Samgurali vs Torpedo Kutaisi — Erovnuli Liga
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Samgurali and Torpedo Kutaisi meet in the Erovnuli Liga 2026 season on 25 November 2026. Samgurali have recorded 16 wins from 42 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.52 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 64% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Torpedo Kutaisi have won 37% of their 41 matches, with 1.59 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Samgurali and 1.75 for Torpedo Kutaisi. The models give Samgurali a 37% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Torpedo Kutaisi win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Samgurali | Home | Away | Torpedo Kutaisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 84% | 83% | 76% | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 53% | 35% | 44% | 43% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 26% | 13% | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 16% | 17% | 24% | 29% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Samgurali | Home | Away | Torpedo Kutaisi | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 68% | 78% | 80% | 81% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 32% | 61% | 37% | 38% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 16% | 30% | 17% | 19% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 32% | 22% | 20% | 19% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Samgurali | Torpedo Kutaisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 22% |
| BTTS | 64% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Samgurali | Torpedo Kutaisi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 51% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 71% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Samgurali | Torpedo Kutaisi | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 75% | 80% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 50% | 70% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 50% | 57% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 38% | 41% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 25% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 25% | 18% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 13% | 9% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 13% | 7% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Samgurali | Torpedo Kutaisi |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 38% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | +16 | 56 | |
| 2 | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +18 | 54 | |
| 3 | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | +11 | 52 | |
| 4 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +10 | 52 | |
| 5 | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | +3 | 40 | |
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | -12 | 38 | |
| 7 | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | +8 | 37 | |
| 8 | 30 | 6 | 12 | 12 | -17 | 30 | |
| 9 | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | -11 | 27 | |
| 10 | 30 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -26 | 20 |
Team Insights
- ●Samgurali have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Samgurali failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have lost 9 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Samgurali have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Torpedo Kutaisi have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.