Paide vs Kalju Nomme — Meistriliiga
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Paide linnastaadion·Paide·Estonia·1,000
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Paide and Kalju Nomme meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 28 October 2026. Paide have recorded 24 wins from 48 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.31 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Kalju Nomme have won 48% of their 48 matches, with 1.98 goals scored and 1.15 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Paide and 1.28 for Kalju Nomme. The models give Paide a 44% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Kalju Nomme win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Paide—
Kalju Nomme2º
Position
4º
1.82
PPG
1.64
55%
Win %
48%
1.61
Goals / game
1.70
1.18
Conceded / game
1.03
67%
BTTS %
54%
23%
Clean sheet %
31%
54%
Over 2.5 %
54%
2.5
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
1.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
8.0
Avg fouls
0.0
30.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Paide
Home (16)
—
Kalju Nomme
Away (16)
1.94
PPG
1.69
63%
Win %
50%
1.50
Goals / game
1.38
1.00
Conceded / game
0.94
60%
BTTS %
40%
32%
Clean sheet %
44%
60%
Over 2.5 %
56%
2.5
Avg corners
0.0
5.0
Avg shots
0.0
1.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
1.5
Avg yellow cards
0.0
30.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Paide | Home | Away | Kalju Nomme | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 90% | 92% | 87% | 83% | 87% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 44% | 43% | 50% | 43% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 13% | 23% | 17% | 28% |
| Failed To Score | 10% | 8% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Paide | Home | Away | Kalju Nomme | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 68% | 87% | 69% | 83% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 28% | 35% | 31% | 26% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 12% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 16% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 32% | 13% | 31% | 17% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Paide | Kalju Nomme | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 15% |
| BTTS | 67% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Paide | Kalju Nomme | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 69% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 47% |
Recent Venue Form
Paide (H)W
Trans Narva2–1
Trans Narva2–1W
Tammeka2–1
Tammeka2–1W
Vaprus2–0
Vaprus2–0L
Laagri1–2
Laagri1–2L
FC Levadia Tallinn0–2
FC Levadia Tallinn0–2W
Nõmme United4–1
Nõmme United4–1Kalju Nomme (A)LNõmme United0–3
Nõmme United0–3DVaprus2–2
Vaprus2–2WTammeka3–1
Tammeka3–1L
Flora Tallinn1–2
Flora Tallinn1–2LTrans Narva0–2
Trans Narva0–2LLaagri0–1
Laagri0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Paide | Kalju Nomme |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 2.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 100% | 0% |
Head to Head · 67 matches
19
Paide
28%
17
Draws
25%
31
Kalju Nomme
46%
75%
Over 1.5
50/67
46%
Over 2.5
31/67
31%
Over 3.5
21/67
49%
BTTS
33/67
28/06/26Paide
Kalju Nomme
1–1Paide14/06/26Paide
Kalju Nomme
1–1Paide19/04/26Kalju Nomme
Paide
1–0Kalju Nomme14/02/26Kalju Nomme
Paide
2–1Kalju Nomme08/11/25Paide
Kalju Nomme
1–1Paide14/09/25Kalju Nomme
Paide
1–1Kalju Nomme28/05/25Paide
Kalju Nomme
0–2Paide09/03/25Kalju Nomme
Paide
4–0Kalju Nomme05/03/25Paide
Kalju Nomme
1–0Paide06/10/24Kalju Nomme
Paide
1–1Kalju Nomme01/09/24Paide
Kalju Nomme
2–4Paide22/05/24Kalju Nomme
Paide
0–2Kalju Nomme08/05/24Kalju Nomme
Paide
3–1Kalju Nomme14/04/24Paide
Kalju Nomme
2–1Paide31/10/23Paide
Kalju Nomme
3–3Paide03/09/23Kalju Nomme
Paide
2–0Kalju Nomme27/06/23Kalju Nomme
Paide
0–0Kalju Nomme09/04/23Paide
Kalju Nomme
1–1Paide06/11/22Kalju Nomme
Paide
1–0Kalju Nomme03/09/22Paide
Kalju Nomme
1–2Paide| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | +66 | 84 |
| 2 | Paide | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | +14 | 60 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 34 | 19 | 1 | 14 | +15 | 58 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | +22 | 54 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 33 | 16 | 2 | 15 | -5 | 50 |
| 6 | Laagri | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | -1 | 47 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 36 |
| 8 |  Kuressaare | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 35 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 33 | 11 | 1 | 21 | -22 | 34 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | -49 | 20 |
Team Insights
Paide- ●Paide have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Paide have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Paide have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Paide failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Paide have won 8 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Paide have scored in 15 of their 17 away matches.
Kalju Nomme- ●Kalju Nomme failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have won 8 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Kalju Nomme have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
PaideWAKuressaare1–0
Kuressaare1–0WHTrans Narva2–1
Trans Narva2–1WHTammeka2–1
Tammeka2–1LAFC Levadia Tallinn0–1
FC Levadia Tallinn0–1WANõmme United3–1
Nõmme United3–1WHVaprus2–0
Vaprus2–0–HKalju Nomme28/10
Kalju Nomme28/10–AVaprus31/10
Vaprus31/10–HFlora Tallinn07/11
Flora Tallinn07/11Kalju NommeWHFlora Tallinn2–1
Flora Tallinn2–1LANõmme United0–3
Nõmme United0–3DAVaprus2–2
Vaprus2–2LHLaagri0–1
Laagri0–1WATammeka3–1
Tammeka3–1WHTrans Narva2–0
Trans Narva2–0–APaide28/10
Paide28/10–HKuressaare01/11
Kuressaare01/11–AFC Levadia Tallinn07/11
FC Levadia Tallinn07/11Top Scorers
PaideH. Anier11 ⚽
A. Badamosi9 ⚽
M. P. Sohna7 ⚽
J. Palacios6 ⚽
K. Piht6 ⚽
Daniel Cabral5 ⚽
Kalju NommeM. Mannilaan15 ⚽
M. Orlov11 ⚽
N. Ivanov10 ⚽
T. Baptista10 ⚽
I. Jabir8 ⚽
E. E. Lotar Eyang7 ⚽
Cards Given
Paide11 🟨
Daniel Cabral10 🟨
M. P. Sohna8 🟨
O. Hoim6 🟨
H. Anier6 🟨
H. Ojamaa6 🟨
Kalju NommeR. Vukusic10 🟨
N. Ivanov9 🟨
N. Andreev7 🟨
M. Tambedou7 🟨
D. Mashchenko7 🟨
O. Musolitin6 🟨