Estonia · Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 36

Tammeka

5º · 1.52 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 14d 18h

–

Vaprus

7º · 1.09 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 14d 18h

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Tammeka and Vaprus meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Tammeka have recorded 22 wins from 42 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.48 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Vaprus have won 33% of their 42 matches, with 1.79 goals scored and 1.98 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 64%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 19%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.10 for Tammeka and 1.13 for Vaprus. The models give Tammeka a 58% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Vaprus win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Tammeka

—

Vaprus

5º

Position

7º

1.52

PPG

1.09

48%

Win %

30%

1.42

Goals / game

1.36

1.58

Conceded / game

2.03

48%

BTTS %

64%

33%

Clean sheet %

19%

60%

Over 2.5 %

71%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Tammeka

Home (16)

—

Vaprus

Away (17)

1.75

PPG

0.65

56%

Win %

18%

1.63

Goals / game

1.00

1.13

Conceded / game

2.41

45%

BTTS %

64%

35%

Clean sheet %

18%

60%

Over 2.5 %

77%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Tammeka	Home	Away	Vaprus	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	76%	75%	77%	79%	80%	77%
Over 1.5 Scored	45%	45%	45%	48%	50%	45%
Over 2.5 Scored	24%	35%	14%	19%	25%	14%
Failed To Score	24%	25%	23%	21%	20%	23%

Goals Conceded

	Tammeka	Home	Away	Vaprus	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	67%	65%	68%	81%	80%	82%
Over 1.5 Conceded	36%	25%	45%	67%	65%	68%
Over 2.5 Conceded	24%	15%	32%	29%	15%	41%
Clean Sheets	33%	35%	32%	19%	20%	18%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Tammeka	Vaprus
Over 0.5	95%	95%
Over 1.5	74%	88%
Over 2.5	60%	71%
Over 3.5	43%	55%
Over 4.5	29%	33%
BTTS	48%	64%
BTTS & Win	24%	19%
BTTS & Draw	2%	12%
BTTS & Over 2.5	45%	62%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	14%	10%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Tammeka	Vaprus
Win 1st Half	29%	26%
Draw 1st Half	37%	40%
Loss 1st Half	34%	33%
Scored 1st Half	51%	60%
Conceded 1st Half	56%	57%
Win 2nd Half	46%	33%
Draw 2nd Half	32%	19%
Loss 2nd Half	22%	48%
Scored 2nd Half	61%	57%
Conceded 2nd Half	39%	64%
Over 0.5 HT	78%	79%
Over 1.5 HT	59%	60%

Recent Venue Form

Tammeka (H)

Trans Narva5–1

Nõmme United4–0

Viimsi4–1

Kalju Nomme1–3

Paide0–2

Flora Tallinn3–1

Vaprus (A)

Nõmme United2–4

Laagri0–2

Flora Tallinn2–3

Paide0–2

FC Levadia Tallinn0–4

Nõmme United2–3

Head to Head · 26 matches

Tammeka

35%

Draws

27%

Vaprus

38%

65%

Over 1.5

17/26

54%

Over 2.5

14/26

38%

Over 3.5

10/26

58%

BTTS

15/26

11/07/26

Vaprus

5–1

Tammeka

13/06/26

Tammeka

0–0

Vaprus

18/04/26

Vaprus

0–0

Tammeka

16/09/25

Tammeka

1–4

Vaprus

15/08/25

Vaprus

8–1

Tammeka

17/05/25

Vaprus

2–1

Tammeka

29/03/25

Tammeka

0–5

Vaprus

16/02/25

Tammeka

6–1

Vaprus

18/09/24

Vaprus

2–2

Tammeka

02/08/24

Tammeka

0–1

Vaprus

23/05/24

Vaprus

1–1

Tammeka

09/03/24

Tammeka

1–0

Vaprus

05/11/23

Vaprus

2–0

Tammeka

26/08/23

Tammeka

0–0

Vaprus

27/06/23

Tammeka

2–3

Vaprus

08/04/23

Vaprus

1–0

Tammeka

03/02/23

Tammeka

1–0

Vaprus

22/10/22

Tammeka

1–0

Vaprus

02/07/22

Vaprus

1–1

Tammeka

13/05/22

Tammeka

3–1

Vaprus

Meistriliiga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	33	26	6	1	+66	84
2	Paide	33	18	6	9	+14	60
3	Flora Tallinn	33	19	1	13	+16	58
4	Kalju Nomme	32	15	6	11	+21	51
5	Tammeka	33	16	2	15	-5	50
6	Laagri	34	15	2	17	-1	47
7	Vaprus	33	10	6	17	-22	36
8	Kuressaare	33	10	5	18	-18	35
9	Nõmme United	33	11	1	21	-22	34
10	Trans Narva	33	5	5	23	-49	20

Team Insights

Tammeka

●Tammeka have won their last 2 home matches.
●Tammeka have lost their last 3 away matches.
●Tammeka have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
●Tammeka failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
●Tammeka failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
●Tammeka have won 7 of their 17 away matches.
●Tammeka have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
●65% of Tammeka's goals conceded were conceded away.
●Tammeka have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.

Vaprus

●Vaprus have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
●Vaprus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
●Vaprus have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
●Vaprus have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
●Vaprus have lost their last 5 away matches.
●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
●Vaprus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 away matches.
●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
●Vaprus have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 away matches.
●Vaprus have lost 12 of their 17 away matches.
●Vaprus have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
●62% of Vaprus's goals have been scored at home.