Nõmme United vs FC Levadia Tallinn — Meistriliiga
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Nõmme United and FC Levadia Tallinn meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Nõmme United have recorded 18 wins from 43 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 2.12 goals scored and 2.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 9% of games. FC Levadia Tallinn have won 75% of their 44 matches, with 2.84 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.56 for Nõmme United and 2.20 for FC Levadia Tallinn. The models give Nõmme United a 20% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an FC Levadia Tallinn win at 60%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 72% and BTTS at 70%.
Season Statistics
Nõmme United—
FC Levadia Tallinn9º
Position
1º
1.03
PPG
2.55
33%
Win %
79%
1.64
Goals / game
2.70
2.30
Conceded / game
0.70
72%
BTTS %
59%
9%
Clean sheet %
39%
88%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Nõmme United
Home (17)
—
FC Levadia Tallinn
Away (17)
1.06
PPG
2.65
35%
Win %
82%
2.12
Goals / game
2.35
2.06
Conceded / game
0.88
73%
BTTS %
75%
14%
Clean sheet %
20%
95%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Nõmme United | Home | Away | FC Levadia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 86% | 76% | 95% | 96% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 51% | 55% | 48% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 36% | 29% | 48% | 54% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 14% | 24% | 5% | 4% | 5% |
Goals Conceded
| Nõmme United | Home | Away | FC Levadia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 91% | 86% | 95% | 61% | 46% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 65% | 68% | 62% | 16% | 25% | 5% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 36% | 43% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 9% | 14% | 5% | 39% | 54% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nõmme United | FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 88% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 52% |
| Over 4.5 | 44% | 27% |
| BTTS | 72% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 70% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nõmme United | FC Levadia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 55% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 51% | 73% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 64% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 16% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 49% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 84% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 74% | 34% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 57% |
Recent Venue Form
Nõmme United (H)W
Vaprus4–2
Vaprus4–2W
Kalju Nomme3–0
Kalju Nomme3–0L
Paide1–3
Paide1–3L
Flora Tallinn2–3
Flora Tallinn2–3WVaprus3–2
Vaprus3–2L
Laagri1–2
Laagri1–2FC Levadia (A)W
Kuressaare2–0
Kuressaare2–0WFlora Tallinn3–1
Flora Tallinn3–1D
Trans Narva1–1
Trans Narva1–1WPaide2–0
Paide2–0WKalju Nomme3–2
Kalju Nomme3–2WLaagri2–1
Laagri2–1Head to Head · 9 matches
1
Nõmme United
11%
2
Draws
22%
6
FC Levadia
67%
89%
Over 1.5
8/9
56%
Over 2.5
5/9
44%
Over 3.5
4/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
09/08/26Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
5–0Nõmme United17/06/26FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
1–2FC Levadia Tallinn04/04/26Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1–1Nõmme United18/01/26Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
2–4Nõmme United22/10/24Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
1–1Nõmme United04/08/24FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
0–1FC Levadia Tallinn19/06/24FC Levadia Tallinn
Nõmme United
0–6FC Levadia Tallinn13/04/24Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
2–0Nõmme United24/02/24Nõmme United
FC Levadia Tallinn
3–1Nõmme United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | +66 | 84 |
| 2 | Paide | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | +14 | 60 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 33 | 19 | 1 | 13 | +16 | 58 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +21 | 51 |
| 5 |  Tammeka | 33 | 16 | 2 | 15 | -5 | 50 |
| 6 | Laagri | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | -1 | 47 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 36 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 35 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 33 | 11 | 1 | 21 | -22 | 34 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | -49 | 20 |
Team Insights
Nõmme United- ●Nõmme United have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Nõmme United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost 11 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●67% of Nõmme United's goals have been scored at home.
FC Levadia- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have won their last 4 matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have scored in each of their last 33 matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have won their last 7 home matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have scored in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have scored in each of their last 17 away matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 16 home matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have scored in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have won 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●FC Levadia Tallinn have scored in 17 of their 17 away matches.
- ●65% of FC Levadia Tallinn's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Nõmme UnitedWHVaprus4–2
Vaprus4–2WHKalju Nomme3–0
Kalju Nomme3–0LALaagri0–2
Laagri0–2LATammeka0–4
Tammeka0–4LHPaide1–3
Paide1–3LHFlora Tallinn2–3
Flora Tallinn2–3–ATrans Narva27/10
Trans Narva27/10–HFC Levadia Tallinn31/10
FC Levadia Tallinn31/10–AKuressaare07/11
Kuressaare07/11FC LevadiaWHLaagri2–1
Laagri2–1WAKuressaare2–0
Kuressaare2–0WAFlora Tallinn3–1
Flora Tallinn3–1WHPaide1–0
Paide1–0DATrans Narva1–1
Trans Narva1–1WHTammeka6–0
Tammeka6–0–HTammeka27/10
Tammeka27/10–ANõmme United31/10
Nõmme United31/10–HKalju Nomme07/11
Kalju Nomme07/11Top Scorers
Nõmme United16 ⚽
Z. Beglarishvili12 ⚽
O. Dacosta7 ⚽
E. Ounapuu6 ⚽
I. Krasnov5 ⚽
B. Chisala5 ⚽
FC LevadiaWendell22 ⚽
B. Tambedou18 ⚽
M. Ainsalu13 ⚽
M. Skvortsov11 ⚽
E. Otoo9 ⚽
Joao Pedro9 ⚽
Cards Given
Nõmme UnitedH. Jarvelaid8 🟨
K. Laanelaid5 🟨
I. Krasnov5 🟨
G. Kabal5 🟨
K. Matas5 🟨
A. Frolov4 🟨
FC LevadiaV. Iboro7 🟨
T. Tammik7 🟨
M. Roosnupp7 🟨
F. Liivak6 🟨
R. Peetson5 🟨
Wendell5 🟨