Trans Narva vs Laagri — Meistriliiga
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Trans Narva and Laagri meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Trans Narva have recorded 9 wins from 45 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.98 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Laagri have won 50% of their 44 matches, with 1.95 goals scored and 1.36 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 66%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Trans Narva and 1.44 for Laagri. The models give Trans Narva a 34% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Laagri win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Trans Narva—
Laagri10º
Position
6º
0.61
PPG
1.38
15%
Win %
44%
0.79
Goals / game
1.44
2.27
Conceded / game
1.47
49%
BTTS %
52%
20%
Clean sheet %
32%
64%
Over 2.5 %
66%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Trans Narva
Home (16)
—
Laagri
Away (16)
0.94
PPG
1.13
25%
Win %
38%
1.06
Goals / game
1.19
1.63
Conceded / game
1.75
56%
BTTS %
58%
24%
Clean sheet %
16%
64%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Trans Narva | Home | Away | Laagri | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 76% | 45% | 82% | 88% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 36% | 20% | 55% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 23% | 36% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 24% | 55% | 18% | 12% | 26% |
Goals Conceded
| Trans Narva | Home | Away | Laagri | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 76% | 85% | 68% | 56% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 52% | 70% | 39% | 36% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 20% | 40% | 20% | 12% | 32% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 24% | 15% | 32% | 44% | 16% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trans Narva | Laagri | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 23% |
| BTTS | 49% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 18% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trans Narva | Laagri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 34% |
| Loss 1st Half | 51% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 51% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 49% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
Trans Narva (H)L
Kuressaare0–1
Kuressaare0–1D
FC Levadia Tallinn1–1
FC Levadia Tallinn1–1D
Flora Tallinn2–2
Flora Tallinn2–2L
Tammeka0–2
Tammeka0–2W
Kalju Nomme2–0
Kalju Nomme2–0D
Paide1–1
Paide1–1Laagri (A)LFC Levadia Tallinn1–2
FC Levadia Tallinn1–2WKalju Nomme1–0
Kalju Nomme1–0W
FC Tallinn10–0
FC Tallinn10–0WPaide2–1
Paide2–1L
Vaprus2–3
Vaprus2–3W
Nõmme United2–1
Nõmme United2–1Head to Head · 12 matches
6
Trans Narva
50%
0
Draws
0%
6
Laagri
50%
92%
Over 1.5
11/12
75%
Over 2.5
9/12
25%
Over 3.5
3/12
42%
BTTS
5/12
10/07/26Trans Narva
Laagri
3–0Trans Narva30/05/26Trans Narva
Laagri
3–0Trans Narva07/03/26Laagri
Trans Narva
1–2Laagri25/10/25Trans Narva
Laagri
1–0Trans Narva14/09/25Laagri
Trans Narva
1–3Laagri27/05/25Laagri
Trans Narva
4–2Laagri29/03/25Trans Narva
Laagri
0–3Trans Narva31/10/24Trans Narva
Laagri
0–3Trans Narva23/09/23Laagri
Trans Narva
1–3Laagri18/08/23Trans Narva
Laagri
0–2Trans Narva02/05/23Laagri
Trans Narva
2–0Laagri08/04/23Trans Narva
Laagri
1–2Trans Narva| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | +66 | 84 |
| 2 | Paide | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | +14 | 60 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 33 | 19 | 1 | 13 | +16 | 58 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +21 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 33 | 16 | 2 | 15 | -5 | 50 |
| 6 | Laagri | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | -1 | 47 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 36 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 35 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 33 | 11 | 1 | 21 | -22 | 34 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | -49 | 20 |
Team Insights
Trans Narva- ●Trans Narva have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 17 matches.
- ●Trans Narva have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost 9 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●65% of Trans Narva's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Trans Narva's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Trans Narva's points have been earned at home.
- ●Trans Narva have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Laagri- ●Laagri have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Laagri have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Laagri have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Laagri have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 18 home matches.
- ●Laagri failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Laagri have won 6 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Laagri have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
Season Schedule
Trans NarvaLATammeka1–5
Tammeka1–5LAPaide1–2
Paide1–2LHKuressaare0–1
Kuressaare0–1DAVaprus2–2
Vaprus2–2DHFC Levadia Tallinn1–1
FC Levadia Tallinn1–1LAKalju Nomme0–2
Kalju Nomme0–2–HNõmme United27/10
Nõmme United27/10–AFlora Tallinn01/11
Flora Tallinn01/11–HLaagri07/11
Laagri07/11LaagriLAFC Levadia Tallinn1–2
FC Levadia Tallinn1–2WHFlora Tallinn3–1
Flora Tallinn3–1WHVaprus2–0
Vaprus2–0WHNõmme United2–0
Nõmme United2–0WAKalju Nomme1–0
Kalju Nomme1–0DHKuressaare0–0
Kuressaare0–0–ATammeka31/10
Tammeka31/10–ATrans Narva07/11
Trans Narva07/11Top Scorers
Trans NarvaA. Gero13 ⚽
N. Baljabkin5 ⚽
S. Agaptsev3 ⚽
J. Doke3 ⚽
V. Kudriashov3 ⚽
M. Velijev2 ⚽
Laagri12 ⚽
K. Eerme11 ⚽
M. Kelement6 ⚽
Rudenko Daniil6 ⚽
K. Kriis5 ⚽
K. Laur5 ⚽
Cards Given
Trans NarvaS. Agaptsev11 🟨
S. Burjanadze9 🟨
M. Velijev7 🟨
J. Doke7 🟨
A. Filatov7 🟨
7 🟨
LaagriA. Binate9 🟨
R. Reimaa7 🟨
Rudenko Daniil6 🟨
K. Laur6 🟨
A. Jarve5 🟨
I. Bah5 🟨