Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali — Erovnuli Liga
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Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena·Tbilisi·Georgia·54,202
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Dinamo Tbilisi and Samgurali meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Dinamo Tbilisi have recorded 18 wins from 45 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 51%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Samgurali have won 37% of their 43 matches, with 1.49 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.10 for Dinamo Tbilisi and 1.59 for Samgurali. The models give Dinamo Tbilisi a 55% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Samgurali win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Dinamo Tbilisi—
Samgurali3º
Position
7º
1.77
PPG
1.26
48%
Win %
35%
1.61
Goals / game
1.39
1.03
Conceded / game
1.77
56%
BTTS %
63%
27%
Clean sheet %
28%
51%
Over 2.5 %
63%
5.4
Avg corners
4.0
13.8
Avg shots
12.1
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
53.1%
Avg possession
48.5%
Home vs Away
Dinamo Tbilisi
Home (16)
—
Samgurali
Away (15)
1.63
PPG
0.93
44%
Win %
27%
1.50
Goals / game
1.33
1.06
Conceded / game
2.33
50%
BTTS %
70%
36%
Clean sheet %
22%
45%
Over 2.5 %
65%
5.4
Avg corners
4.0
13.8
Avg shots
12.1
5.6
Avg shots on target
5.4
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
53.1%
Avg possession
48.5%
Goals Scored
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Home | Away | Samgurali | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 68% | 65% | 81% | 80% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 49% | 45% | 52% | 42% | 50% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 18% | 13% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 32% | 35% | 19% | 20% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Home | Away | Samgurali | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 64% | 83% | 72% | 65% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 18% | 35% | 47% | 30% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 9% | 9% | 23% | 15% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 36% | 17% | 28% | 35% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 21% |
| BTTS | 56% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Dinamo Tbilisi | Samgurali | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Dinamo Tbilisi (H)D
FC Iberia 19990–0
FC Iberia 19990–0W
Spaeri3–1
Spaeri3–1W
Gagra4–0
Gagra4–0D
Meshakhte0–0
Meshakhte0–0W
Dila2–1
Dila2–1L
Rustavi0–3
Rustavi0–3Samgurali (A)L
Dinamo Batumi0–3
Dinamo Batumi0–3L
Torpedo Kutaisi2–3
Torpedo Kutaisi2–3LFC Iberia 19991–2
FC Iberia 19991–2LDila1–2
Dila1–2WSpaeri4–3
Spaeri4–3WMeshakhte2–1
Meshakhte2–1Number of Corners
8.6
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
8.8
50 games
8.9
Corners / Match
11 games
| Match Corners | Dinamo Tbilisi | Samgurali | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 82% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 73% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 45% | 56% |
| Over 9 | 25% | 36% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 18% | 22% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 18% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 9% | 8% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 9% | 6% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Dinamo Tbilisi | Samgurali |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 0% | 55% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
10
Dinamo Tbilisi
40%
8
Draws
32%
7
Samgurali
28%
88%
Over 1.5
22/25
52%
Over 2.5
13/25
20%
Over 3.5
5/25
68%
BTTS
17/25
19/09/26Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2–3Dinamo Tbilisi18/06/26Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
5–3Samgurali25/04/26Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1–2Dinamo Tbilisi02/02/26Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1–1Samgurali22/10/25Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2–1Dinamo Tbilisi10/08/25Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
1–1Samgurali29/04/25Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
0–0Dinamo Tbilisi06/03/25Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–1Samgurali05/10/24Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1–2Dinamo Tbilisi03/08/24Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
0–1Samgurali20/04/24Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
3–1Dinamo Tbilisi02/03/24Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–0Samgurali29/10/23Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
0–2Dinamo Tbilisi25/10/23Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1–1Dinamo Tbilisi19/08/23Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
5–2Samgurali10/05/23Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2–1Dinamo Tbilisi13/03/23Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
2–0Samgurali26/11/22Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
1–1Dinamo Tbilisi10/09/22Samgurali
Dinamo Tbilisi
3–0Samgurali16/06/22Dinamo Tbilisi
Samgurali
2–1Dinamo Tbilisi| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 31 | 17 | 8 | 6 | +17 | 59 |
| 2 | FC Iberia 1999 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | +12 | 56 |
| 3 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | +18 | 55 |
| 4 | Rustavi | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | +10 | 53 |
| 5 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | +8 | 40 |
| 6 | Dila | 31 | 12 | 4 | 15 | +2 | 40 |
| 7 | Samgurali | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | -12 | 39 |
| 8 | Gagra | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | -17 | 31 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 31 | 5 | 13 | 13 | -11 | 28 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 31 | 3 | 11 | 17 | -27 | 20 |
Team Insights
Dinamo Tbilisi- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Tbilisi have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Samgurali- ●Samgurali have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Dinamo TbilisiDHFC Iberia 19990–0
FC Iberia 19990–0WARustavi2–0
Rustavi2–0WHSpaeri3–1
Spaeri3–1LADinamo Batumi0–1
Dinamo Batumi0–1WAFC Iberia 19992–1
FC Iberia 19992–1WASamgurali3–2
Samgurali3–2–ADila08/11
Dila08/11–HTorpedo Kutaisi20/11
Torpedo Kutaisi20/11–AGagra24/11
Gagra24/11SamguraliDHSpaeri0–0
Spaeri0–0LADinamo Batumi0–3
Dinamo Batumi0–3WHMeshakhte2–0
Meshakhte2–0WHGagra3–0
Gagra3–0LHDinamo Tbilisi2–3
Dinamo Tbilisi2–3LATorpedo Kutaisi2–3
Torpedo Kutaisi2–3–ARustavi07/11
Rustavi07/11–HFC Iberia 199921/11
FC Iberia 199921/11–HTorpedo Kutaisi25/11
Torpedo Kutaisi25/11Top Scorers
Dinamo TbilisiM. Vatsadze9 ⚽
A. Yoro5 ⚽
Leo Santos5 ⚽
Nika Ninua5 ⚽
N. Ninua4 ⚽
M. Do Couto4 ⚽
SamguraliWellissol10 ⚽
Claudio Cebolinha7 ⚽
I. Siradze4 ⚽
Cebolinha claudio3 ⚽
I. Janjgava3 ⚽
G. Gogolashvili3 ⚽
Cards Given
Dinamo TbilisiB. Osei11 🟨
N. Ugrekhelidze6 🟨
N. Ninua4 🟨
Leo Santos4 🟨
M. Vatsadze4 🟨
S. Kharebashvili4 🟨
SamguraliVinicius Vianna7 🟨
M. Shatirishvili6 🟨
Ryan5 🟨
J. Carlos5 🟨
A. Jarjue Kabia5 🟨
L. Gilmore5 🟨