Super Nova vs Rīgas FS — Virsliga
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Super Nova and Rīgas FS meet in the Virsliga 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Super Nova have recorded 13 wins from 39 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.03 goals scored and 1.46 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Rīgas FS have won 72% of their 54 matches, with 2.28 goals scored and 0.89 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.16 for Super Nova and 1.48 for Rīgas FS. The models give Super Nova a 24% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Rīgas FS win at 53%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Super Nova—
Rīgas FS6º
Position
1º
1.15
PPG
2.52
33%
Win %
79%
0.97
Goals / game
2.45
1.42
Conceded / game
0.73
56%
BTTS %
50%
21%
Clean sheet %
44%
51%
Over 2.5 %
56%
4.5
Avg corners
7.0
10.5
Avg shots
26.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.3
4.5
Avg yellow cards
1.3
17.5
Avg fouls
13.0
48.0%
Avg possession
61.7%
Home vs Away
Super Nova
Home (16)
—
Rīgas FS
Away (16)
0.94
PPG
2.69
25%
Win %
88%
1.06
Goals / game
1.81
1.63
Conceded / game
0.63
65%
BTTS %
46%
18%
Clean sheet %
46%
53%
Over 2.5 %
42%
4.5
Avg corners
7.0
10.5
Avg shots
26.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
5.3
4.5
Avg yellow cards
1.3
48.0%
Avg possession
61.7%
Goals Scored
| Super Nova | Home | Away | Rīgas FS | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 76% | 68% | 93% | 93% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 18% | 32% | 65% | 82% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 6% | 5% | 37% | 57% | 15% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 24% | 32% | 7% | 7% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Super Nova | Home | Away | Rīgas FS | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 79% | 82% | 77% | 56% | 57% | 54% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 47% | 32% | 26% | 29% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 12% | 14% | 7% | 11% | 4% |
| Clean Sheets | 21% | 18% | 23% | 44% | 43% | 46% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Super Nova | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 24% |
| BTTS | 56% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Super Nova | Rīgas FS | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 49% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 70% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 49% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 41% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 49% | 36% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 64% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Super Nova (H)W
Grobiņa2–1
Grobiņa2–1L
Riga0–1
Riga0–1W
Tukums1–0
Tukums1–0D
BFC Daugavpils0–0
BFC Daugavpils0–0LRīgas FS0–1
Rīgas FS0–1L
FK Liepaja1–2
FK Liepaja1–2Rīgas FS (A)D
Auda1–1
Auda1–1WBFC Daugavpils2–1
BFC Daugavpils2–1W
Ogre United3–0
Ogre United3–0WSuper Nova1–0
Super Nova1–0L
FK Jablonec0–2
FK Jablonec0–2D
Vestri1–1
Vestri1–1Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
9.9
10 games
9.3
Corners / Match
3 games
| Match Corners | Super Nova | Rīgas FS | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 100% | 100% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 100% | 67% | 70% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 0% | 30% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Super Nova | Rīgas FS |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 7.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 2.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 33% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
1
Super Nova
6%
0
Draws
0%
17
Rīgas FS
94%
94%
Over 1.5
17/18
83%
Over 2.5
15/18
56%
Over 3.5
10/18
50%
BTTS
9/18
15/10/26Super Nova
Rīgas FS
4–0Super Nova16/08/26Rīgas FS
Super Nova
0–1Rīgas FS29/05/26Rīgas FS
Super Nova
1–2Rīgas FS18/04/26Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2–0Super Nova14/01/26Super Nova
Rīgas FS
5–2Super Nova02/11/25Rīgas FS
Super Nova
1–3Rīgas FS10/08/25Super Nova
Rīgas FS
4–1Super Nova14/06/25Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2–1Super Nova20/04/25Rīgas FS
Super Nova
1–2Rīgas FS11/01/25Super Nova
Rīgas FS
7–0Super Nova05/11/23Rīgas FS
Super Nova
0–4Rīgas FS13/08/23Super Nova
Rīgas FS
5–0Super Nova04/06/23Rīgas FS
Super Nova
1–6Rīgas FS24/04/23Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2–1Super Nova23/10/22Rīgas FS
Super Nova
0–4Rīgas FS07/08/22Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2–3Super Nova23/05/22Rīgas FS
Super Nova
0–3Rīgas FS15/04/22Super Nova
Rīgas FS
2–0Super Nova| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 33 | 26 | 5 | 2 | +57 | 83 |
| 2 | Riga | 33 | 24 | 7 | 2 | +59 | 79 |
| 3 | Auda | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 64 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 47 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | +2 | 45 |
| 6 | Super Nova | 33 | 11 | 5 | 17 | -15 | 38 |
| 7 |  FS Jelgava | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -22 | 32 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -31 | 29 |
| 9 | Tukums | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | -21 | 25 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 33 | 4 | 6 | 23 | -48 | 18 |
Team Insights
Super Nova- ●Super Nova failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Super Nova have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Super Nova failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Super Nova have lost 9 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Super Nova failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Super Nova have won 7 of their 17 away matches.
- ●61% of Super Nova's points have been earned away.
Rīgas FS- ●Rīgas FS have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have scored in each of their last 16 away matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have won 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Rīgas FS have scored in 16 of their 16 away matches.
- ●64% of Rīgas FS's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Super NovaLARiga1–2
Riga1–2LARīgas FS0–4
Rīgas FS0–4WHGrobiņa2–1
Grobiņa2–1LAOgre United0–1
Ogre United0–1LHRiga0–1
Riga0–1WHTukums1–0
Tukums1–0–HRīgas FS25/10
Rīgas FS25/10–AFK Liepaja01/11
FK Liepaja01/11–HBFC Daugavpils08/11
BFC Daugavpils08/11Rīgas FSWHTukums2–0
Tukums2–0WHSuper Nova4–0
Super Nova4–0WHFS Jelgava4–2
FS Jelgava4–2DAAuda1–1
Auda1–1WABFC Daugavpils2–1
BFC Daugavpils2–1DHFK Liepaja0–0
FK Liepaja0–0–ASuper Nova25/10
Super Nova25/10–HGrobiņa01/11
Grobiņa01/11–ARiga08/11
Riga08/11Top Scorers
Super NovaV. Lizunovs10 ⚽
M. Oss5 ⚽
A. Glaudans5 ⚽
3 ⚽
Bamba3 ⚽
K. Romanovs1 ⚽
Rīgas FSD. Lemajic16 ⚽
S. Panic13 ⚽
J. Ikaunieks10 ⚽
Z. Lipuscek10 ⚽
I. Diomande7 ⚽
A. Filipovic6 ⚽
Cards Given
Super NovaI. Ndiaye8 🟨
J. Cirulis8 🟨
E. Emsis8 🟨
M. Oss5 🟨
N. Barkovskis5 🟨
R. Sitjakovs5 🟨
Rīgas FSS. Panic9 🟨
Z. Lipuscek8 🟨
A. Filipovic6 🟨
R. Savalnieks5 🟨
G. Mankenda5 🟨
H. Prenga4 🟨