Trans Narva vs Nõmme United — Meistriliiga
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Trans Narva and Nõmme United meet in the Meistriliiga 2026 season on 27 October 2026. Trans Narva have recorded 9 wins from 45 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.98 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 49% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Nõmme United have won 42% of their 43 matches, with 2.12 goals scored and 2.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 72%, Over 2.5 at 88%, and clean sheets at 9%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Trans Narva and 1.38 for Nõmme United. The models give Trans Narva a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Nõmme United win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Trans Narva—
Nõmme United10º
Position
9º
0.61
PPG
1.03
15%
Win %
33%
0.79
Goals / game
1.64
2.27
Conceded / game
2.30
49%
BTTS %
72%
20%
Clean sheet %
9%
64%
Over 2.5 %
88%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Trans Narva
Home (16)
—
Nõmme United
Away (16)
0.94
PPG
1.00
25%
Win %
31%
1.06
Goals / game
1.13
1.63
Conceded / game
2.56
56%
BTTS %
71%
24%
Clean sheet %
5%
64%
Over 2.5 %
81%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Trans Narva | Home | Away | Nõmme United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 76% | 45% | 81% | 86% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 36% | 20% | 51% | 55% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 20% | 0% | 33% | 36% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 24% | 55% | 19% | 14% | 24% |
Goals Conceded
| Trans Narva | Home | Away | Nõmme United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 76% | 85% | 91% | 86% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 52% | 70% | 65% | 68% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 20% | 40% | 40% | 36% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 14% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Trans Narva | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 44% |
| BTTS | 49% | 72% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 70% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Trans Narva | Nõmme United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 26% |
| Loss 1st Half | 51% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 36% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 16% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 51% | 49% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 74% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 49% | 60% |
Recent Venue Form
Trans Narva (H)L
Kuressaare0–1
Kuressaare0–1D
FC Levadia Tallinn1–1
FC Levadia Tallinn1–1D
Flora Tallinn2–2
Flora Tallinn2–2L
Tammeka0–2
Tammeka0–2W
Kalju Nomme2–0
Kalju Nomme2–0D
Paide1–1
Paide1–1Nõmme United (A)L
Laagri0–2
Laagri0–2LTammeka0–4
Tammeka0–4WKalju Nomme2–1
Kalju Nomme2–1L
Vaprus0–1
Vaprus0–1LPaide1–4
Paide1–4W
Hiiumaa2–0
Hiiumaa2–0Head to Head · 8 matches
5
Trans Narva
63%
0
Draws
0%
3
Nõmme United
38%
100%
Over 1.5
8/8
88%
Over 2.5
7/8
50%
Over 3.5
4/8
75%
BTTS
6/8
31/07/26Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1–2Trans Narva13/06/26Nõmme United
Trans Narva
1–2Nõmme United11/04/26Trans Narva
Nõmme United
5–1Trans Narva24/01/26Nõmme United
Trans Narva
3–4Nõmme United21/09/24Trans Narva
Nõmme United
0–4Trans Narva26/07/24Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2–1Nõmme United23/05/24Trans Narva
Nõmme United
1–3Trans Narva30/03/24Nõmme United
Trans Narva
2–0Nõmme United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | +66 | 84 |
| 2 | Paide | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | +14 | 60 |
| 3 | Flora Tallinn | 33 | 19 | 1 | 13 | +16 | 58 |
| 4 | Kalju Nomme | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | +21 | 51 |
| 5 | Tammeka | 33 | 16 | 2 | 15 | -5 | 50 |
| 6 | Laagri | 34 | 15 | 2 | 17 | -1 | 47 |
| 7 | Vaprus | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 36 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | -18 | 35 |
| 9 | Nõmme United | 33 | 11 | 1 | 21 | -22 | 34 |
| 10 | Trans Narva | 33 | 5 | 5 | 23 | -49 | 20 |
Team Insights
Trans Narva- ●Trans Narva have failed to win in their last 12 matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 17 matches.
- ●Trans Narva have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost 9 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Trans Narva failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Trans Narva have lost 14 of their 17 away matches.
- ●65% of Trans Narva's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Trans Narva's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Trans Narva's points have been earned at home.
- ●Trans Narva have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Nõmme United- ●Nõmme United have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Nõmme United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost 11 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United have scored in 15 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Nõmme United failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Nõmme United have lost 10 of their 16 away matches.
- ●67% of Nõmme United's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Trans NarvaLATammeka1–5
Tammeka1–5LAPaide1–2
Paide1–2LHKuressaare0–1
Kuressaare0–1DAVaprus2–2
Vaprus2–2DHFC Levadia Tallinn1–1
FC Levadia Tallinn1–1LAKalju Nomme0–2
Kalju Nomme0–2–HNõmme United27/10
Nõmme United27/10–AFlora Tallinn01/11
Flora Tallinn01/11–HLaagri07/11
Laagri07/11Nõmme UnitedWHVaprus4–2
Vaprus4–2WHKalju Nomme3–0
Kalju Nomme3–0LALaagri0–2
Laagri0–2LATammeka0–4
Tammeka0–4LHPaide1–3
Paide1–3LHFlora Tallinn2–3
Flora Tallinn2–3–ATrans Narva27/10
Trans Narva27/10–HFC Levadia Tallinn31/10
FC Levadia Tallinn31/10–AKuressaare07/11
Kuressaare07/11Top Scorers
Trans NarvaA. Gero13 ⚽
N. Baljabkin5 ⚽
S. Agaptsev3 ⚽
J. Doke3 ⚽
V. Kudriashov3 ⚽
M. Velijev2 ⚽
Nõmme United16 ⚽
Z. Beglarishvili12 ⚽
O. Dacosta7 ⚽
E. Ounapuu6 ⚽
I. Krasnov5 ⚽
B. Chisala5 ⚽
Cards Given
Trans NarvaS. Agaptsev11 🟨
S. Burjanadze9 🟨
M. Velijev7 🟨
J. Doke7 🟨
A. Filatov7 🟨
7 🟨
Nõmme UnitedH. Jarvelaid8 🟨
K. Laanelaid5 🟨
I. Krasnov5 🟨
G. Kabal5 🟨
K. Matas5 🟨
A. Frolov4 🟨