FS Jelgava vs Ogre United — Virsliga
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
FS Jelgava and Ogre United meet in the Virsliga 2026 season on 8 November 2026. FS Jelgava have recorded 9 wins from 40 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 0.97 goals scored and 1.68 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Ogre United have won 13% of their 38 matches, with 1.05 goals scored and 2.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 66%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 5%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for FS Jelgava and 1.23 for Ogre United. The models give FS Jelgava a 50% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Ogre United win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
FS Jelgava—
Ogre United7º
Position
10º
0.97
PPG
0.55
24%
Win %
12%
1.03
Goals / game
1.00
1.70
Conceded / game
2.45
40%
BTTS %
66%
13%
Clean sheet %
5%
40%
Over 2.5 %
68%
5.0
Avg corners
6.0
10.0
Avg shots
13.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.5
13.0
Avg fouls
12.5
48.0%
Avg possession
46.0%
Home vs Away
FS Jelgava
Home (16)
—
Ogre United
Away (17)
0.88
PPG
0.41
25%
Win %
12%
0.81
Goals / game
0.88
1.56
Conceded / game
2.88
28%
BTTS %
62%
11%
Clean sheet %
5%
22%
Over 2.5 %
76%
5.0
Avg corners
6.0
10.0
Avg shots
13.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.0
Avg yellow cards
1.5
48.0%
Avg possession
46.0%
Goals Scored
| FS Jelgava | Home | Away | Ogre United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 48% | 39% | 55% | 71% | 76% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 22% | 27% | 24% | 24% | 24% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 6% | 18% | 8% | 12% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 53% | 61% | 45% | 29% | 24% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| FS Jelgava | Home | Away | Ogre United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 89% | 86% | 95% | 94% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 28% | 50% | 71% | 59% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 18% | 11% | 23% | 42% | 35% | 48% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 11% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FS Jelgava | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 29% |
| BTTS | 40% | 66% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FS Jelgava | Ogre United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 45% | 53% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 68% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 48% | 61% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 39% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 74% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
FS Jelgava (H)L
BFC Daugavpils0–1
BFC Daugavpils0–1L
Riga0–1
Riga0–1L
Super Nova0–1
Super Nova0–1L
Auda0–1
Auda0–1L
FK Liepaja0–2
FK Liepaja0–2L
Rīgas FS0–1
Rīgas FS0–1Ogre United (A)L
Grobiņa2–3
Grobiņa2–3LAuda0–1
Auda0–1L
Tukums1–2
Tukums1–2LBFC Daugavpils1–3
BFC Daugavpils1–3LRiga1–4
Riga1–4DGrobiņa2–2
Grobiņa2–2Number of Corners
11.0
Corners / Match
1 games
League Avg
9.9
10 games
13.0
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | FS Jelgava | Ogre United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 11 | 0% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 50% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 50% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FS Jelgava | Ogre United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.0 | 6.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 100% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
2
FS Jelgava
67%
0
Draws
0%
1
Ogre United
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
33%
BTTS
1/3
22/08/26FS Jelgava
Ogre United
2–3FS Jelgava17/06/26Ogre United
FS Jelgava
0–2Ogre United27/04/26FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0–1FS Jelgava| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 33 | 26 | 5 | 2 | +57 | 83 |
| 2 | Riga | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | +59 | 79 |
| 3 | Auda | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 64 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 47 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | -15 | 38 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -22 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -31 | 29 |
| 9 | Tukums | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -21 | 25 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | -48 | 18 |
Team Insights
FS Jelgava- ●FS Jelgava have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost their last 6 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava have lost 11 of their 17 home matches.
- ●FS Jelgava failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●62% of FS Jelgava's goals have been scored away.
Ogre United- ●Ogre United have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Ogre United have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Ogre United have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ogre United have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ogre United have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Ogre United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Ogre United failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Ogre United have lost 10 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Ogre United failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Ogre United have lost 14 of their 17 away matches.
Season Schedule
FS JelgavaLHBFC Daugavpils0–1
BFC Daugavpils0–1LAFK Liepaja0–3
FK Liepaja0–3LARīgas FS2–4
Rīgas FS2–4LHRiga0–1
Riga0–1DAGrobiņa0–0
Grobiņa0–0LHSuper Nova0–1
Super Nova0–1–AAuda01/11
Auda01/11–HOgre United08/11
Ogre United08/11Ogre UnitedLHAuda1–4
Auda1–4LAGrobiņa2–3
Grobiņa2–3LHBFC Daugavpils1–2
BFC Daugavpils1–2WHSuper Nova1–0
Super Nova1–0LAAuda0–1
Auda0–1DHFK Liepaja2–2
FK Liepaja2–2–HRiga01/11
Riga01/11–AFS Jelgava08/11
FS Jelgava08/11Top Scorers
FS JelgavaF. Hasek8 ⚽
5 ⚽
R. Melkis5 ⚽
T. Rataj4 ⚽
R. Becers3 ⚽
A. Kangars3 ⚽
Ogre UnitedK. Cudars10 ⚽
M. Kalnins7 ⚽
E. Evelons2 ⚽
L. Estevez Fernandez2 ⚽
K. Johnson2 ⚽
J. Fokam1 ⚽
Cards Given
FS JelgavaG. Zaleiko12 🟨
M. Semesko7 🟨
J. Novikovs6 🟨
K. Alekseiciks4 🟨
A. Kangars4 🟨
T. Rataj4 🟨
Ogre UnitedK. Cudars11 🟨
M. Marusii8 🟨
T. Marusiy8 🟨
H. Silagailis7 🟨
T. Mickevics6 🟨
D. Vejkrigers5 🟨