Tallinna Kalev vs Nõmme Kalju II — Esiliiga A
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Kadrioru staadion·Tallinn·Estonia·4,880
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Tallinna Kalev and Nõmme Kalju II meet in the Esiliiga A 2026 season on 29 October 2026. Tallinna Kalev have recorded 15 wins from 41 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 2.07 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 80%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Nõmme Kalju II have won 20% of their 35 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 2.49 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.49 for Tallinna Kalev and 1.83 for Nõmme Kalju II. The models give Tallinna Kalev a 56% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Nõmme Kalju II win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 80% and BTTS at 76%.
Season Statistics
Tallinna Kalev—
Nõmme Kalju II7º
Position
10º
1.25
PPG
0.95
35%
Win %
25%
2.00
Goals / game
1.50
2.00
Conceded / game
2.55
68%
BTTS %
57%
17%
Clean sheet %
14%
80%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tallinna Kalev
Home (10)
—
Nõmme Kalju II
Away (9)
1.70
PPG
0.78
50%
Win %
22%
2.60
Goals / game
1.89
2.00
Conceded / game
2.89
75%
BTTS %
50%
15%
Clean sheet %
13%
80%
Over 2.5 %
69%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tallinna Kalev | Home | Away | Nõmme Kalju | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 90% | 81% | 66% | 68% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 51% | 50% | 52% | 34% | 32% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 35% | 24% | 14% | 11% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 10% | 19% | 34% | 32% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Tallinna Kalev | Home | Away | Nõmme Kalju | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 85% | 81% | 86% | 84% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 50% | 57% | 71% | 68% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 37% | 30% | 43% | 46% | 47% | 44% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 15% | 19% | 14% | 16% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tallinna Kalev | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 98% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 80% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 54% | 51% |
| Over 4.5 | 34% | 37% |
| BTTS | 68% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 54% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tallinna Kalev | Nõmme Kalju | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 74% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 31% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 66% | 69% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 93% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 54% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Tallinna Kalev (H)L
FCI Levadia II1–2
FCI Levadia II1–2L
Viimsi1–2
Viimsi1–2D
Flora II2–2
Flora II2–2D
Tartu Welco1–1
Tartu Welco1–1L
Maardu1–3
Maardu1–3W
Elva1–0
Elva1–0Nõmme Kalju (A)LFCI Levadia II0–1
FCI Levadia II0–1LTartu Welco0–3
Tartu Welco0–3LElva0–1
Elva0–1W
FC Tallinn2–0
FC Tallinn2–0L
Nõmme United II0–2
Nõmme United II0–2LFlora II0–3
Flora II0–3Head to Head · 11 matches
7
Tallinna Kalev
64%
1
Draws
9%
3
Nõmme Kalju
27%
91%
Over 1.5
10/11
82%
Over 2.5
9/11
64%
Over 3.5
7/11
55%
BTTS
6/11
20/08/26Tallinna Kalev
Nõmme Kalju II
0–3Tallinna Kalev21/06/26Nõmme Kalju II
Tallinna Kalev
5–1Nõmme Kalju II27/04/26Tallinna Kalev
Nõmme Kalju II
0–4Tallinna Kalev02/10/16Tallinna Kalev
Nõmme Kalju II
3–1Tallinna Kalev13/08/16Nõmme Kalju II
Tallinna Kalev
2–3Nõmme Kalju II08/06/16Nõmme Kalju II
Tallinna Kalev
6–0Nõmme Kalju II20/03/16Tallinna Kalev
Nõmme Kalju II
1–2Tallinna Kalev04/10/15Nõmme Kalju II
Tallinna Kalev
2–2Nõmme Kalju II16/08/15Tallinna Kalev
Nõmme Kalju II
0–1Tallinna Kalev03/07/15Tallinna Kalev
Nõmme Kalju II
0–2Tallinna Kalev15/03/15Nõmme Kalju II
Tallinna Kalev
1–3Nõmme Kalju II| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | +55 | 74 |
| 2 | Viimsi | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +29 | 57 |
| 3 | Flora II | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +19 | 51 |
| 4 | FCI Levadia II | 32 | 16 | 2 | 14 | +8 | 50 |
| 5 | Elva | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | -1 | 49 |
| 6 | Maardu | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | -12 | 43 |
| 7 | FC Tallinn | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | -34 | 38 |
| 8 | Tallinna Kalev | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | -6 | 37 |
| 9 | Nõmme United II | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -15 | 36 |
| 10 | Nõmme Kalju II | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | -43 | 24 |
Team Insights
Tallinna Kalev- ●Tallinna Kalev have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Tallinna Kalev have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Nõmme Kalju- ●Nõmme Kalju II have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Nõmme Kalju II have failed to win in their last 10 home matches.
- ●Nõmme Kalju II have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Nõmme Kalju II failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Nõmme Kalju II have lost 11 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Nõmme Kalju II failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Nõmme Kalju II have lost 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Nõmme Kalju II have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Tallinna KalevLATartu Welco2–3
Tartu Welco2–3LHFCI Levadia II1–2
FCI Levadia II1–2LHViimsi1–2
Viimsi1–2DHFlora II2–2
Flora II2–2LANõmme United II1–2
Nõmme United II1–2DHTartu Welco1–1
Tartu Welco1–1–HNõmme Kalju II29/10
Nõmme Kalju II29/10–AElva01/11
Elva01/11–AFC Tallinn08/11
FC Tallinn08/11Nõmme KaljuLHFC Tallinn1–2
FC Tallinn1–2DHElva0–0
Elva0–0LAFCI Levadia II0–1
FCI Levadia II0–1LHNõmme United II2–3
Nõmme United II2–3LATartu Welco0–3
Tartu Welco0–3LHFlora II1–5
Flora II1–5–ATallinna Kalev29/10
Tallinna Kalev29/10–AViimsi08/11
Viimsi08/11Top Scorers
Tallinna KalevR. Ilves17 ⚽
M. Tomberg9 ⚽
A. Gusarov8 ⚽
O. De Pizzol7 ⚽
V. Mihhailov7 ⚽
7 ⚽
Nõmme KaljuC. Godwin8 ⚽
I. Jabir7 ⚽
E. E. Lotar Eyang7 ⚽
J. Pihkva4 ⚽
A. Kiisel3 ⚽
A. Iljin2 ⚽
Cards Given
Tallinna KalevA. Sikk1 🟨
A. Timoska1 🟨
Ander Sikk1 🟨
Artur Sibul1 🟨
D. Petrunin1 🟨
D. Sal-Al-Saller1 🟨
Nõmme KaljuA. Nikolajev2 🟨
A. Kiisel1 🟨
K. Sarapuu1 🟨