Asan Mugunghwa vs Busan I Park — K League 2
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Yishunsin Stadium·Asan·South Korea·19,283
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Asan Mugunghwa and Busan I Park meet in the K League 2 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Asan Mugunghwa have recorded 12 wins from 31 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.42 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 48%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Busan I Park have won 50% of their 32 matches, with 1.66 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.60 for Asan Mugunghwa and 1.31 for Busan I Park. The models give Asan Mugunghwa a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Busan I Park win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Asan Mugunghwa—
Busan I Park8º
Position
5º
1.33
PPG
1.61
33%
Win %
46%
1.30
Goals / game
1.57
1.19
Conceded / game
1.29
58%
BTTS %
59%
26%
Clean sheet %
28%
48%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Asan Mugunghwa
Home (14)
—
Busan I Park
Away (14)
1.79
PPG
1.29
50%
Win %
36%
1.71
Goals / game
1.50
1.21
Conceded / game
1.57
75%
BTTS %
71%
19%
Clean sheet %
7%
63%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Asan Mugunghwa | Home | Away | Busan I | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 94% | 53% | 81% | 83% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 63% | 33% | 56% | 61% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 19% | 13% | 22% | 22% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 6% | 47% | 19% | 17% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Asan Mugunghwa | Home | Away | Busan I | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 81% | 67% | 72% | 56% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 31% | 40% | 28% | 17% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 19% | 33% | 28% | 44% | 7% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Asan Mugunghwa | Busan I | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 19% |
| BTTS | 58% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Asan Mugunghwa | Busan I | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 53% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Asan Mugunghwa (H)W
Cheonan City3–1
Cheonan City3–1L
Cheongju0–1
Cheongju0–1W
Yongin City2–1
Yongin City2–1L
Daejeon Citizen2–3
Daejeon Citizen2–3D
Ansan Greeners1–1
Ansan Greeners1–1W
Seongnam FC2–0
Seongnam FC2–0Busan I (A)D
Paju Citizen1–1
Paju Citizen1–1L
Gimpo Citizen0–1
Gimpo Citizen0–1L
Suwon City FC1–2
Suwon City FC1–2D
Daegu FC1–1
Daegu FC1–1LYongin City0–2
Yongin City0–2LSeongnam FC0–1
Seongnam FC0–1Head to Head · 35 matches
8
Asan Mugunghwa
23%
9
Draws
26%
18
Busan I
51%
74%
Over 1.5
26/35
46%
Over 2.5
16/35
31%
Over 3.5
11/35
46%
BTTS
16/35
05/06/26Asan Mugunghwa
Busan I Park
2–2Asan Mugunghwa08/11/25Asan Mugunghwa
Busan I Park
0–3Asan Mugunghwa24/08/25Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
0–1Busan I Park04/05/25Asan Mugunghwa
Busan I Park
2–0Asan Mugunghwa18/08/24Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
0–1Busan I Park16/06/24Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
0–0Busan I Park11/05/24Asan Mugunghwa
Busan I Park
2–3Asan Mugunghwa21/10/23Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
1–2Busan I Park28/05/23Asan Mugunghwa
Busan I Park
2–0Asan Mugunghwa09/04/23Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
1–1Busan I Park09/10/22Asan Mugunghwa
Busan I Park
4–0Asan Mugunghwa03/07/22Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
0–2Busan I Park09/05/22Asan Mugunghwa
Busan I Park
3–1Asan Mugunghwa03/04/22Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
1–0Busan I Park03/10/21Asan Mugunghwa
Busan I Park
2–1Asan Mugunghwa28/08/21Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
3–2Busan I Park08/07/21Asan Mugunghwa
Busan I Park
0–0Asan Mugunghwa13/03/21Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
4–0Busan I Park03/11/19Asan Mugunghwa
Busan I Park
3–2Asan Mugunghwa04/08/19Busan I Park
Asan Mugunghwa
0–1Busan I Park| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Suwon Bluewings | 27 | 18 | 5 | 4 | +23 | 59 |
| 2 | Suwon City FC | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | +23 | 54 |
| 3 |  Seoul E-Land FC | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | +20 | 54 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | +17 | 52 |
| 5 | Busan I Park | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +8 | 45 |
| 6 |  Hwaseong | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | +12 | 44 |
| 7 | Gimpo Citizen | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | +2 | 38 |
| 8 | Asan Mugunghwa | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | +3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Gyeongnam FC | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 35 |
| 10 | Cheongju | 28 | 6 | 14 | 8 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Seongnam FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | -5 | 31 |
| 12 | Paju Citizen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 30 |
| 13 | Yongin City | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -9 | 27 |
| 14 | Cheonan City | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 26 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 |  Jeonnam Dragons | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -17 | 24 |
| 17 |  Gimhae City | 28 | 3 | 8 | 17 | -33 | 17 |
Team Insights
Asan Mugunghwa- ●Asan Mugunghwa have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Asan Mugunghwa have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●67% of Asan Mugunghwa's goals have been scored at home.
Busan I- ●Busan I Park have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Busan I Park have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Busan I Park failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Busan I Park failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Busan I Park have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Busan I Park failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Busan I Park have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Busan I Park have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
Asan MugunghwaWASuwon City FC1–0
Suwon City FC1–0DAGyeongnam FC0–0
Gyeongnam FC0–0DAGimhae City1–1
Gimhae City1–1WHCheonan City3–1
Cheonan City3–1LHCheongju0–1
Cheongju0–1LASuwon Bluewings0–2
Suwon Bluewings0–2–HGimpo Citizen31/10
Gimpo Citizen31/10–APaju Citizen08/11
Paju Citizen08/11–ASeoul E-Land FC22/11
Seoul E-Land FC22/11Busan IWHGyeongnam FC3–1
Gyeongnam FC3–1WHJeonnam Dragons2–1
Jeonnam Dragons2–1DAPaju Citizen1–1
Paju Citizen1–1LAGimpo Citizen0–1
Gimpo Citizen0–1WHGimhae City2–0
Gimhae City2–0LHAnsan Greeners0–1
Ansan Greeners0–1–ACheonan City08/11
Cheonan City08/11–HCheongju21/11
Cheongju21/11–AAsan Mugunghwa28/11
Asan Mugunghwa28/11Top Scorers
Asan MugunghwaC. Lokolingoy9 ⚽
Kim Jong-Min8 ⚽
Denisson Silva7 ⚽
N. Mohammed3 ⚽
Choi Chi-Won2 ⚽
Kim Hye-seong2 ⚽
Busan IGabriel Honorio9 ⚽
Cristian Renato8 ⚽
Baek Ga-On7 ⚽
Son Hwi5 ⚽
Kim Se-Hoon4 ⚽
Kim Min-Hyeok4 ⚽
Cards Given
Asan MugunghwaChoi Hee-Won10 🟨
Kim Ju-Sung5 🟨
Son Jun-Ho4 🟨
Jang Jun-Yeong4 🟨
Park Seong-Woo4 🟨
Han Kyo-Won3 🟨
Busan IXavier6 🟨
Jang Ho-Ik5 🟨
Cristian Renato4 🟨
Son Hwi4 🟨
Lee Dong-Su3 🟨
Jeon Seung-Jin3 🟨