartu Welco2–3L
Elva2–3
Elva2–3L
Nõmme United II1–2
Nõmme United II1–2L
Flora II0–5
Flora II0–5WNõmme Kalju II3–0
Nõmme Kalju II3–0WViimsi2–1
Viimsi2–1Head to Head · 4 matches
0
FC Tallinn
0%
2
Draws
50%
2
Tallinna Kalev
50%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
50%
Over 3.5
2/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
08/08/26FC Tallinn
Tallinna Kalev
1–1FC Tallinn14/05/26Tallinna Kalev
FC Tallinn
1–1Tallinna Kalev15/03/26FC Tallinn
Tallinna Kalev
5–1FC Tallinn05/03/25Tallinna Kalev
FC Tallinn
0–5Tallinna Kalev| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | +55 | 74 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +29 | 57 |
| 3 | Flora II | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +19 | 51 |
| 4 | FCI Levadia II | 32 | 16 | 2 | 14 | +8 | 50 |
| 5 | Elva | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | -1 | 49 |
| 6 |  Maardu | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Tallinn | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -34 | 38 |
| 8 | Tallinna Kalev | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 | Nõmme United II | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -15 | 36 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | -43 | 24 |
Team Insights
FC Tallinn- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●FC Tallinn have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FC Tallinn have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●FC Tallinn have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●FC Tallinn have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●FC Tallinn have lost 8 of their 16 home matches.
- ●FC Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●FC Tallinn have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
Tallinna Kalev- ●Tallinna Kalev have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
FC TallinnWANõmme Kalju II2–1
Nõmme Kalju II2–1LHViimsi0–3
Viimsi0–3LHTartu Welco0–7
Tartu Welco0–7WAFlora II2–1
Flora II2–1DAElva1–1
Elva1–1LHFCI Levadia II1–5
FCI Levadia II1–5–ANõmme United II01/11
Nõmme United II01/11–HTallinna Kalev08/11
Tallinna Kalev08/11Tallinna KalevLATartu Welco2–3
Tartu Welco2–3LHFCI Levadia II1–2
FCI Levadia II1–2LHViimsi1–2
Viimsi1–2DHFlora II2–2
Flora II2–2LANõmme United II1–2
Nõmme United II1–2DHTartu Welco1–1
Tartu Welco1–1–HNõmme Kalju II29/10
Nõmme Kalju II29/10–AElva01/11
Elva01/11–AFC Tallinn08/11
FC Tallinn08/11Top Scorers
FC TallinnD. Ekharts18 ⚽
10 ⚽
L. Arhipov7 ⚽
E. Irha5 ⚽
M. Hansman5 ⚽
K. Nesterov3 ⚽
Tallinna KalevR. Ilves17 ⚽
M. Tomberg9 ⚽
A. Gusarov8 ⚽
O. De Pizzol7 ⚽
V. Mihhailov7 ⚽
7 ⚽
Cards Given
FC Tallinn4 🟨
V. Avilov2 🟨
A. Toropov1 🟨
Tallinna KalevA. Sikk1 🟨
A. Timoska1 🟨
Ander Sikk1 🟨
Artur Sibul1 🟨
D. Petrunin1 🟨
D. Sal-Al-Saller1 🟨