Estonia · Meistriliiga · Regular Season - 35

Vaprus

7º · 1.09 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 20h

–

Paide

2º · 1.82 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h

Pärnu Rannastaadion·Pärnu·Estonia·2,495

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Vaprus and Paide meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Vaprus have recorded 14 wins from 42 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.79 goals scored and 1.98 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. Paide have won 50% of their 48 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 23%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Vaprus and 1.63 for Paide. The models give Vaprus a 31% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Paide win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.

Season Statistics

Vaprus

—

Paide

7º

Position

2º

1.09

PPG

1.82

30%

Win %

55%

1.36

Goals / game

1.61

2.03

Conceded / game

1.18

64%

BTTS %

67%

19%

Clean sheet %

23%

71%

Over 2.5 %

54%

0.0

Avg corners

2.5

0.0

Avg shots

5.0

0.0

Avg shots on target

1.5

0.0

Avg yellow cards

1.5

0.0

Avg fouls

8.0

0.0%

Avg possession

30.5%

Home vs Away

Vaprus

Home (16)

—

Paide

Away (17)

1.56

PPG

1.71

44%

Win %

47%

1.75

Goals / game

1.71

1.63

Conceded / game

1.35

65%

BTTS %

74%

20%

Clean sheet %

13%

65%

Over 2.5 %

48%

0.0

Avg corners

2.5

0.0

Avg shots

5.0

0.0

Avg shots on target

1.5

0.0

Avg yellow cards

1.5

0.0%

Avg possession

30.5%

Goals Scored

	Vaprus	Home	Away	Paide	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	79%	80%	77%	90%	92%	87%
Over 1.5 Scored	48%	50%	45%	44%	44%	43%
Over 2.5 Scored	19%	25%	14%	17%	20%	13%
Failed To Score	21%	20%	23%	10%	8%	13%

Goals Conceded

	Vaprus	Home	Away	Paide	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	81%	80%	82%	77%	68%	87%
Over 1.5 Conceded	67%	65%	68%	31%	28%	35%
Over 2.5 Conceded	29%	15%	41%	15%	12%	17%
Clean Sheets	19%	20%	18%	23%	32%	13%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Vaprus	Paide
Over 0.5	95%	100%
Over 1.5	88%	77%
Over 2.5	71%	54%
Over 3.5	55%	35%
Over 4.5	33%	17%
BTTS	64%	67%
BTTS & Win	19%	27%
BTTS & Draw	12%	21%
BTTS & Over 2.5	62%	52%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	10%	2%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Vaprus	Paide
Win 1st Half	26%	35%
Draw 1st Half	40%	46%
Loss 1st Half	33%	19%
Scored 1st Half	60%	60%
Conceded 1st Half	57%	40%
Win 2nd Half	33%	44%
Draw 2nd Half	19%	27%
Loss 2nd Half	48%	29%
Scored 2nd Half	57%	69%
Conceded 2nd Half	64%	52%
Over 0.5 HT	79%	73%
Over 1.5 HT	60%	35%

Recent Venue Form

Vaprus (H)

Kalju Nomme2–2

Trans Narva2–2

Laagri3–2

Nõmme United1–0

Flora Tallinn1–2

FC Levadia Tallinn1–1

Paide (A)

Kuressaare1–0

FC Levadia Tallinn0–1

Nõmme United3–1

Tammeka2–0

Flora Tallinn2–1

FC Levadia Tallinn1–4

Team Corners

Team Corners	Vaprus	Paide
Corners Earned / Match	0.0	2.5
Corners Against / Match	0.0	5.0
Over 2.5 Corners For	0%	50%
Over 3.5 Corners For	0%	50%
Over 4.5 Corners For	0%	0%
Over 2.5 Corners Against	0%	100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against	0%	100%
Over 4.5 Corners Against	0%	100%

Head to Head · 24 matches

Vaprus

17%

Draws

13%

Paide

71%

75%

Over 1.5

18/24

54%

Over 2.5

13/24

29%

Over 3.5

7/24

50%

BTTS

12/24

16/09/26

Paide

2–0

Vaprus

04/07/26

Paide

3–1

Vaprus

06/05/26

Paide

2–0

Vaprus

07/03/26

Vaprus

3–2

Paide

02/11/25

Paide

3–0

Vaprus

30/08/25

Vaprus

1–0

Paide

18/06/25

Vaprus

1–2

Paide

09/04/25

Paide

1–0

Vaprus

23/10/24

Vaprus

0–1

Paide

18/08/24

Paide

1–0

Vaprus

18/06/24

Paide

0–1

Vaprus

03/03/24

Vaprus

0–3

Paide

23/09/23

Paide

3–0

Vaprus

30/06/23

Vaprus

1–1

Paide

21/05/23

Paide

0–1

Vaprus

23/04/23

Vaprus

2–2

Paide

10/09/22

Vaprus

1–2

Paide

17/08/22

Paide

4–2

Vaprus

27/04/22

Paide

6–2

Vaprus

01/03/22

Vaprus

1–3

Paide

Meistriliiga

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	FC Levadia Tallinn	33	26	6	1	+66	84
2	Paide	33	18	6	9	+14	60
3	Flora Tallinn	33	19	1	13	+16	58
4	Kalju Nomme	32	15	6	11	+21	51
5	Tammeka	33	16	2	15	-5	50
6	Laagri	34	15	2	17	-1	47
7	Vaprus	33	10	6	17	-22	36
8	Kuressaare	33	10	5	18	-18	35
9	Nõmme United	33	11	1	21	-22	34
10	Trans Narva	33	5	5	23	-49	20

Team Insights

Vaprus

●Vaprus have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
●Vaprus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 8 matches.
●Vaprus have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
●Vaprus have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
●Vaprus have lost their last 5 away matches.
●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
●Vaprus have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 9 away matches.
●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
●Vaprus have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
●Vaprus failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 17 away matches.
●Vaprus have lost 12 of their 17 away matches.
●Vaprus have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.
●62% of Vaprus's goals have been scored at home.