MatchPulse

Elva vs Nõmme United II — Esiliiga A

← Back
Estonia · Esiliiga A · Regular Season - 36
Elva
Elva
4º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
vs
–
–
Nõmme United II
Nõmme United II
9º · 1.05 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 16d 18h
🔒 Pro Feature

Unlock all Match Predictions

Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.

from€8.99/mo

billed annually · cancel anytime

Start 14-day Free TrialUpgrade to Pro →

Elva and Nõmme United II meet in the Esiliiga A 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Elva have recorded 22 wins from 42 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Nõmme United II have won 33% of their 36 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 2.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 11%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.10 for Elva and 1.92 for Nõmme United II. The models give Elva a 49% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Nõmme United II win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 76% and BTTS at 75%.

Season Statistics

Elva
—
Nõmme United II
4º
Position
9º
1.50
PPG
1.05
45%
Win %
26%
1.85
Goals / game
1.89
1.65
Conceded / game
2.37
55%
BTTS %
78%
29%
Clean sheet %
11%
69%
Over 2.5 %
78%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Elva
Home (10)
—
Nõmme United II
Away (11)
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
27%
1.60
Goals / game
2.09
1.90
Conceded / game
2.73
59%
BTTS %
95%
27%
Clean sheet %
5%
64%
Over 2.5 %
89%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

ElvaHomeAwayNõmme UnitedHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored79%82%75%89%76%100%
Over 1.5 Scored57%55%60%53%41%63%
Over 2.5 Scored33%27%40%28%18%37%
Failed To Score21%18%25%11%24%0%

Goals Conceded

ElvaHomeAwayNõmme UnitedHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded71%73%70%89%82%95%
Over 1.5 Conceded40%41%40%61%41%79%
Over 2.5 Conceded24%27%20%39%24%53%
Clean Sheets29%27%30%11%18%5%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ElvaNõmme United
Over 0.595%100%
Over 1.579%86%
Over 2.569%78%
Over 3.548%56%
Over 4.526%33%
BTTS55%78%
BTTS & Win29%22%
BTTS & Draw12%19%
BTTS & Over 2.550%72%
BTTS No & Over 2.519%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ElvaNõmme United
Win 1st Half40%14%
Draw 1st Half33%44%
Loss 1st Half28%42%
Scored 1st Half55%47%
Conceded 1st Half40%67%
Win 2nd Half38%39%
Draw 2nd Half40%28%
Loss 2nd Half23%33%
Scored 2nd Half63%72%
Conceded 2nd Half45%61%
Over 0.5 HT75%78%
Over 1.5 HT43%44%

Recent Venue Form

Elva (H)
WTallinna Kalev3–2
DFC Tallinn1–1
WNõmme Kalju II1–0
DFlora II0–0
WMaardu1–0
WJoker3–0
Nõmme United (A)
LFlora II2–3
LTartu Welco3–4
WNõmme Kalju II3–2
LMaardu1–2
LViimsi1–4
DFC Tallinn1–1

Head to Head · 3 matches

1
Elva
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Nõmme United
67%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
03/09/26
Nõmme United II
0–1
Elva
16/05/26
Nõmme United II
1–0
Elva
19/04/26
Elva
1–3
Nõmme United II
Esiliiga A
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Tartu Welco342356+5574
2Viimsi3317610+2957
3Flora II3215611+1951
4FCI Levadia II3216214+850
5Elva3214711-149
6Maardu3012711-1243
7FC Tallinn3410816-3438
8Tallinna Kalev3210715-637
9Nõmme United II3310617-1536
10Nõmme Kalju II346622-4324

Team Insights

Elva
  • ●Elva have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Elva have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Elva failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Elva failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.
  • ●Elva have won 6 of their 17 away matches.
  • ●Elva have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
Nõmme United
  • ●Nõmme United II have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Nõmme United II have lost their last 3 matches.
  • ●Nõmme United II have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Nõmme United II failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 away matches.
  • ●Nõmme United II have scored in each of their last 17 away matches.
  • ●Nõmme United II have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Nõmme United II have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Nõmme United II failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Nõmme United II failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
  • ●Nõmme United II have scored in 17 of their 17 away matches.
  • ●62% of Nõmme United II's goals have been scored away.
  • ●66% of Nõmme United II's goals conceded were conceded away.
ElvaElva
DANõmme Kalju II10º0–0
DANõmme Kalju II10º0–0
LATartu Welco1º0–4
LATartu Welco1º0–4
WHTallinna Kalev3–2
DHFC Tallinn8º1–1
DHFC Tallinn7º1–1
WAFlora II2º2–1
WAFlora II3º2–1
LAViimsi3º0–5
Nõmme United IINõmme United II
LAFlora II2º2–3
LAFlora II3º2–3
LATartu Welco1º3–4
LATartu Welco1º3–4
LHFCI Levadia II5º0–1
LHFCI Levadia II4º0–1
WANõmme Kalju II10º3–2
WANõmme Kalju II10º3–2
WHViimsi3º1–0
WHViimsi2º1–0

Season Schedule

Elva
DANõmme Kalju II0–0
LATartu Welco0–4
DHFC Tallinn1–1
WAFlora II2–1
LAViimsi0–5
WHNõmme Kalju II1–0
–HFCI Levadia II25/10
–HTallinna Kalev01/11
–HNõmme United II08/11
Nõmme United
LAFlora II2–3
LATartu Welco3–4
LHFCI Levadia II0–1
WANõmme Kalju II3–2
WHViimsi1–0
WHTallinna Kalev2–1
–HFC Tallinn01/11
–AElva08/11

Top Scorers

Elva
10 ⚽
J. Mbuthia9 ⚽
K. Burov5 ⚽
K. Haabma4 ⚽
R. Neltsas4 ⚽
K. Poldsaar3 ⚽
Nõmme United
8 ⚽
K. Tomingas7 ⚽
A. Radomskiy5 ⚽
R. Palu4 ⚽
L. Ossep4 ⚽
J. Saarnak4 ⚽

Cards Given

Elva
D. Laaneots2 🟨
G. Lani2 🟨
Peeter Alev1 🟨
1 🟨
Nõmme United
G. Kabal1 🟨