Paide vs Flora Tallinn — Meistriliiga
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Paide linnastaadion·Paide·Estonia·1,000
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Paide and Flora Tallinn meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Paide have recorded 24 wins from 48 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Flora Tallinn have won 52% of their 46 matches, with 1.72 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Paide and 1.58 for Flora Tallinn. The models give Paide a 41% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Flora Tallinn win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Paide—
Flora Tallinn2º
Position
3º
1.82
PPG
1.76
55%
Win %
58%
1.61
Goals / game
1.91
1.18
Conceded / game
1.42
67%
BTTS %
50%
23%
Clean sheet %
30%
54%
Over 2.5 %
72%
2.5
Avg corners
6.5
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
1.5
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.5
8.0
Avg fouls
9.0
30.5%
Avg possession
49.0%
Home vs Away
Paide
Home (16)
—
Flora Tallinn
Away (16)
1.94
PPG
1.75
63%
Win %
56%
1.50
Goals / game
1.69
1.00
Conceded / game
1.56
60%
BTTS %
55%
32%
Clean sheet %
18%
60%
Over 2.5 %
73%
2.5
Avg corners
6.5
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
1.5
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.5
30.5%
Avg possession
49.0%
Goals Scored
| Paide | Home | Away | Flora Tallinn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 92% | 87% | 80% | 88% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 44% | 43% | 52% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 13% | 24% | 25% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 8% | 13% | 20% | 13% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Paide | Home | Away | Flora Tallinn | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 68% | 87% | 70% | 58% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 28% | 35% | 48% | 46% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 25% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 32% | 13% | 30% | 42% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paide | Flora Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 15% |
| BTTS | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paide | Flora Tallinn | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 48% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Paide (H)W
Trans Narva2–1
Trans Narva2–1W
Tammeka2–1
Tammeka2–1W
Vaprus2–0
Vaprus2–0L
Laagri1–2
Laagri1–2L
FC Levadia Tallinn0–2
FC Levadia Tallinn0–2W
Nõmme United4–1
Nõmme United4–1Flora Tallinn (A)LLaagri1–3
Laagri1–3L
Kuressaare0–2
Kuressaare0–2WNõmme United3–2
Nõmme United3–2DTrans Narva2–2
Trans Narva2–2LTammeka1–3
Tammeka1–3WVaprus2–1
Vaprus2–1Number of Corners
7.5
Corners / Match
2 games
League Avg
0.0
0 games
11.0
Corners / Match
2 games
| Match Corners | Paide | Flora Tallinn | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 50% | 100% | — |
| Over 7 | 50% | 100% | — |
| Over 8 | 50% | 50% | — |
| Over 9 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 10 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 11 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 12 | 0% | 50% | — |
| Over 13 | 0% | 50% | — |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Paide | Flora Tallinn |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.5 | 6.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 100% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 50% |
Head to Head · 69 matches
11
Paide
16%
12
Draws
17%
46
Flora Tallinn
67%
78%
Over 1.5
54/69
65%
Over 2.5
45/69
32%
Over 3.5
22/69
52%
BTTS
36/69
30/08/26Paide
Flora Tallinn
1–2Paide21/06/26Paide
Flora Tallinn
1–2Paide23/05/26Flora Tallinn
Paide
1–5Flora Tallinn26/04/26Flora Tallinn
Paide
1–2Flora Tallinn20/02/26Flora Tallinn
Paide
1–3Flora Tallinn26/10/25Flora Tallinn
Paide
1–1Flora Tallinn21/06/25Flora Tallinn
Paide
2–1Flora Tallinn15/06/25Paide
Flora Tallinn
1–2Paide18/04/25Paide
Flora Tallinn
1–0Paide22/02/25Flora Tallinn
Paide
1–0Flora Tallinn30/10/24Paide
Flora Tallinn
0–2Paide20/10/24Flora Tallinn
Paide
2–1Flora Tallinn01/06/24Paide
Flora Tallinn
2–0Paide17/04/24Paide
Flora Tallinn
1–3Paide16/03/24Flora Tallinn
Paide
2–1Flora Tallinn10/02/24Paide
Flora Tallinn
2–3Paide28/10/23Paide
Flora Tallinn
2–1Paide07/07/23Flora Tallinn
Paide
0–0Flora Tallinn07/06/23Paide
Flora Tallinn
0–0Paide29/04/23Flora Tallinn
Paide
1–3Flora Tallinn| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | +66 | 84 |
| 2 | Paide | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | +14 | 60 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 33 | 19 | 1 | 13 | +16 | 58 |
| 4 |  Kalju Nomme | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +21 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 33 | 16 | 2 | 15 | -5 | 50 |
| 6 | Laagri | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | -1 | 47 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 36 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 35 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 33 | 11 | 1 | 21 | -22 | 34 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | -49 | 20 |
Team Insights
Paide- ●Paide have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Paide have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Paide have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Paide have won 8 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 15 of their 17 away matches.
Flora Tallinn- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have won 9 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
PaideWAKuressaare1–0
Kuressaare1–0WHTrans Narva2–1
Trans Narva2–1WHTammeka2–1
Tammeka2–1LAFC Levadia Tallinn0–1
FC Levadia Tallinn0–1WANõmme United3–1
Nõmme United3–1WHVaprus2–0
Vaprus2–0–HKalju Nomme28/10
Kalju Nomme28/10–AVaprus31/10
Vaprus31/10–HFlora Tallinn07/11
Flora Tallinn07/11Flora TallinnLALaagri1–3
Laagri1–3WHTammeka2–0
Tammeka2–0LHFC Levadia Tallinn1–3
FC Levadia Tallinn1–3LAKuressaare0–2
Kuressaare0–2WHVaprus3–2
Vaprus3–2WANõmme United3–2
Nõmme United3–2–HTrans Narva01/11
Trans Narva01/11–APaide07/11
Paide07/11Top Scorers
PaideH. Anier11 ⚽
A. Badamosi9 ⚽
M. P. Sohna7 ⚽
J. Palacios6 ⚽
K. Piht6 ⚽
Daniel Cabral5 ⚽
Flora TallinnS. Alamaa12 ⚽
R. Sappinen12 ⚽
S. Zenjov10 ⚽
T. Usta7 ⚽
E. Sorga5 ⚽
D. Kuraksin4 ⚽
Cards Given
Paide11 🟨
Daniel Cabral10 🟨
M. P. Sohna8 🟨
O. Hoim6 🟨
H. Anier6 🟨
H. Ojamaa6 🟨
Flora TallinnM. Kolobov10 🟨
S. Zenjov9 🟨
I. Antonov8 🟨
S. Tovstik7 🟨
R. Valdmets6 🟨
A. Kollo5 🟨