Flora Tallinn vs Trans Narva — Meistriliiga
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A. Le Coq Arena·Tallinn·Estonia·14,405
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Flora Tallinn and Trans Narva meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Flora Tallinn have recorded 24 wins from 46 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 1.72 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Trans Narva have won 20% of their 45 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.98 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.41 for Flora Tallinn and 0.97 for Trans Narva. The models give Flora Tallinn a 71% win probability, with a draw at 19% and an Trans Narva win at 11%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Flora Tallinn—
Trans Narva3º
Position
10º
1.76
PPG
0.61
58%
Win %
15%
1.91
Goals / game
0.79
1.42
Conceded / game
2.27
50%
BTTS %
49%
30%
Clean sheet %
20%
72%
Over 2.5 %
64%
6.5
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
9.0
Avg fouls
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Flora Tallinn
Home (17)
—
Trans Narva
Away (17)
1.76
PPG
0.29
59%
Win %
6%
2.12
Goals / game
0.53
1.29
Conceded / game
2.88
46%
BTTS %
40%
42%
Clean sheet %
15%
71%
Over 2.5 %
65%
6.5
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
4.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
49.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Flora Tallinn | Home | Away | Trans Narva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 88% | 73% | 62% | 76% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 52% | 50% | 55% | 29% | 36% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 25% | 23% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 13% | 27% | 38% | 24% | 55% |
Goals Conceded
| Flora Tallinn | Home | Away | Trans Narva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 58% | 82% | 80% | 76% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 46% | 50% | 60% | 52% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 18% | 29% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 42% | 18% | 20% | 24% | 15% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Flora Tallinn | Trans Narva | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 16% |
| BTTS | 50% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 22% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Flora Tallinn | Trans Narva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 51% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 51% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 46% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 49% |
Recent Venue Form
Flora Tallinn (H)W
Tammeka2–0
Tammeka2–0L
FC Levadia Tallinn1–3
FC Levadia Tallinn1–3W
Vaprus3–2
Vaprus3–2W
Kalju Nomme2–1
Kalju Nomme2–1WTammeka3–2
Tammeka3–2L
Paide1–2
Paide1–2Trans Narva (A)LTammeka1–5
Tammeka1–5LPaide1–2
Paide1–2DVaprus2–2
Vaprus2–2LKalju Nomme0–2
Kalju Nomme0–2L
Kuressaare1–3
Kuressaare1–3LFC Levadia Tallinn0–4
FC Levadia Tallinn0–4Team Corners
| Team Corners | Flora Tallinn | Trans Narva |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 100% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 66 matches
49
Flora Tallinn
74%
12
Draws
18%
5
Trans Narva
8%
79%
Over 1.5
52/66
62%
Over 2.5
41/66
42%
Over 3.5
28/66
52%
BTTS
34/66
08/09/26Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
2–2Flora Tallinn16/05/26Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
0–3Flora Tallinn05/05/26Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
1–0Trans Narva22/04/26Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
6–0Trans Narva21/10/25Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
4–0Trans Narva02/08/25Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
1–1Flora Tallinn18/06/25Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
1–2Flora Tallinn01/03/25Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
2–2Trans Narva17/09/24Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
1–1Flora Tallinn03/08/24Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
3–1Trans Narva18/05/24Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
1–3Flora Tallinn06/04/24Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
4–3Trans Narva25/02/24Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
2–2Trans Narva01/11/23Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
1–3Flora Tallinn23/07/23Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
1–4Trans Narva03/06/23Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
1–2Trans Narva23/05/23Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
0–1Flora Tallinn14/03/23Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
5–0Trans Narva17/09/22Flora Tallinn
Trans Narva
0–4Flora Tallinn13/08/22Trans Narva
Flora Tallinn
1–1Trans Narva| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | +66 | 84 |
| 2 | Paide | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | +14 | 60 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 33 | 19 | 1 | 13 | +16 | 58 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +21 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 33 | 16 | 2 | 15 | -5 | 50 |
| 6 |  Laagri | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | -1 | 47 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 36 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 35 |
| 9 |  Nõmme United | 33 | 11 | 1 | 21 | -22 | 34 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | -49 | 20 |
Team Insights
Flora Tallinn- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have won 9 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Flora Tallinn have scored in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Trans Narva- ●Trans Narva have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 17 matches.
- ●Trans Narva have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost 9 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●65% of Trans Narva's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Trans Narva's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Trans Narva's points have been earned at home.
- ●Trans Narva have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Flora TallinnLALaagri1–3
Laagri1–3WHTammeka2–0
Tammeka2–0LHFC Levadia Tallinn1–3
FC Levadia Tallinn1–3LAKuressaare0–2
Kuressaare0–2WHVaprus3–2
Vaprus3–2WANõmme United3–2
Nõmme United3–2–HTrans Narva01/11
Trans Narva01/11–APaide07/11
Paide07/11Trans NarvaLATammeka1–5
Tammeka1–5LAPaide1–2
Paide1–2LHKuressaare0–1
Kuressaare0–1DAVaprus2–2
Vaprus2–2DHFC Levadia Tallinn1–1
FC Levadia Tallinn1–1LAKalju Nomme0–2
Kalju Nomme0–2–HNõmme United27/10
Nõmme United27/10–AFlora Tallinn01/11
Flora Tallinn01/11–HLaagri07/11
Laagri07/11Top Scorers
Flora TallinnS. Alamaa12 ⚽
R. Sappinen12 ⚽
S. Zenjov10 ⚽
T. Usta7 ⚽
E. Sorga5 ⚽
D. Kuraksin4 ⚽
Trans NarvaA. Gero13 ⚽
N. Baljabkin5 ⚽
S. Agaptsev3 ⚽
J. Doke3 ⚽
V. Kudriashov3 ⚽
M. Velijev2 ⚽
Cards Given
Flora TallinnM. Kolobov10 🟨
S. Zenjov9 🟨
I. Antonov8 🟨
S. Tovstik7 🟨
R. Valdmets6 🟨
A. Kollo5 🟨
Trans NarvaS. Agaptsev11 🟨
S. Burjanadze9 🟨
M. Velijev7 🟨
J. Doke7 🟨
A. Filatov7 🟨
7 🟨