Meshakhte vs Gagra — Erovnuli Liga
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Meshakhte and Gagra meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Meshakhte have recorded 5 wins from 37 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.81 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Gagra have won 26% of their 42 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.27 for Meshakhte and 1.36 for Gagra. The models give Meshakhte a 35% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Gagra win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Meshakhte—
Gagra10º
Position
8º
0.65
PPG
1.00
10%
Win %
19%
0.74
Goals / game
0.90
1.61
Conceded / game
1.45
54%
BTTS %
60%
22%
Clean sheet %
17%
46%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.1
Avg corners
4.6
7.1
Avg shots
9.2
2.8
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.2
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
46.4%
Avg possession
45.3%
Home vs Away
Meshakhte
Home (15)
—
Gagra
Away (15)
0.60
PPG
0.93
7%
Win %
20%
0.67
Goals / game
0.67
1.73
Conceded / game
1.60
56%
BTTS %
52%
25%
Clean sheet %
10%
50%
Over 2.5 %
52%
3.1
Avg corners
4.6
7.1
Avg shots
9.2
2.8
Avg shots on target
4.4
2.1
Avg yellow cards
2.2
46.4%
Avg possession
45.3%
Goals Scored
| Meshakhte | Home | Away | Gagra | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 56% | 67% | 69% | 81% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 19% | 19% | 19% | 33% | 38% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 5% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 44% | 33% | 31% | 19% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Meshakhte | Home | Away | Gagra | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 81% | 83% | 76% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 46% | 50% | 43% | 38% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 19% | 17% | 10% | 24% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 25% | 19% | 17% | 24% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Meshakhte | Gagra | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 5% |
| BTTS | 54% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Meshakhte | Gagra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 6% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 26% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 36% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 62% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Meshakhte (H)W
Dila2–1
Dila2–1L
FC Iberia 19991–2
FC Iberia 19991–2L
Rustavi0–1
Rustavi0–1D
Spaeri2–2
Spaeri2–2L
Dinamo Batumi0–1
Dinamo Batumi0–1L
Samgurali1–2
Samgurali1–2Gagra (A)DSpaeri0–0
Spaeri0–0LSamgurali0–3
Samgurali0–3L
Dinamo Tbilisi0–4
Dinamo Tbilisi0–4LDila0–1
Dila0–1LRustavi0–3
Rustavi0–3DDinamo Batumi2–2
Dinamo Batumi2–2Number of Corners
7.6
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
8.8
50 games
9.7
Corners / Match
10 games
| Match Corners | Meshakhte | Gagra | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 69% | 90% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 62% | 70% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 38% | 70% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 38% | 40% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 15% | 40% | 22% |
| Over 11 | 8% | 30% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 20% | 8% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 10% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Meshakhte | Gagra |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.1 | 4.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 62% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 23% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 15% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 54% | 60% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
5
Meshakhte
26%
4
Draws
21%
10
Gagra
53%
89%
Over 1.5
17/19
42%
Over 2.5
8/19
11%
Over 3.5
2/19
63%
BTTS
12/19
19/09/26Meshakhte
Gagra
1–1Meshakhte18/06/26Gagra
Meshakhte
1–1Gagra27/04/26Meshakhte
Gagra
1–1Meshakhte20/07/25Gagra
Meshakhte
2–1Gagra21/11/17Meshakhte
Gagra
4–1Meshakhte14/09/17Gagra
Meshakhte
0–2Gagra15/06/17Meshakhte
Gagra
2–0Meshakhte21/04/17Gagra
Meshakhte
0–2Gagra20/03/16Meshakhte
Gagra
2–0Meshakhte30/09/15Gagra
Meshakhte
0–1Gagra08/05/15Meshakhte
Gagra
2–1Meshakhte23/03/15Gagra
Meshakhte
2–0Gagra21/11/14Meshakhte
Gagra
2–1Meshakhte07/10/14Gagra
Meshakhte
1–0Gagra12/05/14Meshakhte
Gagra
1–1Meshakhte28/11/13Gagra
Meshakhte
1–2Gagra17/05/13Gagra
Meshakhte
2–1Gagra07/03/13Meshakhte
Gagra
1–2Meshakhte05/10/12Gagra
Meshakhte
1–4Gagra| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | +17 | 59 |
| 2 | FC Iberia 1999 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | +12 | 56 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +18 | 55 |
| 4 | Rustavi | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 53 |
| 5 |  Torpedo Kutaisi | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | +8 | 40 |
| 6 | Dila | 31 | 12 | 4 | 15 | +2 | 40 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 39 |
| 8 | Gagra | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -17 | 31 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 31 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -27 | 20 |
Team Insights
Meshakhte- ●Meshakhte failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Meshakhte failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Meshakhte have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Meshakhte failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Meshakhte have lost 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Meshakhte failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Gagra- ●Gagra have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Gagra have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gagra have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Gagra failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Gagra failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●64% of Gagra's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
MeshakhteLADinamo Batumi0–1
Dinamo Batumi0–1WHDila2–1
Dila2–1LASamgurali0–2
Samgurali0–2LHFC Iberia 19991–2
FC Iberia 19991–2DAGagra1–1
Gagra1–1LHRustavi0–1
Rustavi0–1–HTorpedo Kutaisi07/11
Torpedo Kutaisi07/11–ASpaeri20/11
Spaeri20/11–ARustavi25/11
Rustavi25/11GagraDHRustavi2–2
Rustavi2–2DASpaeri0–0
Spaeri0–0LHDinamo Batumi1–3
Dinamo Batumi1–3LASamgurali0–3
Samgurali0–3DHMeshakhte1–1
Meshakhte1–1LADinamo Tbilisi0–4
Dinamo Tbilisi0–4–AFC Iberia 199909/11
FC Iberia 199909/11–HDila20/11
Dila20/11–HDinamo Tbilisi24/11
Dinamo Tbilisi24/11Top Scorers
MeshakhteI. Sikharulidze5 ⚽
T. Patsatsia3 ⚽
G. Gogolashvili2 ⚽
Mate Kvirkvia2 ⚽
M. Kvirkvia2 ⚽
Giorgi burduli1 ⚽
GagraD. Mujiri6 ⚽
A. Andreychuk5 ⚽
A. Peikrishvili4 ⚽
I. Skrypnyk3 ⚽
Wanderson3 ⚽
G. Goshteliani2 ⚽
Cards Given
MeshakhteL. Ugrekhelidze7 🟨
M. Kvirkvia4 🟨
B. Gabiskiria4 🟨
G. Gegia4 🟨
Ivan Zotko4 🟨
G. Burduli3 🟨
GagraAugusto6 🟨
I. Skrypnyk5 🟨
G. Sadghobelashvili4 🟨
D. Mujiri4 🟨
A. Peikrishvili4 🟨
M. Tsintsadze4 🟨